Nicolas Tenzer Profile picture
Oct 1 6 tweets 5 min read
1 Putin's #Russia is the #enemy, the absolute enemy, not by nature but because of the threats it poses to the whole world.
Since too long.
Let's declare it so for good!
He's the total #evil, personally, and—most importantly—politically.
Short #thread🧵
tenzerstrategics.substack.com/p/what-does-vl…
2 #Russia must be defeated totally, radically, absolutely, i.e. strategically.
It must be put out of action.
Its troops must be expelled from #Ukraine, from #Georgia, from #Belarus, from #Syria, from #Africa.
For the sake of humanity.
Our goal.
tenzerstrategics.substack.com/p/six-months-e…
3 Putin's speech is irrelevant. So let's stop giving it a value it doesn't have.
He repeated what we've known for 23 years about this regime. All these threats are old.
Some did not want to see it. Their fault is immeasurable.
This regime should have been destroyed long ago.
4 This regime is yes fascist or even nazi.
It's also mafia-like and criminal (old links with organized crime).
The Nazi regime was also largely.
Putin's regime has only exacerbated this.
The great criminals also have an ideology.
tenzerstrategics.substack.com/p/is-putin-hit…
5 Our absolute duty—concretely, let's be clear, that of @POTUS first, because it's the US that makes the difference on the battlefield, not the #EU—is to allow #Ukraine to win the war completely in the next 3 months—not 6.
Not to do so would be an incalculable strategic fault.
6 Let's stop with this fear of escalation or so-called "cobelligerence"—a pseudo concept that legally means nothing.
Instead, let us recognize that we are at war.
Just as we were against the Axis powers.
No more and no less.
END
tenzerstrategics.substack.com/p/an-inconveni…

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More from @NTenzer

Sep 30
Merci pour ce message qui témoigne de votre intérêt pour mes longs papiers sur #TenzerStrategics (ce qui fait la spécificité de ce blog).
Vous n'êtes pas la première à me le demander (et merci à mes abonnés en forte croissance à travers le monde).
Quelques éléments de réponse.
1 Chacun(e) peut utiliser le cas échéant un logiciel de traduction.
2 Mon public n'est pas essentiellement français (d'où le choix de l'anglais, langue de fait universelle qu'on le veuille ou non).
3 Je n'ai pas d'assistant(e) - cela explique aussi que je laisse de nombreux...
messages sans réponse (je ne lis pas toujours mes DM ici et l'équivalent sur les autres RS).
4 Sous réserve que cela soit techniquement possible d'avoir deux blogs sur substack, ce n'est pas impossible non plus, mais c'est un lourd travail quand même.
5 Combien seraient prêts...
Read 4 tweets
Sep 26
20 theses on #Ukraine/#Russia: recap.
1 We must act not only for Ukraine to win, completely, but also for Russia to lose, fully.
Let's stop fearing a collapse of Russia (which some weak minds are more worried about than Ukraine's victory).
A #Thread
🧵
1/20 Image
2 There can be neither negotiations (apart from one-off issues like prisoner exchanges) with Putin's regime, nor peace talks.
Any hint of this weakens us.
2/20
3 The discourse in favor of such discussions, such as "we will have to sit down at the negotiating table", is either a sign of ignorance of the danger of this regime, or a propaganda narrative.
It would lead to a betrayal of our commitments to Ukraine and put us in danger.
3/20
Read 20 tweets
Sep 21
Quick #thread on #Putin's speech.
1 We in the West need to stop buying into the rhetoric about #redlines and the nuclear threat.
I reminded him yesterday on a program: he has been using this rhetoric for many years.
1/13
To buy into it is to give up—with consequences for other countries elsewhere.
Not coincidentally, this is also a narrative picked up by Putin's propagandists in the West who push for a negotiated solution, peace talks, not arming #Ukraine, no trial for Putin, etc.
2/13
This narrative is what the Kremlin expects. Always keep in mind whose game you are playing and be ruthless to those who relay it.
More than time to throw this Putin #redline narrative in the trash.
3/13
Read 13 tweets
Sep 20
What is interesting here is not so much the content of the message—quite classic—as its very existence.
It may show a willingness (to be confirmed) of the US to re-engage in the #Armenia-#Azerbaijan conflict when it had been very absent during the 2020 war...
1/4
and, before that, little involved in the Minsk group.
The EU as such was, by the way, also.
This left the door open for #Russia, which has become a kingmaker in this region, and reinforced its troops after the 2020 war.
It had also given a tacit nihil obstat to #Azerbaijan.
2/4
I had written this long paper in 2021 on this topic where I explained the background and consequences of the 2020 war.
Perhaps the Russian war against #Ukraine, which has weakened the latter, could in the long run be a game changer,...
3/4
tenzerstrategics.substack.com/p/who-is-the-r…
Read 4 tweets
Sep 18
Always remember the genocide of the Tatars of #Crimea.
Also always talk about the forced disappearances, torture, persecution of #Tatars and the destruction of their culture by Putin's #Russia since 2014.
Also do not write off Crimea.
Right time to write a #thread on #Crimea.
1/9
1 Some consider Crimea a side issue. No, in terms of law #CrimeaIsUkraine and Western leaders must be consistent with their statements on Crimea's territorial integrity. It comprehends Crimea.
Full stop.
2/9
2 Let's stop with the lying "Crimea is Russian" speech. Besides the fact that it has not always been, the historical legitimization has no value. Only international law counts.
The annexation of Crimea had only one precedent in Europe since WWII: the Sudetenland by Hitler.
3/9
Read 10 tweets
Aug 24
On this day when, in thought with my Ukrainian friends, I am celebrating the 31st anniversary of the independence of #Ukraine.
I would like to say one simple thing: the whole world has been able to see with the force of evidence that this is a great nation...
Слава Україні!
1/22
carried by an extraordinary people.
There are few moments in history when an entire people, from the most anonymous person to its leaders, has shown such courage, such strength, such dignity, such exemplarity.
2/22
This great nation of #Ukraine is also great because of its vision and political ideals. It has built itself as a great nation not by a historical heritage that it has taken over passively, but by its present and current will.
It has made history.
It has instituted freedom.
3/22
Read 22 tweets

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