Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Herd_Immunity

Most recents (9)

1/. #AYearAgoToday SAGE formally advised lockdown

The govt claimed “the science had changed”

On 13 March, in a meeting attended by 18 govt representatives, SAGE first recommended lockdown

On 14 March, the PM & @carriesymonds hosted a baby shower

On 24 March, UK locked down👇
2/. #AYearAgoToday, @grantshapps said the #coronavirus response of other countries - i.e. lockdown - was "populist" & unscientific

Meanwhile, after the govt promoting #Herd_Immunity,
@MattHancock claimed "We have a plan...Herd Immunity isn't part of it"
3/. #AYearAgoToday, the media reported that the govt had abandoned #HerdImmunity because "the science has changed”

"Pivoted away" was the favoured phrase

But it wasn't true

The science had stayed the same

And the #HerdImmunityScandal was far from over.
Read 9 tweets
WATCH LIVE: Gov. Newsom is expected to announce plans for when California's economy will reopen and stay-at-home orders will be eased. facebook.com/ABC7/videos/24…

Details: abc7.la/2xkHJs7
Newsom says California is starting to shift its focus from the surge of COVID-19 to its suppression abc7.la/2xkHJs7 Image
Until we build #Herd_Immunity, California will do the following...
- Ensure our ability to care for sick in hospitals
- Protect most vulnerable
- Build capacity to protect general public
- Reduce social, emotional & economic disruption

Per CDPH Director Dr. Sonia Angell @ABC7
Read 8 tweets
The curious case of #Sweden

In contrast to other countries Sweden’s confinement measures against #SARS_COV_2 are softer. Their data are for some prove of irresponsible opportunism, for others that the rest overreacted.

Both are (for now) wrong. Long thread on data and nuance./1
Let’s start by debunking some “myths”:
1) and foremost, no, Sweden is not actively pursuing #Herd_Immunity as strategy.
According to Tegnell, Sweden’s state epidemiologist, herd immunity is a *potential* end state, not a potential response strategy.
So what is their strategy? /2
As in other countries their objectives are epidemic peak mitigation while having as little casualties as possible. Math models, as that of the Imperial College, showed millions of deaths if #corona is left unchecked (changing UK and US strategies)./3
imperial.ac.uk/news/196234/co…
Read 34 tweets
8TH APRIL: PREDICTION
Within a few weeks opening UK schools will become a political battleground.

Initially the RW ignored Covid19, the propaganda machine focused on telling us it was scaremongering

When the truth dawned, they were left rudderless for a while.
After the media tried to sell us #Herd_Immunity telling us Britain was more nuanced without scrutinizing the policy, I thought the govs u-turn would being common sense

But they ruined it within an hour by doing this.
The gov swung from Herd Immunity to announcing a lockdown, but the change from keyworkers to work from home makes me believe that they decided to risk the spreak of infection to keep more of the economy going.

I think Herd Immunity is still the strategy
threadreaderapp.com/thread/1243828…
Read 30 tweets
This was @CMO_England two weeks ago explaining why govt hadn’t banned large gatherings & closed pubs, restaurants, schools etc.

"We do need to do it at the last reasonable point” he says.

Today, along with the PM & Health Sec, he come down with #Convid19
Chris Whitty was speaking here on 12 March.

If was 4 more days before the govt realised the scientific modelling upon which they’d based their #Herd_Immunity strategy was wrong.

They did a U-turn on 16 March, but it was too late. #coronavirus #COVID19
Virtually every epidemiologist across the world was saying the same thing: “You need to act quickly to combat #coronavirus.”

Chris Whitty & Patrick Vallance’s view that “we don’t want to act too soon” is why UK is seeing a steep rise in #COVID19 deaths.
Read 4 tweets
What do we know about #covid19UK?
What should you do?

One thing growing faster than covid is keyboard experts.
There are no real experts, including me. But at least I'm an (ex) viral scientist. I give facts and sources.

Ignore those who don't.

A thread on "facts" and learning
🧠1/

Some GENERAL Advice.

No one knows anything for sure on #CoronaVirusUpdate
This is the quote from the W.H.O. when they politely admonished UKGov for killing us on bad science.

If someone says the "science changed" THAT is a lie. It means they ignored the dangers. BADLY.
It's an abuse of English to say science changed. Science changes all the time, that's the definition of science!

To theorise and prove!

So when we make decisions with science - for example, whether #herd_immunity is a thing, that's actually a theory, and we ask how likely it is
Read 31 tweets
There are nasty Chinese racists out there on #covid19. People calling for death, war, blame.

These imbeciles are wrong, obscene, and they're covering up.

The Chinese are heroes who bought us time.
If you want to hate - hate those who then burned it and made it worse. Thread⬇️
Almost everything we know about #covid19UK comes from China and from the people who died so we could learn.

Almost every treatment we have comes from China, and from those who died so we can learn.

Don't believe me go look at the W.H.O.

who.int/docs/default-s…
It's true it didn't start well.
The doctor who found it was arrested and sanctioned.
He was released and soon after died, trying to save his patients.

Have any of you ever worked with the worst of local counsellors - that's the level of the people who made those mistakes
Read 23 tweets
@peterjukes @BorisJohnson 1/. It was actually TEN days ago that @BorisJohnson first mentioned the ‘take in on the chin’ theory.

He told it to @Schofe & @hollywills on #ThisMorning on Thursday, 5 March.

A clip of him saying this was tweeted by @mvdct on the same day.

What happened next was remarkable...
@peterjukes @BorisJohnson @Schofe @hollywills @mvdct On Sunday evening, after a tip off from @CereinynOrd (follow her for #coronavirus), I tracked down the clip of the interview.

The clip beings with Boris saying: "One of the theories is, that perhaps you could take it on the chin, take it all in one go..."
@peterjukes @BorisJohnson @Schofe @hollywills @mvdct @CereinynOrd 3./ He goes on: "...& allow the disease, as it were, to move through the population, without taking as many draconian measures. I think we need to strike a balance."

To me there were two possible explanations for what Boris had said.

The second far more chilling than the first.
Read 61 tweets
Whoever it was in Downing St who briefed out the #Herd_Immunity line has done immense damage to the UK government response to #COVIDー19 thread...
The phrase is normally used in the context of vaccination and seldom - if ever - as a public health strategy in which the majority of the population is allowed to become infected with a little understood and sometimes lethal illness...
It's hard to believe anyone with a medical background would have used it in a briefing. How often do you hear drs recommending exposure to seasonal flu as a strategy for example..
Read 13 tweets

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