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Jul 4 • 18 tweets • 13 min read
Thread: 4 July 2022: Day 131 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update:

- #Russia has taken Lysychansk. #Ukraine managed to withdraw without being encircled. The Russians now have the Luhansk Oblast, likely their focus will now turn to Donetsk.

- The Russian war has Ukraine's agricultural exports down to about one-third.
In his speech last night, #Ukraine's President Zelensky mentioned: "Since the beginning of Russia's full-scale invasion in Ukraine, 89 athletes and coaches have been killed in Ukraine. Another 13 have been captured by Russia." news.yahoo.com/89-athletes-co…
#Ukraine's Presidential Representative in #Crimea says #Russia is trying to conscript locals, noting this is a breach of the laws and customs of war, calls for citizens to avoid (and sabotage) if possible, and surrender to Ukrainian troops as soon as possible if they can't.
#UK to host 2023 #Ukraine recovery conference reuters.com/world/europe/u…
Fighters for #Ukraine from #Belarus seen using French MILAN anti-tank guided missiles.
#Russia's takeover of Luhansk Oblast is a victory. Important to keep in context of Moscow's strategic failure - it's effort to destroy the Ukrainian state has been defeated - and even tactically the Ukrainian withdrawal in Lysychansk was a success.
Metropolitan (Bishop of the Russian Orthodox Church) John of #Belgorod published a statement on 3 July, after the explosions in the city, urged #Russia "to stop the bloodshed that is taking place on #Ukrainian soil", noting that "today it has come to our homes".
Glorious
Just when Monday seemed like it couldn't get any worse
List of the largest donors to #Ukraine. Top three: America, Britain, and Poland.
#Kazakhstan potentially playing a dangerous game. It has been invaded by #Russia once this year already.
This seems about right. Would be very dangerous for #Russia if #Belarus got directly involved in #Ukraine and moved its troops from their domestic security role (though it isn't clear Moscow understands this).
#Serbia continues holding to this belief in #Russia as a Slavic/Orthodox big brother, with a not-so-subtle belief the Russians will help Belgrade recover Kosovo.
A #Serbian neo-Nazi killed fighting for #Russia in eastern #Ukraine being celebrated in central Belgrade.

Worth remembering there was this kind of Orthodox mobilisation going the other way (and from Greece, infamously at Srebrenica) during Bosnia's war
#pt
#Sweden's Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson visited #Ukraine's capital, including the satellite towns of Bucha and Borodianka, which were savagely treated during #Russia's brief occupation in March, and she met President Zelensky.
#Ukraine putting artillery to devastating effect against #Russia's tanks and armoured vehicles

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More from @KyleWOrton

Kyle Orton Profile picture
Jul 3
#Denmark: there has been a shooting at the Field's shopping centre in Copenhagen. Situation is ongoing. Not much more is known than that there have been shots fired and people hit. Chaos currently overtaking the area as everyone flees. expressen.se/nyheter/missta…
#pt
There are "several" people dead after the shooting in #Denmark at the shopping centre in Copenhagen. The attacker, a 22-year-old Danish citizen, has been arrested. - @AFP
Read 5 tweets
Kyle Orton Profile picture
Jul 3
Thread: 3 July 2022: Day 130 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russia is moving towards the annexation of #Kherson. This area of #Ukraine has been occupied since February and the Russians are planning to stage a referendum. One way Moscow is preparing for this is by arresting opposition elements.
#Ukraine's President Zelensky marking Navy Day with those who have, especially in recent days, shown such courage and effectiveness against #Russia's invading forces.
Read 30 tweets
Kyle Orton Profile picture
Jul 2
Thread: 2 July 2022: Day 129 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Special Report: Dozens of Russian weapons tycoons have faced no Western sanctions reuters.com/world/europe/d…
In #Russia, a professor from Novosibirsk, Anatoly Maslov, was arrested and flown to Moscow on 27 June to face charges of passing state secrets to #China. Another professor from the Siberian town, Dmitry Kolker, was charged just before that. novayagazeta.eu/articles/2022/…
Read 40 tweets
Kyle Orton Profile picture
Jul 1
#OTD 1916: The first day on the Somme, a terrible bloodletting for the British and French, with 20,000 killed and 40,000 wounded. The campaign, however, nearly broke the Germans on its own, and was crucial in setting up the Allied victory two years later in the Great War.
The Franco-British Somme offensive in the west combined with the Russian "Brusilov Offensive" from the east. Had several other factors gone differently, e.g. the Romanians had come into the war a couple of weeks earlier, it might have shattered Germany in the summer of 1916.
The effect of the Somme-Brusilov experience in the summer of 1916 convinced Germany that nothing like that kind of land-based set-piece battle must ever happen again. Berlin switched to trying to suffocate the Allies with a naval blockade that in the end sealed its fate.
Read 9 tweets
Kyle Orton Profile picture
Jul 1
Thread: 1 July 2022: Day 128 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#Russia bombed a block of flats in Odesa overnight, killing at least ten civilians
Great move from #Canada. The worries about depleting Western weapons stockpiles are largely misplaced: what is happening in #Ukraine - defending Europe from #Russia - is what these weapons were acquired for in the first place.
Read 23 tweets
Kyle Orton Profile picture
Jun 30
Thread: 30 June 2022: Day 127 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#New_Zealand under Jacinda Ardern has not covered itself in glory over #Ukraine. The culmination of a lot of long-running trends.
U.S. Treasury Sanctions Nearly 100 Targets in Putin’s War Machine, Prohibits Russian Gold Imports home.treasury.gov/news/press-rel…
Read 34 tweets

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