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raverantreflect @HKarandikar
, 10 tweets, 4 min read Read on Twitter
My "Chaiwala poll' which had predicted a 'landslide' for @narendramodi was wrong but BJP got majority. But Yogendra Yadav the 'expert' had said Congress would win. Shows 'Chaiwala' is always much better even in adverse conditions!
#ElectionResults2017 1/n
First let me list the bullsxt factors:
1) Patidar wonder boy Hardik n co made no difference.
#ElectionResults2017 2/n
First let me list the bullsxt factors:
2) RaGa's Gabbar Singh Tax was just a pun. BJP won in big way in urban areas
#ElectionResults2017 3/n
First let me list the bullsxt factors:
3) Anti-incumbancy : Gujju's wanted to throw out a Govt that did Vikas and get RaGa and Hardik? Seriously?
#ElectionResults2017 4/n
First let me list the bullsxt factors:
4) Demonetization : Survey after survey shows it is poor who supported it despite hardships and the pampered classes and politicians opposed it. It did not hurt BJP.
#ElectionResults2017 5/n
Now the unknowns:
BJP improved vote share from 47.9 in 2012 to 49.1 in 2017 but lost 17 seats. Perhaps wins by big margins and losses by small margins?
#ElectionResults2017 6/n
Now the unknowns:
Congress gained vote share compared to 2012 from 39 to 41.4% and gained 17 seats. A party tainted with scams, and collusion with Pakistan gaining vote share? And we aren't even talking about 2014 when it had 33 % vote share. How?
#ElectionResults2017 7/n
Now the unknowns:
BJP did worse in agriculture dominated areas. Why?
#ElectionResults2017 8/n
The unknowns:
BJP won -no doubt by Modi factor. Other than Modi, what does BJP have?
#ElectionResults2017 9/n
Last but not the least:
We shall see soon what BJP makes out of this 'win' . Or should we just look at the Chaiwala?
#ElectionResults2017 10/10
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