Jeff Seldin Profile picture
May 3 25 tweets 18 min read
Happening now: @SecDef Lloyd Austin testifies before the Senate Appropriations Committee
.@SecDef joined by @thejointstaff Chairman Gen Mark Milley
"We are now facing 2 global powers, #China & #Russia" warns @thejointstaff's Gen Milley

"We are entering a world that is becoming more unstable & the potential for significant int'l conflict btw great powers is increasing..."
"The #Russia|n invasion of #Ukraine is threatening to undermine not only #European peace & stability but global peace & stability that my parents & generations of Americans fought so hard to defend" per @thejointstaff's Gen Milley
Call last month btw @SecDef & his #China counterpart "the first of what I hope will be many conversations", Austin tells lawmakers

"We both recognize the importance of dialogue...We both want to make sure that we work together to promote security & stability in the region"
#Russia-#Ukraine

"The endgame will be defined by the #Ukrainian gvt as it engages w/Russia" per @SecDef

"We're going to continue to do everything within our power to make sure that we support Ukraine & its efforts to defend its sovereign territory"
"We hope that at the end of this that #Ukraine will be a sovereign state w/a functioning gvt that can protect its territory" per @SecDef
"At the end of the day...it's all about the rules-based int'l order has been grossly violated by #Russia" per @thejointstaff's Gen Milley

"It's beyond #Ukraine, what's at stake. Our intent is to uphold & maintain the rules-based int'l order"
"You could make the case...that he's already escalated" @SecDef tells lawmakers abt #Russia's Vladimir Putin

"...the types of things that we see him doing in attacking civilians, destroying cities, towns & villages, indiscriminate targeting
#Putin "could escalate by conducting a #cyber even or there's been a lot of talk abt the possible employment of #chem-#bio" per @Secdef

"Of course, if he employs a chemical, biological weapon, he will see a reaction from the int'l community"
"I certainly hope that he [#Putin] chooses to not do that" per @SecDef re possible chemical, biological attack by #Russian

"The int'l response will be significant"
#Russia's war in #Ukraine - "This is a war of choice" per @SecDef "He [#Putin] could end this war today...stop fighting & withdraw his forces"

"This is the decision of one man"
From #Ukraine to #Mosul, US seeing "fundamental change in the character of war" per @thejointstaff's Milley

"One of those changes is highly-dense urban area combat" he says, pointing to #Russia's failure in the battle for #Kyiv

Other changes-drones, use of air defense systems
#Ukraine telling US that w/security assistance "it's getting to where it needs to go" @SecDef tells lawmakers
"We have learned a lot abt #Russia's leadership at the lower levels" from war in #Ukraine, per @SecDef "...which I think has been very, very key in their efforts here"
#Russia-"They have modern equipment. They have lots of it" per @SecDef, adding "They have a doctrine that really wasn't followed"

"And so as we saw things unfold on the ground, we saw them not able to support themselves logistically..."
"We saw them [#Russia] make some bad assumptions at the very beginning of this. We saw them to fail to integrate their aerial fires w/their ground maneuvers" per @SecDef "Just a number of missteps"

"I attribute a lot of that to a lack of leadership at the lower levels"
"We saw #Russia push their senior officers forward as a result of that and many of those were killed" per @SecDef
"We'll see some of the same mistakes, the same weaknesses as the prosecute the fight in the #Donbas & the southern part of the country [#Ukraine]" per @SecDef
"But they [#Russia] will learn from th lessons, learn from what they did in the early stages" per @SecDef "But some things they won't be able to correct"
Should #Putin issue a formal declaration of war, he "will be able to mobilize more ppl" per @SecDef, but calls it "questionable" whether new conscripts could be adequately prepared for the battlefield
Declaration of war "does have some implications inside #Russia|n society...would allow him to mobilize additional forces" per @thejointstaff's Gen Milley
Intelligence flow from US to #Ukraine prior to #Russia's invasion "made a significant difference in outcomes" per @thejointstaff's Gen Milley
.@RoyBlunt on US stockpiles depleted by aid to #Ukraine: "The #Javelins, that's about 1/3 of our stockpile...the #Stingers abt 25% of our stockpile"

