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Seth Abramson
@SethAbramson
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
2020 DEM RACE

IN
⬆️Buttigieg
⬆️Castro
⬆️Delaney
⬆️Gabbard
⬆️Gillibrand
⬆️Harris
⬆️Warren
⬆️Yang

VERY LIKELY
⤴️Booker
⤴️Hickenlooper
⤴️Sanders

LIKELY
↗️Biden
↗️Bullock
↗️Garcetti

?
↔️Bloomberg
↔️Brown
↔️Inslee
↔️Klobuchar
↔️Landrieu
↔️McAuliffe
↔️Merkley
↔️O'Rourke
↔️Swalwell
2020 GOP RACE

IN
🆘️Trump*

*Barring impeachment and conviction or resignation.
2020 DEM RACE (EDITS)

LIKELY
+↗️Brown
+↗️Inslee

?
+↔️Bennet
x↔️Brown
+↔️Clinton
x↔️Inslee
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More from @SethAbramson see all

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Seth Abramson
@SethAbramson
I want you to imagine the sort of human being who would be (a) a prosecutor, and (b) close friends with a career criminal, and then (c) be fine with that

And then I want you to imagine Chris Christie
2/ I guess this is my way of saying I don't give a rat's ass what Chris Christie says about anything or anyone and neither should you because his credibility is six feet under
3/ Christie's big push is to separate himself from the scummy miasma that is Trump's milieu without alienating a man he hopes will be a future meal ticket. If you hang around Trump/Giuliani and their ilk you're hanging around men you *know* only pretend to care about rule of law.
Read 3 tweets
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Seth Abramson
@SethAbramson
(1 of 2) I saw something strange on Twitter today: the idea that those attorneys who see criminality in elements of the "grand bargain" major media has written of are *also* claiming Mueller will *charge* a "grand conspiracy." This is a misunderstanding by folks who are confused.
(2 of 2) A "grand bargain [partly criminal]" and "grand conspiracy [wholly criminal]" are different concepts. I've anticipated conspiracy or aiding/abetting charges against a *small* group, charges of *some* kind against 12-15, and a grand bargain that has some criminal elements.
(PS) Some of the confusion between the "grand bargain" investigative theory of the Trump-Russia case and the idea almost no one's put forward of a "grand conspiracy" is propagated by those aiming to discredit people who discuss Trump-Russia on Twitter. That's annoying, but life.
Read 5 tweets
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Seth Abramson
@SethAbramson
(THREAD) Here are 20 indications that Mueller has *months* of work left to do. I write this thread in the shadow of a vague, hesitant, afterthought-like remark that AG Whitaker made today. I hope you'll read on and retweet; this may be the most important issue before the country.
1/ A note: please do *not* read this thread without watching the below (very short) YouTube video *first*. You cannot understand why Whitaker's comment is unusual, possibly *not* news, and likely inaccurate until you see the context in which it was made.
2/ You also need to know that Whitaker is getting his Mueller info secondhand, via briefings by Rosenstein—who, contrary to erroneous early November 2018 reports, *is* still overseeing the Mueller probe until he leaves DOJ. Meanwhile, Whitaker will be *out* as soon as Barr is in.
Read 23 tweets

Related threads

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Victoria Brownworth
@VABVOX
As a reporter who's covered the past 2yrs with increasing despair, I must say that it is just truly uplifting to look at a slate of Democratic candidates who are smart and focused, hard-working and exciting.

It's hard to imagine we do not get our woman president in 2020.
1/
I have spoken extensively about why Biden & Bernie aren't options--we must have a 2020 nominee who can be a 2024 incumbent. I feel hopeful that voters won't make that mistake & will look at fresh voices, their work for America and remember the message of the midterms: Women.
2/
2016 was a proving ground. I wrote in a column this week that #HillaryClinton took the body blows for years so that we could see what a tough, brave, progressive woman candidate looked like over a grueling campaign. It's painful she isn't in the WH creating change.
3/
Read 8 tweets
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☇RiotWomenn☇
@riotwomennn
Biden, Klobuchar, Warren, Beto, Harris, Kennedy, Schiff, Swalwell, Holder, Booker, Castro, Newsome, Brown, Gillibrand, Buttigieg, Abrams

Fit, qualified people of achievement who believe in the Democratic platform & values that cut across all issues for all people

#2020campaign
Net neutrality, healthcare, gun safety, infrastructure, teachers, pensions, SSec, children on the border, DACA, wages, repro freedom, equality, voting - open your eyes

100% of the time we're fighting the GOP & the Democrats are fighting for me ... for us

#2020campaign
The real issue? It is not the Democrats don't have a platform. It is not that Democrats don't have a message. It's not that Democrats don't have fantastic candidates.

Republicans hear about Democrats from Fox News & their churches.

No avenue to hear our message & ... racism
Read 3 tweets
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Victoria Brownworth
@VABVOX
Wow. If you're still stanning for this guy, you are working for the other side. Racist, sexist, homophobic and just plain AWFUL.

Bernie: 'My Opponents' Want Black, White, Gay, Latino or Women Candidates 'Regardless of What They Stand For' mediaite.com/online/bernie-…
Why is Bernie slamming Democrats AGAIN and ignoring the wave of women and POC that gave us back the House?
#Gillibrand and #Warren both have more progressive voting records than Sanders. #Harris created the cash bail work he takes credit for. AND they are all running.

Awful.
Remember when Bernie said it this?

Bernie Sanders drew a swift backlash after saying white voters who are "uncomfortable" voting for a black candidate are "not necessarily racist." huffingtonpost.com/entry/bernie-s…?
Read 5 tweets
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Victoria Brownworth
@VABVOX
Been on deadline all morning and just came on here to find this scurrilous misogynist garbage from Politico on #Gillibrand, the senator with the current most progressive ranking in the Senate.

Thanks to @rtraister for calling this what it is: blaming women for men's actions.
The obsessive and dangerous sexism that pervades our politics is the fundamental reason @HillaryClinton isn't president--Russia, Comey and Sanders aside.
As a nation we always center mediocre men over accomplished women. Witness Schumer being re-elected after abject failure.
Meanwhile, Pelosi faces a cadre of right-leaning white men who want to challenge not just her, but the very message of the midterms, which was to give her a win, refute the GOP attack on her and center women & POC over white male candidates/incumbents.
Read 8 tweets
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Elizabeth Lea Vos
@ElizabethleaVos
Democrats and Republicans, Independents and Greens should be fully supporting Tim right now and calling out the corruption loudly if he is cheated yet again.
Canova is the singular progressive to finally fight the corrupt @DNC by calling out the voting interference for what it is & exiting the DNC system entirely. His **actions** are what strongly differentiate him from progressives like #Sanders & @Ocasio2018 who bow to the DNC.
Sick of me talking about Tim Canova? Sorry, almost no other journalists are giving his campaign coverage, and it is the single most important 2018 race - regardless of your political affiliation. (Which is why it is blacklisted from MSM discussion while other races are reported)
Read 3 tweets
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Ethan Grey
@_EthanGrey
1. Saw this study cited in an article recently, and yeah, this is unsurprising and explains a lot. wappp.hks.harvard.edu/files/wappp/fi…
2. If a woman is perceived as seeking power, it makes voting for her less likely. Conversely, this correlation was NOT found with men perceived as seeking power.
3. A complementary result was found for women who EXHIBIT their desire to seek power; people are less likely to vote for them. Whereas men BENEFITTED from exhibiting their desire to seek power.
Read 5 tweets

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