Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Sep 28 16 tweets 9 min read
NEW: Pentagon backs @POTUS on #Moscow's sham referenda in #Ukraine - US will "never recognize" territory being annexed by #Russia - it will always be part of Ukraine, per senior US defense official
#Russia's ongoing mobilization shows #Moscow "continues to believe that it can win the long game" in its effort to conquer #Ukraine" per senior US defense official

"...this is yet another Russian miscalculation"
NEW - delivery of #HIMARS, associated munitions as part of latest US pkg for #Ukraine will take about 2 years, per a sr US defense official

Most of the rest of the pkg will be delivered over the next 6-24 months
Day 217 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine - Ukrainians consolidating gains from past few weeks, inlcu "really impressive" gains around #Kharkiv, per sr US military official

Russia targeting civilian infrastructure -dams, power stations- "at an increasing rate" per the official
More-the senior US military official describe the strikes vs Ukrainian civilian infrastructure as "precision strikes"
#Russia still unable to establish air superiority over #Ukraine - "which is a big deal" - per sr US military official
BREAKING: Problems #NordStream pipeline could be sabotage BUT "the jury is still out" per sr US military official
#Russia's mobilization for #Ukraine: "Just the mechanics of outfitting that size of a force is very difficult" per sr US military official, adding the troops needed to train the new recruits are already fighting in Ukraine
Problems w/the #NordStream pipeline - "We think the water is between 80 and 100 meters" in areas where problems are being reported, per sr US military official

Official adds US absolutely NOT involved
How many #Russia|n conscripts in #Ukraine - there are some, but likely small numbers for now, per sr US military official

Says Russia has manpower needs in multiple areas - north, central and southern fronts
New #Russia|n recruits heading to #Ukraine but NO signs of additional equipment - sr US military official #Ukraine has done a good job of destroying lots of the Russian equipment which is "in most cases irreplaceable"
#Russia's current mobilization -"I don't know that they'll get to 300,000" per sr US military official
Winter is coming-"Things get tough in terms of mobility...we'll see the terrain definitely change" & become more difficult for both #Russia & #Ukraine, though conditions could ease after everything freezes, per sr US military official
All 16 #HIMARS previously promised to #Ukraine have been delivered, per sr US defense official

Today @DeptofDefense announced it is contracting to build another 18 for #Kyiv, deliverable in abt 2 years
"We are seeing some cross-border fires between the #Ukrainians & the #Russia|ns" per sr US military official re #Kharkiv area

"They're shooting their standard artillery systems back & forth"
"The procurement and delivery of these #HIMAR systems & associated ammunition will take a few years" per sr US defense official "Today's announcement is only the beginning of a procurement process..."

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More from @jseldin

Sep 30
NEW: @NATO SecGen @jensstoltenberg slams #Russia's annexation of additional regions of #Ukraine "in total violation of int'l law"

"This land grab is illegal & illegitimate" he says "These lands are Ukraine...just like #Crimea is Ukraine" Image
#Russia's annexation "does not change the nature of the conflict ... it does not change our commitment to support Ukraine" per @NATO's @jensstoltenberg

But he adds, "NATO is not party to conflict"
"This is a pivotal moment...the most serious escalation since the start of the war" per @NATO's @jensstoltenberg on #Russia's latest annexation of #Ukraine territory

"None of this shows strength" he adds "It shows weakness"
Read 11 tweets
Sep 29
#China's growing nuclear arsenal - "We going to be plunged into a tri-polar world" @usairforce Sec Frank Kendall tells #CAPEvents

"...there's a lot of risk in that"
#Russia's struggle to overcome #Ukraine's air defense: "A well trained opponent would be able to overwhelm what they [the Ukrainians] did...the Russians were obviously not well-trained" per @usairforce's Kendall

"We expected them [Russia] to be better than they are" he adds
#China "not a match for the #UnitedStates" in the skies, @usairforce's Kendall tells #CAPEvents "...the J-20 is not as good as the F-35"

But Kendall warns #Beijing's been smart about pursuing asymmetric advantages, like missile capabilities to destroy US planes on the ground
Read 6 tweets
Sep 29
NEW: #Russia|n oligarch, 3 associates charged w/sanctions evasion & obstruction of justice

Per @TheJusticeDept, indictment vs oligarch Oleg Deripaska, Natalia Bardakova, Olga Shriki & Ekaterina Lobanova was unsealed today

Shriki -a naturalized US citizen- was arrested this AM ImageImageImageImage
Per @TheJusticeDept, Shriki deleted electronic records after getting a grand jury subpoena

Lobanova, 33, is charged w/making false statements to @DHSgov agents when she tried to enter the US "for the purpose of giving birth to Deripaska’s child"
"The Justice Department will not stop working to identify, find, and bring to justice those who evade US sanctions in order to enable the #Russia|n regime" per US Atty Gen Merrick Garland, in statement
Read 10 tweets
Sep 29
Survey of key Western countries finds US "still perceived as the most influential actor in the world" BUT 'respondents predict its influence will decline sharply over the next 5 years"

per @gmfus' #TransatlanticTrends2022
More: "Younger people generally have a less positive view than their elders of US influence in the world" per @gmfus' #TransatlanticTrends2022
More: @gmfus' #TransatlanticTrends2022 finds "A clear majority of respondents in #Europe approve of
[@POTUS @JoeBiden's] handling of international affairs, w/approval highest in #Poland & lowest in #Türkiye"
Read 10 tweets
Sep 21
NEW: Threat from #Iran, it's proxies "increasingly sophisticated & multi-dimensional...increasingly brazen" @TheJusticeDept's Deputy Attorney General Lisa Monaco tells @UANI's #Iransummit2022
#Iran efforts to develop & exploit networks in the #UnitedStates "is most concerning" per @TheJusticeDept's Monaco

"This is a threat that has evolved & increased"
#Iran brazenness evidenced by "this year alone, the disruption of 2 plots against Americans on US soil..." per @TheJusticeDept's Monaco, referring to plots vs @AlinejadMasih & @AmbJohnBolton
Read 9 tweets
Sep 21
ICYMI: @NATO SecGen @jensstoltenberg tells @Reuters nuclear threats by #Russia|ns President Vladimir Putin "not new...he has done it many times before"

Shud Putin use nukes, "it will have unprecedented consequences for Russia"
"We will make sure that there is no misunderstanding in #Moscow about exactly how we will react" per @NATO's @jensstoltenberg
"So far we have not seen any changes in the [#Russia|n] nuclear posture, the nuclear readiness" per @NATO's @jensstoltenberg

"But we monitor this very closely"

re #Russia #Ukraine #nuclear threats
Read 4 tweets

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