Yash Mehta Profile picture
Jul 14 13 tweets 4 min read
Last week we lost #ShinzoAbe who was the former Prime Minister of #Japan 🇯🇵 and also a close friend of #India.

A book written on #ABENOMICS which talks about the Abe's Economic Legacy in Japan.

So let's decode what were the policies and what were its implication on Japan.
Shinzo Ab was a Japanese Politician who served as Prime Minister of Japan from 2006 to 2007 and from 2012 to 2022. He was the longest serving prime minister in Japanese history.

Economic policies set out by him, and his parties in 2012 helped in shaping the Japanese economy.
What is ABENOMICS?

Abenomics is the nickname for the economic policies set out for Japan in 2012, when Prime Minister Shinzo Abe came into power for a second time.
Abenomics was promoted as a way to shake Japan's economy out of a period of minimal growth and overall deflation. Japan's economic troubles dated back to the 90s.
Abenomics consisted of three arrows. They are:

➡️Printing Additional Currency- Between 60 to 70 Trillion Yen ¥- to make Japanese exports more attractive and generate modest inflation- roughly 2%.
➡️New Government Spending Programs to stimulate demand and consumption- to stimulate short-term growth and to achieve a budget surplus over the long term.
➡️A reform of various regulations to make Japanese Industries more competitive and to encourage investment in and from the Private Sector.
The Third Arrow of Abenomics included corporate governance reform, easing of restrictions on hiring foreign staff in special economic zones, making it easier for companies to fire ineffective workers, liberalizing the health sector and implementing measures that help domestic and
foreign entrepreneurs.
The proposed legislation also aimed to restructure the utility and pharmaceutical industries and modernize the agricultural sector.
Now an important question did Abenomics Work?

Abenomics has worked well at times and stalled at others. Inflation targets have been met and Japan's unemployment rate is more than 2% lower than when Abe came to power for the second time.
Similarly, nominal GDP has increased and corporate pre-tax profit and tax revenues have both seen significant rises.
However, Japan's period of success has been halted at times by Global Economic Forces and the country's most significant economic problem - a rapidly aging population - has increasingly taken the forefront.
I hope this #Thread 🧵on Abenomics was helpful.

Reference: Abenomics Book and Google.

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More from @YMehta_

Jul 16
Few people have asked in comment and in DM that Risk:Reward is not favourable for this trade.

So just want to answer this question.

Risk and Profit that is being shown is the max levels.

We will not wait for neither max profit nor max loss.
Let's say yesterday itself Stoploss would have got hit, then we would have closed position with loss of Rs 3000 max and not Rs 13,500 which is the max loss.

Also, probability of ending up in profit is 75%+.
So there is a 25% chance of loosing in this trade.
If we would have shorted naked without hedging then loss would be infinite and Risk:Reward was out of scope then.

We are buying far OTM options to reduce margin and for capping our max loss to a level from infinite loss.
Read 5 tweets
Jul 13
WHY INDIAN RUPEE ₹ IS FALLING AGAINST USD $ ?

Right now, in six months, Indian Rupee ₹ depreciated by 8% as seen in the chart.

Let's understand why Rupee is weakening against Dollars. Image
The answer to this is "Interest Rate Parity."

Assume interest rates in the US are 2% and 8% in India.

Isn't it simple to borrow at 2% in the US, invest at 8% in India and earn 6% Risk Free?

Let's simplify this further.
Let's assume you borrow $100 at 2% from the US to invest in India and then you are expected to pay back $103 at the year end.

In India, $1 is ₹ 74.

Hence, you convert $100 * ₹74 to ₹7,400, which is invested at 8% giving you ₹7,992 at the year end.
Read 13 tweets
Jul 6
Why #Financial #Influencer community is being hated so much?

What went wrong with them?

Let's answer all these questions in this #Thread🧵.

Tag your favorite influencers so that they can also learn from the mistake.

Like❤️ and Retweet🔄this tweet for the benefit of others.
Let's start with an analogy now.

Just imagine you are in a school and you are 6 years old. You don't have much knowledge of what is right or wrong.

Your teacher says that throwing garbage in open is bad.

So what's the probability that you will do this?

Least Likely, right?
If the teacher says that smoking and eating tobacco is not good for your health, then again you will prefer not to do this, even if your favourite actor/actress or any celebrity promotes this.

You will follow what the teacher says.
Read 27 tweets
Jul 3
Quarter 1 of FY 23 has given a lot of new learning in #trading and #Investment.

"#Market is like an Amoeba which keeps on changing its shape" so one has to adapt to it and grow.

So let's see what all #mistakes I did and what changes I did to my trading style.
First of all, let's start with #Options Trading.

Earlier I used to take the entire position on Thursday/Friday: one week before expiry. Because of this, I had no margin left for any adjustments in case of gapup or gapdown opening.
Now, I don't take all the positions in one go. It is splitted across three days.

25% Position on Thursday.
25% Position on Friday.
50% Position on Monday.

After this, I stopped doing fire fighting via adjustments and if Stoploss is hit, simply exit the position.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 2
Yesterday, most of the Oil Explorer and Producing Companies Like #Reliance, #Ongc, #MRPL were down by 10%.

There were multiple reasons for this. So let's discuss each reason one by one.

Before going ahead, Like and Retweet this tweet for wider reach.
First Reason:

#Government imposed taxes on the export of petrol, diesel, and jet fuel shipped overseas by Indian firms.
A tax of ₹6/L on exports of petrol and aviation turbine fuel and ₹13/L on exports of diesel will be levied.
The step is aimed at meeting the demand of the domestic market.

The taxes on exports come after oil refiners, particularly from the private sector, attracted huge gains from exporting fuel to markets such as Europe and the US amid a surge in international oil prices.
Read 8 tweets
Jun 30
Many who became a Full-Time #Trader in the last two years would be in a dilemma because of the volatility in this market.

Be a part-time trader instead of leaving it.

This #thread 🧵will be on what all #strategies, I personally use to generate active #income in the market.
We will discuss positional trading and investing in stocks and then about option trading.

In #Stocks, we don't take any leverage, so risk is lesser, whereas in #Options it is a leverage instrument, so risk is high and it can wipe out your capital.
#Investment #Portfolio:

This is basically my long-term portfolio, which I create for a horizon of more than 5 years.
There are certain criteria which I use to filter stocks in #Investment.

Mostly look for the sector where you know something.
Read 20 tweets

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