There has been increased chatter both inside Opp circles and in Damascus about the possibility of an imminent strike by the U.S on #Syria. It seems that this chatter has been building on the back of private and even public warnings by Russian officials ==>
2-Rather curiously, such expectations of a U.S strike seem more pronounced in “Syrian” circles than in Washington or in US chatter. At first glance, it appears that if a strike were to occur it would be in retaliation to the Syrian Army move in #Ghouta . But this is unlikely =>
3-While Washington May indeed be unhappy about the #Ghouta military operations and now that civilians are leaving, it would make a Ghouta-related US military strike rather unlikely. Instead of Ghouta, any rationale for US strike has to come from those dreaded “Iranian Corridors”
Instead of giving back the city of Afrin to the central government of #Damascus, #YPG took the decision on behalf of all inhabitants, #Kurdxs and Arabs, to pull out and allow #Turkey to occupy it: #YPG "greatest" strategy. No place for Kurds even in the mountains now.
#YPG militants were described for years as "best fighters" and "best military partners" but the war in #Afrin showed they are not best fighters and they are worse planners with no strategy.
In both #Iraq and #Syria, #Kurds political leadership pushed the Kurdish population future and dreams for at least another 100 year back (and I am positive here) as a result of their alliance with the #USA in both cases and countries.
THREAD on #US, #Russia in #Syria:
1.This is getting serious:RUS Chief of Staff says US been preparing sabotage groups at Al Tanf to stage checmical attacks to serve as pretext to attack SYR. According to #Moscow, some of the subversive groups already transferred to #FSA positions
2.MoD claims some chemicals,dozens of detonating fuzes disguised as packs of cigarettes been delivered to town of Dariya. More staged attacks being planned in towns of Al Ghabid, Qalb Loze 25 km NW #Idlib to where 20 containers of chlorines been delivered.
3.Massive info campaign beign prepared to accompany the provocations to pin the blame on #Assad,#Russia.MoD says #Moscow sees "Signs of preparations for possible strikes. In eastern part of Mediterranean,Persian Gulf,Red Sea cutting edge of sea-based cruise missles being deployed
The U.S. is declassifying intelligence that exposes #Assad’s terrible crimes… including last year, when we released satellite imagery that appeared to show a crematorium, located in a regime prison outside #Damascus.
#Novichok is not a weapon that can be manufactured by non-state actors… #Russia has provided no credible explanation… Therefore, we have no alternative but to conclude that the #Russian state was responsible [for a chemical weapons attack on my country].
This was an attack on #UK soil… #Russia is failing to comply with the conditions of the Chemical Weapons Convention…
Let us turn to the part of the CWC that #Russia is not talking about - Russia did not declare #Novichok & is therefore in serious breach of the CWC.
This was a reckless act… #Russia officials have repeatedly threatened those they consider traitors, before & after March 4 attack.
Russia has a history of political assassinations, interfering in other countries & a total disregard for civilian life.
Was in #EastGhouta today, 25 meters from a battlefront btwn Shifouniyeh & Misraba, areas recently liberated from militants. Western journalists flock to humanitarian corridor in north, but not a single one visited this makeshift chemical lab discovered by the SAA yesterday.
With the US threatening direct attacks on #Syria because of alleged chemical weapons use, and the Russians & Syrians claiming militants are using CWs to provoke a US attack...you would think western journalists would be all over this terrorist-run lab - even if to debunk it.
I couldn't even hazard a guess at what was cooking in this terrorist-run lab in #EastGhouta. This stuff needs to be tested by independent experts, but the int'l community isn't interested. You'd think they'd want a look before Trump starts a war over fake WMDs.
"During his recent tour of Europe, disgraced former Trump strategist Steve Bannon declared “Italy is in the lead.” /1 #antifa#Fascism
Amid the historic resurgence of the Italian far right that returned right-wing populist Silvio Berlusconi to prominence, Bannon fantasized about “the ultimate dream” of unifying the anti-establishment Five Star Movement with the far-right League (formerly the Northern League)- /2
2. The author also says U.S should “cut a deal” w. #Erdogan, in which “the #YPG will sever all support for the #PKK” … [despite the vast majority of #PYD/YPG leadership being long-time PKK/KCK veterans.]
Speak to anyone who regularly visits #SDF in NE - PKK calls the shots.
3. The author also links recent pictures of #Aleppo’s public park to compare “2016 charnel house” to 2018 "civilians strolling through its rebuilt public park.”
Except the park sat in regime-held territory & was barely touched in 4yrs of war. How does conquered east Aleppo look?
#Europe "an increasingly complex & competitive security environment," SACEUR/@US_EUCOM Commander Gen. Curtis Scaparrotti tells #SASC in opening statement
"Our adaptation to the environment has made significant progress...particularly under the European Deterrence Initiative" per Gen Scaparrotti, calling it "the largest reinforcement of Euro-Atlantic Defense in a generation"
Gen Scaparrotti also says @NATO alliance "is strong" and that "European allies & #Canada have turned a corner on defense spending with increases in each of the past 3 years" adding $46 billion to defense spending
.@StateDeptSpox: Brutal airstrikes by Russia and the regime continue, especially in Eastern #Ghouta, despite the unanimous UN Security Council vote on February 24th to demand an immediate cessation of hostilities throughout #Syria.
