It is clear that 2022 has seen a surge in momentum, particularly amid Western governments, on repatriations from al-Hol & al-Roj in NE #Syria.

BUT, 519 in 2022 represents just 4% of the third country women & children in the camps. And we're starting with the easy caseload first.
Increasing momentum on NE #Syria repatriations is welcome news -- but to take full advantage of it, the repatriation process needs to be made much easier.

Most cases, from start to finish, can take 12-18 months, which is far too long -- most of the obstacles are in NE #Syria.
There's also a clear need for more centralized multinational leadership on the al-Hol/Roj crisis -- the @ICRC have established a special coordinator's office & the US Govt now has a senior inter-agency working group.

But there's no international leader to better coordinate.
@ICRC And let's not forget the FAR greater challenge:

- 27,500 Iraqis
- 18,000 Syrians

#Iraq returns are moving well, but at their current pace, will take 5-6yrs to complete.

For #ISIS, this is key.

#Syria returns aren't happening, as most left originate from #Assad-held areas.
@ICRC Placed into context, the al-Hol/Roj & detainee crisis is simply unprecedented.

- In 2001-2, the U.S. put ~780 detainees in self-contained #Guantanamo & **20yrs later,** we still have 35 left.

- Today, we have 56,000 women/kids & 10,000+ male detainees in NE #Syria, amid war.
@ICRC Since the Spring, @MiddleEastInst & @ICSR_Centre have worked intensively on the al-Hol/Roj crisis -- we've seen ground for optimism, but enormous challenges remain, most little known.

This is not a crisis that can be left unaddressed -- for clear humanitarian & security reasons.
@ICRC @MiddleEastInst @ICSR_Centre As repatriations occur, slowly, the threat of #ISIS assault on al-Hol, Roj & ~20 makeshift prisons is rising, markedly.

The US -- with some allied support -- is working to reinforce security.

Per @laraseligman @alexbward @mattberg33 & @Lawrence_Ukenye:

politico.com/newsletters/na…

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Charles Lister

Charles Lister Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @Charles_Lister

Nov 11
The @UN's Alena Douhan (from #Belarus) just wrote a 6,500-word report on sanctions & human rights in #Syria.

She visited #Syria for 12 days -- but only spent time in #Assad-held areas.

Her conclusion?

Lift all sanctions. Finance reconstruction. Nothing was the regime's fault. Image
@UN That the @UN calls Douhan an "independent human rights expert" is staggering.

She made no effort to visit areas not controlled by #Assad's regime & goes out of her way to thank the regime for how "transparent & constructive" it was during her visit.

Yes, I bet they were. Image
@UN Throughout her 6,500-word report, the @UN's "expert" makes repeated citations to "data & reports received during my visit."

Guess what? All that "transparent" data blames #Syria's ills on foreign powers. There's a surprise.

But our "expert" doesn't question that. Of course not.
Read 10 tweets
Nov 1
As #Syria fatigue sets in & concerns over refugee flows increase, some states within the #EU have begun pushing hard for a softer stance towards #Assad's regime -- some are even engaging.

The #EU itself may not change its policy, but actions by member states could pull it apart.
Concern within & between core #EU member states has risen markedly in recent months -- it's why I wrote this @ForeignPolicy piece.

Arguing that #Ukraine will deter internal #EU division on #Syria is not just wrong -- it's being proven inaccurate almost daily in #Brussels.
@ForeignPolicy Again, the #EU is unlikely to change its long-established policy on #Syria anytime soon -- but actions taken by an increasingly long list of individual states is already beginning to undermine the credibility & practical value of the #EU's official position.

That's v. worrying.
Read 6 tweets
Nov 1
In recent days, #Somalia has been all over international headlines -- why?

#AlShabab killed 120+ in a double car bomb attack outside the Education Ministry in #Mogadishu.

That's to be expected, of course. It was a massive attack & the deadliest there for 5yrs. ImageImageImage
BUT another #Somalia story of enormous significance has struggled to win the attention of international media:

- #Somalia is on the brink of the worst famine seen in 50+ years.

Aid experts say this imminent famine will be worse than the one in 2011 -- when 260,000 died. Image
#Somalia's impending famine has attracted occasional reporting, but nothing like the blanket coverage after a terror attack.

Reasons for why are disturbing.

Barring nuclear war in #Ukraine, there's nothing on earth that threatens to match the disaster approaching #Somalia. Image
Read 4 tweets
Oct 10
Last decade, the #Obama admin chose diplomacy with #Russia, betraying #Syria's opposition & abandoning millions in favor of a hopeless mission.

To see those who defended that policy -- while slamming those of us who critiqued it -- now doing a 180 is galling, to say the least.
Whether in 2013 after 1,000 civilians were killed by nerve gas; or 2015 when #Russia intervened; or 2017 when we submitted to #Moscow's "de-escalation" ruse -- the #Obama admin line, across the board, was:

- 'You want WW3? Really?'
- 'Challenging #Russia is just impossible.'
The #Obama admin's appeasement of #Russia & repeated insistence that #Putin was a logical actor with whom we could reach peaceful compromise damned #Syria into intractable misery -- & contributed to much bigger knock-on effects:

Refugee waves & far right populism... & #Ukraine.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 8
#Putin’s put Gen. Sergey Surovikin in command of the whole #Ukraine campaign — he’s a brutal, calculated leader.

It was Surovikin who coordinated the unilateral violation of 3/4 of #Syria’s “de-escalation zones,” methodically crippling the opposition & sealing #Assad’s survival.
#Ukraine clearly presents a challenge of completely different proportions to #Syria — but seeing Surovikin promoted to lead in #Ukraine is yet more evidence of just how *central* #Putin’s war in #Syria has been to his wider international ambitions.

It all started with #Syria.
Surovikin’s command in #Syria also coincided with the Khan Sheikhoun Sarin nerve agent attack, which killed 90 civilians & injured 500+.

A little known fact — #Russian troops were present (within eyesight) at Shayrat Airbase as the Sarin was loaded onto Syrian aircraft.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 7
Inside the Biden admin’s plan to resolve the crisis of al-Hol (& al-Roj).

This is a good read by @ckubeNBC & @carolelee on an issue @MiddleEastInst & @ICSR_Centre have been working intensively on for months now, with USG (esp. @StateDeptCT) & 25 govts.

nbcnews.com/news/world/isi…
@ckubeNBC @carolelee @MiddleEastInst @ICSR_Centre @StateDeptCT The past 6 months has seen a tidal change in momentum on what we're calling 'the detainee dilemma' -- there's a growing consensus to repatriate women & kids, with 3+ European govts planning repatriation ops this month alone & #Australia doing a 180° shift to do so too.

Progress.
@ckubeNBC @carolelee @MiddleEastInst @ICSR_Centre @StateDeptCT In recent weeks, @ICRC announced an intent to appoint a "special coordinator" for the al-Hol & al-Roj crises in NE #Syria & the USG has formed a senior inter-agency working group to sustain focus on the issue.

USG is providing broad assistance to allies to facilitate returns.
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!

:(