Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #JohnSnowMemo

Most recents (8)

#YesToNoCovid!
Wann, wenn nicht jetzt?
Im März hieß es, das sei unrealistisch.
Jetzt sind wir fast auf Null (siehe zB LK #Freising).
Was tun wir, damit das so bleibt?
Ist es jetzt, "nicht nötig"?
Kann man die Bekämpfung der Pandemie also nie beschließen?
1/n
@CDU, @fdp, und besonders @fw_bayern scheinen @BorisJohnson's Kurs verfolgen zu wollen, und Eindämmung aufzugeben.
Warum das nicht sinnvoll ist, erklärt zB die neuste Erklärung zum #JohnSnowMemo johnsnowmemo.com.
2/n
Der Impfstand in 🇬🇧, 🇮🇱 und 🇺🇸 ist weiter als in 🇩🇪.
Trotzdem sieht man dort schon wieder exponentielles Wachstum. Die Steigung ist zum Teil steiler als in der Vergangenheit.
➡️ Impfen allein kann die Pandemie (noch?) nicht bremsen!
3/n
Read 13 tweets
18/n
MAY 16th

Combination of tweet plus clip from Question Time.
A warning that those saying the virus will miraculously disappearing are just telling people what they want to hear, and that inevitably and frustratingly “cases will go up”.

19/n
May: Side note

The group downplaying the severity of #SARSCov2 back in March returned in May to double-down on claims the majority of UK population was already infected & the pandemic was all but over. Again.

They were mistaken again, but still persist.
20/n
MAY 24th

Cummings.
The worst thing isn’t the act, but total lack of leadership & ownership in Govt response.

No, I’ve not moved on. It’s not like I’ve been distracted by their mind-blowing Public Health response. That’s just me, Devi’s take is here:
Read 19 tweets
1/n

THREAD: #SARSCov2 insights from @devisridhar.

Initial objective was to collate a timeline for myself, then I thought it may be useful to others too.

I intended to capture one item for each month, but some months were so packed the thread grew 🙃

Brief summary at end.
2/n
JANUARY 16th

“Take it seriously [...] over-responding is better than delaying action.”

Advice from 16th Jan is still just as relevant today as the basis for an ongoing national response.

3/n
FEBRUARY 9th

“If praising is the cost, it's worth paying for the benefit”

As governments criticised close relationship between China & WHO, a clear explanation why diplomacy was needed for the betterment of global understanding and response.

Read 38 tweets
1)Une grande nouvelle le célèbre virologue @c_drosten a signé le John Snow Mémorandum contre la stratégie d’immunité collective #JohnSnowMemo
2)Les chercheurs : « Nous avons besoin d’une communication claire sur les risques liés à la #COVID19 et sur les stratégies efficaces pour la combattre . Nous partageons notre point de vue sur le consensus actuel fondé sur de nouvelles données .#JohnSnowMemo
3)Le #SARSCoV2 se propage par contact par de grosses gouttelettes et à distance par aérosol. Sa forte infectiosité combinée à une population non immunisée contre un nouveau virus a créé des conditions de propagation rapide au sein de la communauté.
Read 21 tweets
Wow, de Nederlandse vertaling van de #JohnSnowMemo heeft een significant ander beeld van de wetenschappelijke consensus dan de andere talen. Aerosolverspreiding over grotere afstanden in omstandigheden met slechte ventilatie lijkt opzettelijk weggelaten. 1/7
De Engelse versie is: "SARS-CoV-2 spreads through contact (via larger droplets and aerosols), and longer-range transmission via aerosols, especially in conditions where ventilation is poor."

johnsnowmemo.com 2/7
De Nederlandse "vertaling" beweert echter: "SARS-CoV2 verspreidt zich voornamelijk via nauw contact (druppel- en contact transmissie), en in sommige omstandigheden via de lucht."

johnsnowmemo.com/nederlands.html 3/7
Read 8 tweets
Our correspondence in THE LANCET: idea of herd immunity through natural infection is deeply flawed. Uncontrolled transmission in younger people risks morbidity and mortality across the entire population, impact the workforce, overwhelm health care systems. #JohnSnowMemo 1/3
Furthermore, as of now there's no evidence for lasting protective immunity to SARS-CoV-2. Herd strategy would not end the pandemic but result in recurrent epidemics, as was the case with numerous infectious diseases before the advent of vaccination. 2/3
thelancet.com/journals/lance…
Japan, Vietnam, others, used public health to control transmission, allowing a return to near-normal. Controlling spread is the best way forward until safe, effective vaccines & therapeutics.

To support an evidence-based approach, sign the memorandum. 3/3
johnsnowmemo.com
Read 3 tweets
We do not have to choose between lives & livelihoods when fighting #SARSCoV2 - through effective #TestTraceIsolate & suppression, we can allow *everyone* to take part in an open society.

Join myself & more than 80 other #COVID19 scientists & experts - sign the #JohnSnowMemo
Why 'John Snow'? It's not just because winter is coming! John Snow is considered one of the founders of epidemiology - he traced a cholera outbreak in London to a water pump & removed the handle to curb transmission. Quick effective action saves lives!

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Snow
The letter says it best, but why do we stand against 'targeted shielding' & 'natural herd immunity'?
1. We do not fully understand immunity to #SARSCoV2 - we don't know how effective it is, or how long it lasts. It's irresponsible to lean on something we don't know will work.
Read 12 tweets
This week I wrapped up COVID-19 related policy work. Just to quickly pin it, here's a reference thread of my writing about various pandemic topics.
Epidemic forecasts are important, but often fail to translate to on-the-ground decision making. We list a handful of high-priority questions, from basic epidemiology to healthcare data science, that policymakers have been asking us to help them answer.

thelancet.com/journals/langl…
The wildlife trade is implicated in a tiny fraction of emerging disease outbreaks worldwide (and has no concrete link to SARS-CoV-2). Centering wildlife trade regulation as "pandemic preparedness" undermines the work of global health experts.

thelancet.com/journals/lanpl…
Read 11 tweets

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