"Is it possible to replace a third of our stockpile or let's say 50 percent before we're done here within a year?"
.@SecDef on replacing US stockpiles of #Stingers #Javelins after sending thousands to #Ukraine:

"It's not only possible, we will do that" Austin says "We will never go below our minimum requirement or for our stockpiles"

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More from @jseldin

May 4
#Ukraine's success so far vs #Russia no shock to US forces helping them train since 2015

"They used that time very wisely" per BrigGen Joseph Hilbert, 7th Army Training Command in #Grafenwoehr #Germany

"The worst things the Russians did was gave us eight years to prepare"
#Ukraine-"they took the training to heart" per BrigGen Hilbert, briefing reporters

"We did see over time an investment in a noncommissioned officer corps as an example" he said "All of that investment and in their capabilities & their forces... you just see how it's paid off"
"We see it at the individual level in the soldiers that come here to train in not just their motivation, but then also both their technical, their tactical capabilities & their wherewithal when they come in to go through the training" per BrigGen Hilbert
Read 6 tweets
May 4
NEW: Day 70 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine

Russian forces "stalled" in the #Donbas - making "very slow &uneven" progress as they try to move south, southeast, per a senior US defense official
#Russia missile strikes targeting #Lviv, western #Ukraine - "Looks like they're trying to hit critical infrastructure...trying to get at the ability of the Ukrainians to use railroads in particular" per a senior US defense official

"There's been no appreciable impact..."
#Russia strikes not slowing down western aid to #Ukraine, per US

"No impact to our ability to continue [security aid] flows into Ukraine" per a senior US defense official "We see no indications that any of this western aid has been impeded or even struck"
Read 11 tweets
May 4
ICYMI: NEW @DHSOIG report on @DHSgov's Office of
Intelligence & Analysis and #Russia|n interference in #Election2020

"I&A employees during the review & clearance process changed the product’s scope by making changes that appear to be based in part on political considerations"
MORE: "The Acting [@DHSgov] Secretary participated in the review process multiple times despite lacking any formal role..resulting in the delay of its dissemination on at least one occasion" per @DHSOIG report
oig.dhs.gov/sites/default/…
"In one of these instances, the Acting Secretary asked
for the product to be “held” from its pending release" per @DHSOIG report
Read 5 tweets
May 2
Day 68 - #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine️

+2,125 missile launches since start of the invasion

"We continue to see minimal at best progress by the Russians in the #Donbas" per a senior US defense official
NEW: #Russia|ns not holding gains in #Donbas - "They'll move in, declare victory and then pull out, allowing the #Ukrainians to take it back" per a senior US defense official

Says Russian forces appear risk, casualty averse and "anemic"
NEW: #Russia losing ground around #Kharkiv, per a senior US official

#Ukraine troops have pushed #Russian forces 40km to the east of Kharkiv, making it difficult for Moscow to push down from the north
Read 25 tweets
Apr 29
BREAKING: @PentagonPresSec lambast #Russia's #Putin for conduct of #Russian forces in #Ukraine

"It's hard to look at what he's doing in Ukraine, what his forces are doing in Ukraine & think that any ethical, moral individual could justify that..."
"It's difficult to look at the [pause] Sorry, it's difficult to look at any of the images & think that any well-thinking serious, mature leader would do that" per @PentagonPresSec on #Putin's war on #Ukraine

"I think we can all speak to his depravity"
"It's hard to square his [#Putin's] let's just call it what it is, his BS, that this is about Nazism & #Ukraine & its abt protecting #Russia|ns in Ukraine...when none of them, none of them were threatened by Ukraine" per @PentagonPresSec
Read 9 tweets
Apr 29
Happening now: Briefing at the Pentagon with @PentagonPresSec John Kirby Image
BREAKING: US announces it has started training on #Ukraine troops on artillery, radar systems and armored systems in #Germany, per @PentagonPresSec

Training being done by members of the @FLGuard who had been in Ukraine before the invasion
MORE: @PentagonPresSec says training for #Ukraine troops also underway or soon to be underway in other countries

"We're grateful to be able to restart some of this training on these key systems going forward," he says
Read 5 tweets

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