First: a win’s a win. It’s good to see #schoolvouchers stopped anywhere. The push to privatize is so relentless, so well-funded by such a narrow swath of backers, it can feel like swinging in the dark against it.
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But more concretely: the KY Court found that #schoolvouchers tax credit shell game was a budget commitment even though it’s not a direct appropriation. Reducing revenue by $10 is the same as spending $10.
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That provides a new vehicle for other state courts to recognize that obvious mathematical reality elsewhere: tax credits are #schoolvouchers.
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I’ve heard some public #education defenders point out correctly that the KY court relied on a narrow item in its constitution: a direct prohibition against spending other than common #schools.
And other states have other less stark versions so we can’t count on those.
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While true from a technical legal standpoint I think that misses the political importance of a Court affirming what in any other policy realm is self-evidently true #schoolfinance#schoolchoice
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In KY the legis had to override #KYgov veto to even make it this far. In #miched the plan was to exploit a provision to pass without #migov signature. In #TXEd#OklaEd#PAed as in #KYed chambers are near evenly split because rural GOPers hate #schoolvouchers
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This is why DeVos #educationfreedom activists are freaking out. More than anything else, the KY ruling gives lie to any claims of #schoolvouchers “inevitability.”
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How many times have you heard the DeVos hacks and other #schoolvouchers people say “it’s happening Texas!” Or “on to Kentucky!”?
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From a political standpoint inevitability *really* matters to counting votes in a legislature. It can provide cover to vote in one direction or another.
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If #schoolvouchers are going to pass anyway, voting for or against them as a GOP rural rep for example, may be less politically determinative.
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But what the KY Court just did is send a message to all rural Republicans that #schoolvouchers aren’t inevitable.
A whip count could change or—as in this case—a Court could invalidate even in a red state!
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If you’re a #txleg or other state rural GOP legislator skeptical about #schoovouchers today, why vote against your own district for something that may not happen anyway? Worse still: why be the vote to send it forward in a close call? @TexasAFT@TXParentPAC@tasanet
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Now I for one have been arguing for months not to bank on the Court system. #schoolvouchers are bad public policy, a threat to vulnerable kids, and politically tied up with anti-#democracy forces.
That’s been my focus.
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And from Dobbs to Carson, etc nothing at the federal level has made me confident that Right-wing courts will save progressive policies.
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But—and it’s almost a truism to say, but it’s also true—#education remains a state matter. Every political and legal dynamic is different. That’s why ALEC is so tied to the #schoolvouchers movement. They need to tailor a national astroturf policy to state guardrails.
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The #KYed#schoolvouchers matters because if nothing else it breathes new life into state-based efforts to push back against national meddlers like @BetsyDeVos, using whatever state-specific political, cultural or (in this case) legal means available.
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Every state rep in every legislator who’s going to have to vote on #schoolvouchers is now—thanks to KY—going to have to say “we don’t have to bring vouchers here…do I really want to do so?”
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That’s a much steeper hill to climb for #schoolvouchers activists than vouchers are is happening, get your a$$ on board.
The actual researchers clearly say their results are due to changes in student composition—with #schoolvouchers by design drawing more lower income students (ie also lower ave test scores) away from districts.
So districts didn’t actually improve #education due to vouchers 2/
They just lost lower scoring kids.
“But wait!” #schoolvouchers activists may say, “that shows vouchers are admitting poorer kids!”
True enough but there’s no evidence voucher programs know how to *serve* those kids.
For example there is vastly more and stronger evidence that funding public schools has substantial and long-term effects that dwarf the tiny “competitive effects” on public schools that some #schoolvouchers studies find #schoolfinance@SchlFinance101@dsknight84
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And Fordham glaringly ignores its own previous study showing that students who actually use #schoolvouchers had test score drops ~ 4x the test gains by competition in the new study @Network4pubEd@OhioPEP@PV4PS
First and most important: the study presents a ton of zero impacts and tiny effects. Mostly this is #schoolvouchers report about statistical noise, packaged as a win. The beauty of null results is one can see what one wants.
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But in what’s become a trend for Fordham, its house-written Forward makes way more of the externally done results than it should.
Basically the argument goes
“#schoolvouchers” critics say vouchers hurt but we find no evidence of vouchers doing anything! Critics are wrong!”
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🤑 long-standing #privateschool parents cashing in—far the largest group
🤔 voucher-curious kids leaving soon after (most of the rest)
😵💫 some stray sorters—often susceptible to recruiting
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There is NO evidence that #schoolvouchers give long-term “lifelines” out of so-called failing schools. They’re a tax-giveaway to parents already sending kids private…
…and for the rest a crypto-like short-term gamble that they usually back out of soon after enrolling.