Profile picture
Tom Randall @tsrandall
, 9 tweets, 3 min read Read on Twitter
There's a lobbying war breaking out between auto manufacturers and big oil over the EV tax credits:

Koch attacks: bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

Biofuels join Big Oil:
reuters.com/article/us-eth…

Tesla+GM+Nissan axis: bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

Trench warfare:
thehill.com/opinion/financ…
We're approaching a critical point of the U.S. EV credit. The credit is given to customers of EVs for the first 200k EVs sold by each car manufacturer. Tesla was first to hit the mark, and the phaseout starts Jan 1. GM is close behind. This puts Republicans in a real bind 2/
Because if Congress doesn't do anything, the U.S. government will soon be in the uncomfortable position of subsidizing ONLY foreign EVs (Ford and Chrysler aren't really making any). That undermines the president's entire approach to trade policy 3/
Plenty of Republicans would be happy to do away with the EV tax credits altogether (which, ironically, would be the second-best option for Tesla because it would level the playing field). But there's no way the new Democratic majority in the House would pass an EV rollback 4/
Which means that from the GOP perspective, the best time for a fix is now, in the lame-duck session, before Dems take control. However, an all-out repeal of the credits is unlikely because several R states are heavily invested (see Nevada, home of the battery Gigafactory) 5/
So instead we have the Heller amendment (Heller, R from Nevada, who just got voted out), which would change the way the credits expire from the current system that punishes the early movers to universal credit expiration of 2022. I think most Dems would be on board, but 6/
Big oil is deeply concerned. First, the change would help permanently establish Tesla—the first company to reach mass-production EV #s. More importantly, they fear would make it easier for Big Auto to lobby to extend the 2022 date later. Oil letter: ogj.com/articles/2018/… 7/
They're probably not wrong in that assumption. The solar and wind credits, which are more similar to the Heller amendment structure for the EV credit, were perennially pushed forward in last-minute budget agreements. Hence, the PR war suddenly breaking out over this issue 8/
If anyone thinks they have a good idea how this ends, I'd love to hear it. Actually, let's vote. What's most likely to happen to the $7,500 U.S. EV tax credit? 9/
Missing some Tweet in this thread?
You can try to force a refresh.

Like this thread? Get email updates or save it to PDF!

Subscribe to Tom Randall
Profile picture

Get real-time email alerts when new unrolls are available from this author!

This content may be removed anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member and get exclusive features!

Premium member ($30.00/year)

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!