This will be based on monthly analysis of daily rolling returns in each category and then
12 month average of such monthly analysis
We compile daily rolling returns over different periods based on Asset classes like: 1. Daily 60 mth rolling returns over past 7 yrs for Equity 2. Daily 36 mth rolling returns over past 5 yrs for CreditRisk 3. Daily 12 mth rolling returns over past 3 yrs for Low Duration Funds
This is the correct way of Ranking schemes - which gives importance to consistency of performance rather than giving importance to recent past performances.
Other rankings keep changing based on recent past performance as they ranking based on P2P returns
MisterBond's Roll of Honour will give following 3 ranking analysis:
1. Industry average of say Large Cap schemes during data under consideration and % of observation of an AMC beating Industry average (#BI)
2. Investor High Returns score (#IHR) - higher returns of a scheme in higher returns band gets more points and gets Ranked no 1, 2, etc.
MISTERBOND'S #ROLLofHONOUR IN DIFFERENT #MUTUALFUND SCHEME CATEGORIES BASED ON PAST 12 MONTHLY RANKING DATA FROM JAN 22 TO DEC 22 AND AVERAGE OF THE SAME - In JAN 2023:
Demand contracts for some time and supply also contracts with a lag. Post that demand starts to rise (post COVID), prompting manufacturers to increase supply disproportionately - creating a supply glut. This puts downward pressure on prices,inflation comes down. CBs turn dovish
This creates disinflationary phenomena. Though looks good on paper for equity markets, prices of all products come down substantially.
What factors to look for to understand which direction are #interestrates headed:
1. Total Credit in the system 2. Which gets divided into External and Internal 3. External focuses on #CAD 4. Internal: Private & Govt 5. Private - #CreditOfftake 6. Govt - #FiscalDeficit
3. External : #CAD (Current Account Deficit - difference between country's #Imports & #Exports) goes up, #imports become expensive, rupee depreciates, bringing in imported #inflation
TIME TO ENTER & NOT EXIT FROM EQUITY at this juncture
After yesterday's correction, NIFTY PE & PB have gone down for our Algo to show one can invest 60% in Equity. In such a scenario, we would recommend out of ₹100, ₹60 can now be invested in Equity and balance 40% in Liquid.
We then do value STP of 3X over next few months till markets remain in Yellow Zone. If markets collapse to Green Zone, balance amount in liquid can be deployed in Equity immediately.
What is 3X?
60 lacs/60 mths = 1 lac is 1X
3X in this case is 3 lacs
But please remember, that after 60% investment in Equity if markets correct, for some time that portion will show negative returns for a short while. That should not perturb us as these investments would have been done at reasonable valuation Zone.