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Mar 9 4 tweets 4 min read
The #Kremlin’s increasing public interactions on the topic of volunteer recruitment campaigns throughout #Russia and occupied #Ukraine indicate #Putin is embracing this effort—likely to avoid declaring mobilization. isw.pub/UkrWar030823
2/ Kremlin Spokesperson Dmitry #Peskov reported that Russian President Vladimir #Putin met with #Zaporizhia Oblast Occupation Head Yevgeny Balitskyi on March 7 to discuss the security and legal status of the Sudoplatov volunteer battalion among other topics.
3/ The #Kremlin barely acknowledged similar volunteer recruitment movements over the summer of 2022, and #Putin’s direct recognition of problems with the volunteer recruitment campaign is likely an attempt to incentivize more #Russians to enlist.
4/ These appearances suggest that the #Kremlin hopes to restore public trust in enlistment by appearing to resolve persistent legal, financial, and social problems with the original volunteer recruitment campaign in the summer of 2022. isw.pub/UkrWar030823

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More from @TheStudyofWar

Mar 11
Prigozhin indicated that Russian officials may have temporarily solved the Wagner Group’s issues with artillery ammunition, possibly to the detriment of other conventional Russian forces.

Other #Russian force generation updates: isw.pub/UkrWar031023
2/ Some #Russian milbloggers criticized Russian officials for planning to demolish an industrial facility that produces artillery ammunition during a widespread shortage of shells.
3/ Publicized complaints from #Russian servicemembers appear to have increased over the past month. isw.pub/UkrWar031023
Read 4 tweets
Mar 11
#Russian Occupation Update:

1/ Russian officials and occupation authorities announced further plans to construct new healthcare facilities to treat Russian servicemen as hospitals near the frontlines remain overfilled and understaffed. isw.pub/UkrWar031023 Image
2/ #Russian officials and occupation authorities continue to announce new infrastructure projects to connect the Russian mainland and occupied territories.
3/ #Russian officials continue to establish new checkpoints in #Donetsk Oblast’s border areas and the Russian mainland, suggesting that R#ussia may be struggling with the administrative management of occupied territories.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 11
#Russian forces made gains in #Bakhmut, are clearing eastern parts of the city, and have advanced to new positions in northwestern Bakhmut within 800 meters of the AZOM metal processing plant. isw.pub/UkrWar031023 ImageImage
2/ #Russian sources claimed that #Wagner Group forces entered the built-up AZOM industrial complex, and frontal assaults on the complex will likely be costly for Wagner Group forces.
3/ New drone footage posted on March 10 shows #Russian soldiers removing civilians from buildings in eastern #Bakhmut to an unknown location at gunpoint, indicating that Russian forces are conducting clearing operations in eastern Bakhmut.
Read 6 tweets
Mar 11
#Russian Commissioner on Children’s Rights, Maria Lvova-Belova, confirmed that the Russian government is using a variety of schemes to deport #Ukrainian children to #Russia in a comment apparently meant to disprove Western allegations of the illegality of these actions. 🧵(1/6)
2/ In a March 10 Telegram post, Lvova-Belova accused the West of manufacturing fear regarding the deportation and forced adoption of Ukrainian children and claimed that children came to occupied areas of Ukraine and Russian territory “voluntarily” & can return to their families.
3/ Lvova-Belova admitted that #Russian authorities have taken children from #Kherson, #Zaporizhia, and #Kharkiv oblasts to “sanatoriums” and health camps in occupied #Crimea and #Krasnodar Krai for “rest” and protection from hostilities.
Read 6 tweets
Mar 11
Russian forces continue to establish defensive lines in rear areas far from current frontlines and areas in #Russia that will likely never see fighting, likey in furtherance of Russian information operations. (1/4) isw.pub/UkrWar031023
2/ Russian officials in #Kursk and #Belgorod oblasts may be constructing defensive fortifications in support of information operations that aim to portray #Ukraine as threatening Russian territory in order to frame the war in Ukraine as existential for #Russia.
3/ Additional #Russian fortifications in #Crimea may meanwhile suggest that Russian forces are unsure of their ability to hold occupied territories in southern #Ukraine in the long term.
Read 4 tweets
Mar 10
The #Wagner Group's offensive operation in eastern #Bakhmut appears to have entered a temporary tactical pause and it remains unclear if Wagner fighters will retain their operational preponderance in future #Russian offensives in the city. (1/7) isw.pub/UkrWar030923
2/There have been no reports of Wagner fighters conducting offensive operations from eastern #Bakhmut into central parts of the city since Russian forces captured all of eastern Bakhmut located east of the Bakhmutka River on March 7.
3/ #WagnerGroup fighters have been conducting highly attritional frontal assaults on eastern #Bakhmut for nine months and are likely not prepared to conduct a crossing of the Bakhmutka River to the Bakhmut city center at this time.
Read 7 tweets

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