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Ben Wikler @benwikler
, 4 tweets, 3 min read Read on Twitter
NEW! The @ResistBot wizards have just launched the PERFECT tool for this moment: text "state" to 50409—and it'll tell you the phone numbers for your state legislators. Or just DM "state" to @ResistBot. Wisconsinites, Michiganders: YOU NEED THIS NOW. Spread the word!
Want to know the phone numbers for your state legislators and governor? Just slide on in to @resistbot's DMs. Your opening line: "state"—and then your address. Boom. Phone numbers galore. Now call and use your constituent power to, oh, say, fight a hideous partisan power grab.
Want to stop the partisan power grab by the Wisconsin GOP? There's a @ResistBot for that. Just text "state" to 50409 and you'll get the numbers to call. Then leave the message that you're opposed to any efforts to undermine Wisconsin's new governor or AG. Boom: resistance magic.
In case you missed it: a rundown of the reason why you might need to urgently call your state officials in Wisconsin or Michigan (after getting their numbers by texting "state" to 50409) can be found in this thread:

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At the Tony Evers/Mandela Barnes inaugural ball in Wisconsin, Tammy Baldwin takes the stage to open up the program. For six years, she kept the light of progressivism alive here. Tonight, every constitutional officer in the state is a Democrat.
Lt Governor Mandela Barnes compliments Senator Tammy Baldwin’s inaugural garb: “I love those coattails!”
(Get it? Like, political coattails helping downballot candidates get elected? It’s an excellent joke, people.)
Read 6 tweets
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"May we be willing to do what’s best for the next generation, rather than the next election." – @Tony4WI
Wisconsin's newly elected Democratic governor, Tony Evers, just concluded his inaugural address this way: "Let's polka tonight, and get to work tomorrow!"

(He really does polka, and will do so at the inaugural ball tonight)
madison.com/ct/entertainme…
Sarah Godlewski took her oath of office today as State Treasurer of Wisconsin—after successfully leading the fight against the GOP effort to eliminate the office. She's dynamite. Keep an eye on her.

madison.com/ct/opinion/col…
Read 9 tweets
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Kids’ inaugural gala for @GovEvers and @TheOtherMandela!
When you elect a teacher governor, he doesn’t just use little ones as props. He throws a gala at the Children’s Museum and talks directly to the kids.
Q&A with kids. Child asks Tony Evers what he, as a kid, wanted to be when he grew up. Answers that he first job was scraping mold off cheese, which taught him what he *didn’t* want to do, so he became a teacher. #KidsGala
Read 5 tweets

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New report on Russian disinformation, prepared for the Senate shows the operation’s scale & sweep washingtonpost.com/technology/201… A report prepared for the Senate that provides the most sweeping analysis yet of Russia’s disinformation campaign around the 2016 election found the operation
used every major social media platform to deliver words, images and videos tailored to voters’ interests to help elect President Trump — & worked even harder to support him while in office.

The report, a draft of which was obtained by The Washington Post, is the first to study
the millions of posts provided by major technology firms to the Senate Intelligence Committee, led by Sen. Richard Burr (R-N.C.), its chairman, and Sen. Mark Warner (Va.), its ranking Democrat. The bipartisan panel hasn’t said whether it endorses the findings. It plans to release
Read 40 tweets
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New report on Russian disinformation, prepared for the Senate, shows the operation’s scale and sweep washingtonpost.com/technology/201…
Russia’s disinformation campaign around the 2016 election found the operation used every major social media platform to deliver words, images and videos tailored to voters’ interests to help elect President Trump -- and worked even harder to support him while in office.
The research -- by Oxford University’s Computational Propaganda Project and Graphika, a network analysis firm -- offers new details on how Russians working at the Internet Research Agency . . . sliced Americans into key interest groups for the purpose of targeting messages.
Read 11 tweets
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DM: "We will invest over £180 million to raise attainment in schools and close the attainment gap – including £120 million that will go direct to head teachers through the transformational Pupil Equity Fund." #ScotBudget
DM: "In 2019-20 we will deliver fair and dignified social security assistance over and above what the UK Government provides, with a total forecast expenditure of £435 million." #ScotBudget
DM: "This will include a forecast spend of £37 million for Carer’s Allowance supplement, providing vital support for our carers." #ScotBudget
Read 34 tweets
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#New Traders, Understand #Mathematics Of #Profit In Market Before You Put Hard #Earned Money On Risk.

Expectancy = Success Rate x Reward Risk Ratio

Lets Talk About Expectancy Of Short Term Directional Trading System.

Read On (1/n)
Success Rate = No Of Profitable Tades/ No Of Loss Making Trades

Reward Risk Ratio = Average Profit Per Trade / Average Loss Per Trade

If Success Rate is 0.5 and Reward Risk 2, Then

Expectancy = 2 x 0.5 =1

For Making Profit, Expectancy Should Be Positive Number (2/n)
To Calculate Expectancy, You Need Defined System With Rules To Get Success Rate and Reward Risk. If You Have No System To Take Decisions, You Are Hanging In Thin Air and Will Never No Whether You Will Keep Making Or Loosing Money In Future (3/n)
Read 12 tweets
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#NEW on ARC2020: #CAP & #MFF | Eco-Spin without Public Goods Substance.
Its been 2 weeks since the MFF proposals, here's our round up of some of the perspectives so far.
All perspective-givers tagged in picture.
arc2020.eu/cap-mff-eco-sp…
What's needed?
@davidbaldock & Allan Buckwell of @IEEP_eu:
1: Sufficient funding for environmental measures in Pillar 1
2: Specifics for New Delivery Model
3: Flexibility for Pillar 1 to 2 transfers
4. Fund ANCs under Pillar 1
arc2020.eu/cap-mff-eco-sp…
#MFF #FutureofCAP #CAP
And who said: "unconditional direct income support to farmers is manifestly absurd in today’s world when it maintains uncompetitive farming practices that have negative implications for the climate, the environment or people’s health"?
Why @AnnikaAhtonen of @epc_eu
Read 8 tweets
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#New PA cong. map increases D chance of winning the House majority by 4%. They only need a 6.8% generic ballot margin now (down from 7.7) to be favored.

Diff. will be closer to 10% in Nov when uncertainty from polls is ⬇️. Redraw is a very big deal.

One major reason the new PA map is such a big gain for Democrats is that it solidifies, not just tips, PA districts in Philly burbs. Also creates one additional vulnerable R district. (Easily seen in this map made by @JMilesColeman)
My forecasting model will have new PA map in the near future. This is not just a simple switch; it’s a coding redesign, restructuring of input, & drawing new geographic files. Takes a while (for me, a student).

In the meantime, just add 3-4% to the model: bit.ly/2018_house
Read 4 tweets

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