.@StateDeptSpox: Strikes on Eastern #Ghouta in recent days have demonstrated the farcical nature of Russia’s proposed humanitarian corridor. Russia is clearly attempting to feign implementation of UNSCR2401 while showing complete disregard for the ongoing humanitarian disaster.
.@StateDeptSpox: Russia’s unwillingness to adhere to its numerous commitments was fully demonstrated again by the fact that trucks carrying much needed aid were forced to withdraw from the area due to pro-regime attacks which killed dozens of innocent civilians. #Syria#Ghouta
After the mujahidun inflicted the regime forces important losses through ambushes&the result of their infiltration attacks during the past 72 hours, the regime resorted to the strategy "scatter the mujahidun forces." This is how JI Spokesperson began his daily account to
give an accurate account of events in East alGhouta during the past 24 hours, i.e for 5/03, and couter the regime claims of progress.
The regime launched several attacks against several fronts: alRyhan, alShifuniya, alAshari and alMashafi in Harasta.
The regime launched an attak on another axis, that is alRyhan from two axis : al Miyah and alKunsurwa. The mujahidun thwarted their attack and killed 25 of the regime militias, a T72 was damaged.
THREAD: The full story of Syria's #Raqqa 'The Capital of Liberation' from the uprising until the devastation:
Raqqa is the Syrian city, situated northern eastern Syria. 1970s the Euphrates dam was built and turned the poor small town of Raqqa into a city.
During the evolution process of Syria, Raqqa's share of development projects was small & most of the resources were stolen by Regime's officials and the state budget was being stolen by Hafiz Assad and his loyal elite. Therefore Raqqa city remained one of the poor cities of Syria
#Syria conflict has more "4 minute men & women" manufacturing consent 4 NATO intervention than Pres. Wilson had in lead up to US involvement in WW1. Also worth noting, candidate Wilson also said "no war" as did candidate #Trump. #WhiteHelmet r modern day salesmen of death.
2⃣Feb 27 - #Rasht, N #Iran
Investors demanding their stolen savings from the #IRGC-linked #Caspian credit firm.
They're chant : our money has been lost- under the cloak of mullah #IranProtests
Feb 27 - #Ahvaz, SW #Iran
Employees of the Ahvaz National Steel Group continuing their strike & protests outside the Khuzestan Province governor's office on 8day
the workers show the empty their table (food) in street
THREAD on #Russia's stance in Eastern #Ghouta:
1.#Putin convened a National Security Council meeting today to discuss the situatiion,;directed all RUS agencies involved in #Syria abide by the 2401 #UNSC Resolution, emphasized "terrorists [in the area] continue their provocations"
2. Despite the UN vote #Moscow stands firm in its position:Western media campaign around East #Ghouta is "crocodile tears","they been silent on militants shelling of #Damascus for 2 years now that #SAA,RU go after militants (yes,not only HTS)everyone suddenly cares for civilians"
3.Yet the scale of humanitarian tragedy demanded urgent action.The decision to let civilians out seen as temporary fix since many radicals will flee along w/ them, amass in other parts of town,thus humanitarian tragedies where radical shild w/ civilians doomed to repeat
#Syria: for over two years the people of Maarat al-Numan have protested continuously against Jabhat al-Nusra (& synonyms #JFS, #HTS).
Now the city together with the whole Jabal al-Zawiya region of #Idlib are freed of jihadists, thanks to local #FSA & #JTS
#Syria: as #JTS and #FSA forces are also advancing around Atarib (W #Aleppo) and Maarrat al-Misrin #HTS is at risk of being split into two separate pockets. One east of the M5 highway and the other in the region between #Idlib city and the #Turkey border
#Syria: meanwhile #HTS is trying to counter the rebel offensive throughout "greater" #Idlib by attacking the town of Batabo, located just west of Atarib
With the continuous flow of hundreds of well trained and armed Syrian popular forces, the Turkish #OliveBranchOperation is expected to be halted in the coming week: #Damascus clear confrontational attitude towards #Ankara seems obvious +
#Turkey knows that #Damascus is not acting alone and that #Russia is not far from seeing the Central government regain control of the Kurdish #Afrin enclave when #Kurds accepted all the Syrian gov conditions +
In the coming weeks, #Russia and #Ankara will have to find a way out to save #Turkey's face and present a scenario where everybody is a winner, including the #Kurds who have managed to save the destruction of the enclave.+
#Iran / #Syria Thread: Key to understanding this topic is to appreciate how perceptions matter just as much reality. Similarly, the political angle of this topic also matters just as much, if not more, than the empirical & Intel-based facts related to this subject matter =>
2-As early as Dec 2016, some of us warned here (see thread below) that @realDonaldTrump Admin was likely to take an anti-Iran tilt & make it a pillar of its regional strategy. The Admin was also expected to be more Pro-Israel than its predecessors. Both turned out to be right =>
3-In order to understand what the U.S. is currently doing in #Syria , one needs to understand what the U.S. couldn't possibly do politically once the mission of ISIS's "annihilation" was complete. So, why didn't @realDonaldTrump do his own "mission accomplished" and leave? =>
#Breaking:An Israeli F-16 fighter has been shot down by #Syrian anti-aircraft fire on a raid to destroy Iranian facilities.
The Israeli military claims it shot down the drone and struck Iranian targets in #Syria after what it called a “severe violation of Israeli sovereignty.”