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Jun 29 • 25 tweets • 16 min read
Thread: 29 June 2022: Day 126 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
The #Russian assault in eastern #Ukraine is making relatively slow progress at high cost, but they are able to "achieve" one thing: the devastation of Luhansk
Latest @DefenceHQ update:

- #Russia making "incremental advances" toward encircling Lysychansk

- Russia's incapacity with guided missiles makes it "a realistic possibility" they hit the Kremenchuk mall accidentally, albeit Moscow tolerates a high level of "collateral damage"
#Australia's contribution to #Ukraine's, and thereby Europe's, defence since the #Russian invasion began has been stellar
#US finally beginning to target the infrastructure #China uses to support #Russia in its attempt to eradicate #Ukraine
Survey of #Russians about the #Ukraine war, May 2022:

- Support: 64%
- Oppose: 9%
- Would not stop it if it was their decision: 65%
- Willing to take part: 51%
- Understand the aim: 71%
("denazification": 38%, "save Russia from NATO": 14%)
vedomosti.ru/society/articl…
Britain needs to follow Australia in sanctioning Alexander Abramov
Big day for #NATO
#Russia deploying anti-ship missiles to the #Kaliningrad enclave in the Baltics
Solid work from #Britain and #Norway
Vladimir Solovyov finds #Britain's electoral system "strange", but it is the Mother of Parliaments: all the other democracies are derivative from it at some remove. The problem really is his, as is obvious for someone who thinks Putin was elected fairly.
#Russian political analyst Araik Stepanyan explains what's happening: "Those Anglo-Protestant elites came up with a cunning, devilish scheme in order to draw the Slavic people into that cauldron of #Ukraine and grind them up there."
#Ukraine arrested MP Igor Kolesnikov for, with his fellow parliamentarian, Andriy Derkach, planning to assist #Russia's decapitation strike. Derkach was already quite well-known as a collaborator with Rudy Giuliani in 2020 election shenanigans topsecretumbra.substack.com/p/rudy-giulian… @20committee
#pt
The Russian equipment losses are near-incredible
Anybody might think #Russia and #Iran act as a strategic bloc
Positive #NATO steps
#Ukraine's President Zelensky is obviously right about this. Had #Russia rolled over his country in February-March, a far wider war would now be underway as the Russian army swept further into Europe (and quite likely #China would have moved on #Taiwan)
Excellent
More of the Ukrainian defenders at Azovstal, who were captured as Russia conquered Mariupol, have been released
#Norway says it will send long-range rocket artillery to #Ukraine edition.cnn.com/europe/live-ne…
#Ukraine's First Lady Olena Zelenska spoke about the upset of being physically separated from her husband, President Volodymyr Zelensky, including two entire months apart right after #Russia's invasion began. Difficult especially for the younger children. dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1…
#Ukraine's President Zelensky has announced his country has severed all relations with #Syria after its ruler, Bashar al-Asad, recognised the independence of #Russia's occupation "republics" in Donetsk and Luhansk - @AFP
Some things never change
Again, #Russia has lost as much territory as it holds in #Ukraine (a significant percentage which was taken in 2014-15) and the Russian strategic objective - to destroy the state by conquering the capital - has been defeated. So, John Bolton is just wrong.

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More from @KyleWOrton

Kyle Orton Profile picture
Jun 30
Thread: 30 June 2022: Day 127 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#New_Zealand under Jacinda Ardern has not covered itself in glory over #Ukraine. The culmination of a lot of long-running trends.
U.S. Treasury Sanctions Nearly 100 Targets in Putin’s War Machine, Prohibits Russian Gold Imports home.treasury.gov/news/press-rel…
Read 34 tweets
Kyle Orton Profile picture
Jun 28
Thread: 28 June 2022: Day 125 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
A #Russian drilling rig in the Black Sea struck by #Ukraine on 21 June is still on fire
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Ukraine continuing to "consolidate" on the high ground over Lyschansak after falling back from Severodonetsk and disrupting #Russia's command/control with "strikes deep behind" the lines. Moscow expending a lot of strategic missiles for minimal returns. Image
Read 25 tweets
Kyle Orton Profile picture
Jun 19
Thread: 19 June 2022: Day 116 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Quite the initiative
From June 2021. Wish we'd all payed a bit more attention at the time.
Read 10 tweets
Kyle Orton Profile picture
Jun 18
#Britain: Ahmiri Azizi, 24, an asylum seeker from Iran living in Sheffield, a supporter of #IS, has been charged with seven counts of sharing terrorist material from June-November 2021, inc. one after the Liverpool women's hospital attack in Nov. 2021. examinerlive.co.uk/news/uk-world-…
A co-defendant alongside Azizi is Mohammed Hussini, also an #IS supporter, who has also been charged with four counts of disseminating terrorist material on Telegram between August and November 2021.
Interestingly, "Azizi's defence is that his phone was hacked by or on behalf of the Iranian government. John Jones QC, defending, said that Azizi supports Kurdistan becoming an independent nation and was an opponent to Iran and IS."
Read 4 tweets
Kyle Orton Profile picture
Jun 18
Thread: 18 June 2022: Day 115 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update:

- #Russia has renewed its offensive around Izyum to try to encircle Severodonetsk

- Russian declared "humanitarian corridors" are likely to "manipulate the battlespace" as seen in Syria, and civilians trapped in Severodonetsk see them this way.
Interesting thread. The public messaging of #Russia and #China has become more overtly hostile to the #US-led world order; no reason to think the leaderships are not being honest about their views. Notable both see the collapse of the USSR as key.
Read 26 tweets
Kyle Orton Profile picture
Jun 17
Thread: 17 June 2022: Day 114 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#Australia's new Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said he is considering accepting the invitation of #Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky to visit Kiev during his upcoming European trip to the #NATO meeting in Spain on 29 June. apnews.com/article/russia…
#France's President Macron generally shifted his rhetoric over #Ukraine during his visit to Kiev with President Zelensky, but at the end shifts right back to where he was.
Read 32 tweets

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