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Alexander Khara 🇺🇦 Αλέξανδρος Χαρά Profile picture
@alexanderkhara
Mar 27 • 4 tweets • 4 min read • Twitter logo Read on Twitter
"#Xi’s peace offer to #Ukraine should be seen... as a #kabuki dance, in which the peace plan is offered in the full expectation that Ukraine will refuse it while giving the appearance of Chinese good faith, Professor Albion M Urdank wrote for the @FT. ⏬
He believes that "thus spurned, Xi will claim full justification in providing lethal weaponry to #putin so that he may carry on with success... The provision of lethal weaponry to 🇷🇺will mark Xi’s formal break with the west, for which he has been planning."
Professor Albion M Urdank believes Xi "will then turn his gaze to #Taiwan."

I'm not sure #Xi will jeopardize his trade with the #US and the #EU for #putin's strategic blunder.
NB I like the metaphor with #Kabuki though there might be a more proper Chinese one. A #kitsune (fox) mask is a good illustration of Xi's strategy, for in #Japan and #Ukraine, we consider a fox a cunning and insidious creature. END

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More from @alexanderkhara

Alexander Khara 🇺🇦 Αλέξανδρος Χαρά Profile picture
Mar 25
#putin escalates by voicing his plans to deploy tactical nuclear weapons on #Belarusian territory.

It was planned well before. In 2020 #Lukashenko illegally seized power. In February 2022, he conducted an unlawful referendum that ditched the country's non-nuclear status. ⏬
putin voices a plan to modernize Belarusian aircraft to make them nuclear-capable and train Belarusian pilots to operate them. In December 2022, putin deployed, and in February 2023, the Belarusian reported that they started operating the #Iskander-M dual-capable missile systems.
On February 25, 2023, putin played an idiot linking his nuclear proliferation plans to armor-piercing rounds containing depleted uranium to be provided to Ukraine by the U.K.
Read 11 tweets
Alexander Khara 🇺🇦 Αλέξανδρος Χαρά Profile picture
Mar 24
@RichardHaass nailed it. This war is about Russians willing to "eradicate Ukraine as a sovereign entity."

However, I can't agree with the idea that putin fears that russians may want to follow Ukraine's path to democracy and prosperity. ⏬
It's nothing else but Western wishful thinking and the projection of their mindset to the wild territory that has been living in unfreedom and perverted reality for centuries. Some still believe that the West "lost" russia by not helping it more.
And there's the same naivety that engagement with the CCP would make PRC more democratic.

The other line of thought I'm afraid I have to disagree with is that prospects of severe sanctions may somehow deter PRC.
Read 4 tweets
Alexander Khara 🇺🇦 Αλέξανδρος Χαρά Profile picture
Mar 22
"Successive Tsars imposed their will on the Church, transforming it into a mere instrument for their strategic objectives… #putin’s russia simply renewed and accentuated this “tradition.”
@EcuPatriarch ⏬
"Of special importance in this respect is #Panslavism, the ideology according to which all Slavs should be united under Moscow. This XIX century deeply racist ideology found its religious expression in ethnophyletism, condemned as a heresy by the Great Council of Const. in 1872.”
“The present incarnation of ethnophyletism is the fundamentalist ideology of #Russkii mir, the “#russian world.” This expression describes a supposed sphere of civilization including russia, Ukraine, Belarus as well as ethnic russians all around the world,
Read 7 tweets
Alexander Khara 🇺🇦 Αλέξανδρος Χαρά Profile picture
Mar 7
The #russian embassy in 🇬🇧 tried to mock @RishiSunak for legislation that prevents migrants from crossing the Channel on small boats.

They didn’t mention that 🇷🇺 is responsible for the largest European conflict since WWII that caused immense suffering and destruction in 🇺🇦.
1/5
The russians are responsible for 14,000 Ukrainians #killed in 2014-2022 and 8,173 more Ukrainians killed since 2022 (@UN_HRC). No one knows how many Ukrainians were murdered in #Mariupol, #Volnovakha, and other occupied cities, towns, and villages. 2/5
The russians are responsible for 8,104,606 #refugees (@UNRefugeeAgency) and 7 million internally displaced people (@Kabmin_UA_e).

So far, the russians have #destroyed 2,660 and 1,200 #education and #healthcare buildings and facilities (@MoH_Ukraine, @MON_UKRAINE). 3/5
Read 5 tweets
Alexander Khara 🇺🇦 Αλέξανδρος Χαρά Profile picture
Feb 25
Continuation...

EVOLUTION OF DIPLOMACY. "Nothing about 🇺🇦without 🇺🇦" is extremely important for the Ukrainian nation. But it also serves the interests of other nations because it doesn't allow 🇷🇺to turn its aggression against Ukraine into a broader confrontation with 🇺🇸.
It's a failed attempt of #Moscow to impose the great power competition scheme and trade its "cooperation" on global issues for allowing it to re-establish spheres of influence in Europe that justified the "suspension" of their participation in the new #START Treaty.
There are no immediate negative consequences of such a decision, and, highly likely, there won't be any in the future, for a new nuclear arms race for Moscow would mean old results – a state collapse.
Read 24 tweets
Alexander Khara 🇺🇦 Αλέξανδρος Χαρά Profile picture
Feb 25
A year of the nine-year war (longread)

LONG-TIME APPEASEMENT (1991-2014). Due to the immense potential to destroy humanity, vast resources, and incurable optimism of the renaissance nations, 🇷🇺has been a prism through which the West has been looking at the nations in-between.
The brutal second #Chechen war, orchestrated by @putin to grip power, was hardly noticed. 🇷🇺was let in from the cold just a year after the invasion of #Georgia.
Contrary to common sense, the Kremlin was awarded more say in global affairs and even more role in #Europe, thanks to the Partnership for modernization Angela #Merkel had championed.
Read 25 tweets

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