Finally, #Zelensky has ordered, or likely more accurately been forced to accept, the surrender of the men who refuse to go on dying for his ego. As I wrote more than once, had it not been for their recent use of human shields to extend the lifespan of the #Azovstl siege, and the
endless begging for the world to save them (much more from Serhyi Volyna & others than #Azov's Denys "Redis" Prokopenko), then they could have come out to the salute & applause of their Russian foes. Their more recent actions were a stain on the honor of their brave stand.
Ironically, but not surprisingly, this more shameful period is when the world media has lionized & even idolized them much more. As I noted recently, this would only serve to increase the PR value of the soon-to-be POWs held by #Russia.
The fact is #Zelensky & #Ukraine had no ability nor plan to lift the #Azovstal siege. They turned their fighters into beggars, who would not go a day without pleading for world help, because their fellow fighters were not coming. #Kiev would not send them. They turned them into
common hostage takers who hid behind women & children only to extend #Zelensky's PR siege a few more weeks. A few more weeks of chances to bring on WWIII. The shameless #Eurovision became part of this lame game. But all the trendy #Ukraine supporters on their iPhones in the world
would not change the fact that only a great number of well armed, determined and very brave men, could save #Azovstal from the grip of the Russian forces that bled for months to see its fall. #Ukraine did not have these men, and if other countries did, it was not for UA & #Azov.
Other nations were not so willing to recklessly waste their fighters' lives. Not to appease the comedian in Kiev. They joined the lip service support, along with the iphone gluten free crowd. What few have grasped about this war from the get-go, is that its outcome will be
determined by the will of brave men on the ground facing off against each other. Not the Pope, and certainly not Eurovision, can do much about it. So what did this achieve? Only that more of the Ukrainian fighters died, more civilians died, war crimes & their honor was stained.
Now that the inevitable has happened, but brave men have needlessly died (on both sides), so that #Zelensky could have more time to try to start WWIII, he has finally been forced to accept #Azovstal's surrender. That it happened may surprise many, though it ought not to.
These are men who mostly believe they were abandoned and lied to by their government in Kiev (who they were not thrilled about to begin with). #Azov's Kalina publicly decried this fact, and the fiercest & most unsung warriors of the 36th Marine brigade who attempted to break out
of #Ilyich and #Mariupol echoed this indictment before their final battle. There fell the Brigade commander (who Serhyi now pretends to be).
Undoubtedly, we will see more of this criticism in Russian interviews with some of the POWs.
Others among them were those scared to fight, break out or surrender previously (such as Serhyi Volyna). The bravest and most soldierly in the #Mariupol crowd were dead or captured already. Who are left are mostly survivors before anything. Of course most would surrender.
How many more are dead and maimed for #Zelensky's frail regime?
These fighters had done beyond their duty long ago. The main RU forces that pushed them into #Azovstal have long since redeployed. Minimal forces & artillery could now keep them in their bunkers. Their sacrifice was
for nothing more than cheap PR, for a long time now. Furthermore the PR effort will now backfire as it led everyone to believe, falsely, that #Azovstal could not fall and somehow the fighters would be rescued. Russia, in charge on the ground, didn't care too much about the PR.
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Update. After an operational pause to regroup and resupply after a massive artillery expenditure, #Russian forces continue their advance on the #Lysychansk cauldron. The series of events on #SiverskyiDonets crossings is complex & still unclear. Starting with the bridge revealed
revealed by #CNN (which I geolocated upon release) UA forces had success destroying several RU pontoon bridges. The latest video they released however, which was meant to show a RU vehicle drowning in the river, showed a third bridge still standing. Reports were received of the
forces that had crossed near Bilohorivka moving northeast towards Pryvillia. UA forces can still not move near the bank in many locations, though a couple of images were released of a UA reporter at the southern extreme of Bilohorivka where UA still hold the high ground.
Being a slow news day as far as info from the critical fronts, want to discuss an event from some days back. #Ukrainian sources released this drone video, claiming it shows a #Russian helicopter being destroyed on #SnakeIsland. Have wanted to discuss since I became aware of it on
May 8. For ~1 week, UA forces targeted #SnakeIsland (or nicer, Serpent Island, of ancient #Achilles lore) with a puzzling amount of air assets. As I reported then, it seemed evident that #Ukraine aimed to recapture the island as a PR coup. The island is also strategic as an AA
asset, has legal territorial ramifications, and is potentially important long term for commercial traffic control of the black sea including #Ukraine's vital exports of grains & wheat. The #Russian MoD later claimed there was such an assault & that significant air & other assets
Now that #Popasna has fallen & the #Siverskyi Donets has been crossed, #Russia is poised to finish the first dramatic encirclement of the war. Any UA troops not falling back to at least the Bakhmut-Siversk line & better the Slovyansk-Kramatorsk-Toretsk line will be surrounded.
They cannot withdraw too fast, & without holding the line because then the front will collapse into a rout, as the RU forces press from the east. Remains to be seen if we see a collapse or an orderly withdrawal but question first is which route #Russia will take?
In general it will continue to take the path of least resistance. It will bypass major roads, fortifications & cities when possible. However it will also be bound by roads and the rail lines in its strategy not only for its own supply but also to cut it off from the #Ukrainians.
The #Biden administration, #EU and much of the elite in the West think that that they are using #Ukrainian blood to weaken #Russia.
Just some central bank stimulus, money out of thin air, providing support & weapons to #Ukraine whose soldiers will do the actual fighting.
Some may even see parallels, in how American industry supported the Soviet destruction of the Wehrmacht. The Russians provided the endless blood to win WWII. If not they at least cynically use the #Ukraine media craze, built on illogical conclusions derived from false premises
to leverage their uninformed citizens' good will (or shallow need to virtue signal) to meet their strategic geopolitical ends. If a whole lot of Ukrainian and Russian soldiers die in the process, perhaps all the better they say.
Serhyi wants to live, as he should and as we all. But he whines about rules that he himself has broken. Except he seems to refer to them as if they meant there could never be war (since there are documents with seals on them), and yet he is a Marine. Who would need him then?
He begs for the soldiers of other states to save him. He can live (if he is not a hostage of #Azov as well that is). He can come out with his arms up. That is more than much of the world offers its enemies, & more than his compatriots in many instances offered their Russian foes.
But yes, without human shields, that he should have never had, he can either fight, or surrender. The choice all soldiers in war have, especially when their enemy surrounds them. As a Marine he should know that and stop speaking about reality TV shows...
#Azovstal's defenders are now increasingly desperate. Especially the deputy battalion commander who now goes by 36th Marine Brigade commander Serhyi Volyna who just hours ago released the following. This because #Ukraine has announced that there are no more women, children or
elderly at #Azovstal. Note that they still refrain from saying "civilians". So #Azov & friends still hide behind civilians, but they just are no longer women, children or elderly. Still, that protection is far reduced & so they fear the potentially incoming #Russian onslaught.
From #Russia's perspective, one could think it may simply act as if there are no longer any civilians at #Azovstal since they are presumably just fighting age men (not children, not elderly) of the enemy. If they won't release them, then they better arm them too. The issue is