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Jan 18 17 tweets 12 min read
1/ #Yield generation for $USDC, $USDT, $DAI or other #stablecoins has been pretty much dead after #FTX and the #Mango hack. However, there is still a very nice opportunity to generate high yield in #Defi:

#Acumen, home on #AVAX @avalancheavax. A short 🧵 shows how to get it:
2/ #Acumen generates #yield from real world #microfinance activities. It is based in #ElSalvador and that is also its first market. The team genuinely wants to improve lives of the people who live there and they just launched on #AVAX.

How does microfinance generate the yield?
3/ In #ElSalvador, a lot people and small businesses do not have access to traditional banking. Worse, even if they now get a bank account, they lack a "credit history", so the bank is not willing to lend to them. To build a business and invest, they turn to loan sharks.
4/ These providers of debt charge rates that generally range around 20-30% per month (!) and they are likely to resort to violence if you do not pay them back. Of course, this means a lot of $ float in the "grey economy". Neither the government nor the people like it.
5/ Enter #Acumen - the team has managed to secure a central bank license as a registered lender and has already deployed a test tranche from #Solana to small business owners in #ElSalvador, generating an attractive double digit interest for lenders.
6/ That sounds too good to be true? Well, there are obviously risks, which is why the banks don't know how to price the debt in the first place.
7/ But think about it: if you are offered a loan of, say 10% annually and your alternative is to borrow at 30% monthly (!), having your legs broken if you do not pay it back - what would you do? These borrowers actually have a tendency to be great credit.
8/ They are thankful for the opportunity and they are used to paying back or having their health threatened. Don't believe me? Check out this video they made for a NEAR event with real people from #Acumen's first test tranche:

vimeo.com/751788692
9/ I personally think this is an amazing cause AND of course, I love the high interest. With high interest comes high risk - this is really putting $USDC or $USDT to work in #ElSalvador in a real-world operation, not some lending platform. But it really is using #Defi for good.
10/ Despite the risks, the advantages to what is on offer in #DeFi at the moment are obvious: there is no smart contract risk as the funds get translated into fiat quickly. That also means there is no risk for a de-pegging of $USDC or $USDT. Further, the interest is stable.
11/ Finally, the obvious advantage is: it pays. Getting double digit, STABLE returns on established #stablecoins without smart contract risk, not generated by some "magic internet money" inflationary token is pretty unique. And you're doing a good thing too.
12/ So, if you are aware of all the risks (again: high reward = high risk) and you want to use #Acumen to generate yield, you'll need #stablecoins on #AVAX. If you have them on #ethereum, you'll need to bridge your assets.
13/ The bridge that makes most sense is core.app/bridge

The reason is they not only transfer your funds (be aware on #AVAX c-chain, $USDC is often $USDC.e - same thing, don't worry) but they also give you 0.1 $AVAX, the token to operate on #Avalanche. 2 birds - 1 stone.
14/ Once you bridged your assets (takes about 30mins), and perhaps even before, you'll want to add the network to your #Metamask so you can actually intereact with it. It is explained here:

coindesk.com/learn/how-to-c…
15/ Now you are ready - you have the #Stablecoins on #AVAX and can now use #Acumen. @acumenofficial has a range of options that pay higher APYs if you can lend the money for longer. Even the short-term options might be attractive though as they pay about 2x what #AAVE does.
16/ So now all you have to do is go to acumen.network, choose the right pool for you and deposit.

From this moment you are earning interest and using #Defi to do good.

Follow @acumenofficial and join their #AMA with #AVAX Jan 20th.

17/ Again, all #Defi products have risk. High interest almost always implies higher risk too. Only do what you are comfortable with. This is not financial or legal advice.

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More from @dkcrypto13

Sep 21, 2022
Amazing, everyone already knows that FOMC is going to be uber Bullish, taking bets that markets will rally and within days this rate hike, regardless if 50, 75 or 100bps will make us forget all worries 😍. True goldilocks coming. At least according to risk assets…
I mean, yes I know initial reactions are often corrected, but sorry:

Ha ha ha.

WTF were people really bidding up that market so much before?!
Almost managed to scam pump me out of my hedges. $BTC hedge actually fell, $ETH hedge came within 20 cents of stop being triggered…
Read 5 tweets
Sep 20, 2022
Lose macro observations…

In Germany, CO2 used for carbonated drinks is in tight supply, someone at the supermarket mentioned nobody has „normal“ crisps (that‘s paprika in Germany) anymore, heating tariffs jumped by 250% on average… producer price inflation is 35% (not a typo).
At the same time, the US Dollar is strongest in a long, long time, which squeezes Emerging markets whose debt is often denominated in USD and the Fed & other central banks have to continue quantitative tightening till people can breathe again under the weight of inflation.
You also have to wonder, regardless of any concession of defeat (keep dreaming), even if Putin obviously "loses" this war and there is a peace finally reached - will sanctions disappear? If no reparations why would West end sanctions? So will energy prices just stay this high?!
Read 9 tweets
Feb 11, 2022
Been bashing the "it's priced in" talk recently... Here is what I really think:

I think short term bond markets have priced in all that's likely
I think long term bond markets are waiting to see impact on economy
I think stocks have not priced balance sheet reduction at all
Obviously, not advice, though I'd fail to read what that advice would be anyways.
Obvious follow up here: what about crypto?

It's difficult. I see it as a risk asset, so it is probably the same as stocks.

Caveat here is that I see a lot of relative strength right now on bitcoin & I think that is due to people developing a view on it as a currency alternative
Read 4 tweets
Feb 6, 2022
I am on record stating that using $BTC as a national currency if you aren't using another country's one today is madness.

However, the dead end central banks are in (inflation too high, cannot raise rates much without causing debt crisis) is single most Bullish long term driver.
You can only solve this kind of dilemma if you have the world's reserve currency (you simply forgive the debt to yourself), but the USD is shaky and the EUR certainly is not the world reserve OR you do a currency reform. The latter is much harder when a "hard" alternative exists.
While it is idiotic to use #bitcoin as a medium of exchange, as it leads to a long-term deflationary economy (that isn't fun, read "great depression"), how will people really choose when it happens and there is a viable alternative.

Bitcoin may yet succeed in its original goal.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 4, 2022
Today I was humbled by the markets. Trading has been an absolute grind these past weeks and I also slept way too little.

I had it all right last night and had I kept that position, I’d have brought my book almost back to end of 2020 levels.
So far in January I managed to be down just about singe digits in a long-biased mandate, which is still good with markets -25 to 30% in crypto & basically tracking the Nasdaq with a crypto book, but last night I decided against my tweet setup above last minute and kept hedges on.
So I had the right read of what markets were going to do (see above), but I really executed poorly and reversed a great position instead, being net down for the day.

Need to trust myself more.

Anyways, still looking solid for 2022 all things considered but felt humiliating.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 13, 2022
I really love all the project we work with. Truly. But my favorite project in #crypto at the moment is doing its #IDO soon so I wanted to share a bit: Acumen Network @acumenofficial building on #solana.

A 🧵on why I like it so much and why I think it‘s just what #DeFi needs:
1/ Acumen has set out to use the power of #DeFi to bring #microfinance to underserved segments of the world, starting in El Salvador.

Microfinance means giving out very small loans to people who otherwise don’t have access to financing to start a business or keep it going.
2/ Famously the inventor of microfinance, Muhammad Yunus, received the nobel prize for peace for his invention and the effect it has on communities if done right.

This isn‘t to say it can‘t be criticized. Lot‘s can still go wrong and some microfinance is exploitative.
Read 24 tweets

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