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Fionna O'Leary #FBPE #FBIR 🔶
@fascinatorfun
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
If the UK leaves the EU without a deal on 29 March, export licences for millions of tonnes of waste will become invalid overnight. Environment Agency (EA) officials said leaking stockpiles could cause pollution....liquefying piles of manure.
#BrexitIsShit theguardian.com/politics/2019/…
EA staff, asking for 42 VOLUNTEERS to staff crisis management centres that would deal with incidents. On Tuesday the chief executive of the civil service revealed plans to move up to 5,000 staff into an emergency command and control centre in the event of no deal.
I volunteer anyone who voted Brexit to do the work and for any excess waste to be dumped on their land.
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Fionna O'Leary #FBPE #FBIR 🔶
@fascinatorfun
Summary of different polls on voting intention. Excluding the one that’s over a month old (in italics) most put the Tories and Labour neck and neck, maybe 1 % between them.
Kantar puts LP 3% ahead, but Opinium and YouGov put Conservatives ahead by 7% and 5% respectively.
However we should keep an eye on Pantheon Economics and the Consumer Confidence Index as that has been a reliable indicator of Government change. (Toombs called it right for both the GE 2015 and 2017).

Whennth CCI is -10 expect a change of Gov.
Can’t see anything but a hung Parl
A GE seems a grossly irresponsible thing to hold and completely highlights the gross hypocrisy of both Cons and Labour FB who say people cannot change their minds on a ref that would, by then, be 3 years old, yet can have 3 general election in a 4 year period, that settle nothing
Read 3 tweets
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Fionna O'Leary #FBPE #FBIR 🔶
@fascinatorfun
1/ Corbyn, a fan of democracy when it suits him, especially in opposition, has become a dictator now he has some power.

Thanks @TimesCorbyn for this Hansard excerpt. MPs should represent the interests of their constituency.

HC Deb 14 May 1990 vol 172 cc599-602.
2/ Corbyn-2015
“One firm commitment I make to people who join our Labour Party is that you have a real say, the final say in deciding on the policies of our party... No-one – not me as Leader, not the Shadow Cabinet, not the Parliamentary Labour Party – is going to impose policy"
3/ Corbyn 2016 onwards.

“Do as I say”.

June 24 2016 . Says A50 Notice must be given now. Didn’t consult with MPs, members or LP voters as to their desired position

Whipped MPs again and again to votes on Brexit that had no detailed planning, agreement on model.
Read 4 tweets
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Fionna O'Leary #FBPE #FBIR 🔶
@fascinatorfun
REDONE Thread:

Controversial Facial Mapping software being trialled by Met police. Campaign group seems to be from
55 Tufton Street AGAIN.
Matthew Elliot (100% shareholder AGAIN).
Mark Littlewood from opaquely funded IEA AGAIN that boasted of its influence over Govt Ministers
Great scoop from @mrjamesob revealing the background to the campaign group protesting at its use.

All the original company information remains unchanged.

Thanks to @mccanntb for pointing out the error.

lbc.co.uk/radio/presente…
3/.
Read 3 tweets

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Edwin Hayward
@uk_domain_names
Some confusion about the detail of the EU settlement scheme inside Government. The official page says "The deadline for applying will be 31 December 2020 if the UK leaves the EU without a deal." but Anne Milton MP says it's 29 March 2020 in a Written Answer on 31 Jan. @AnneMilton
Official page...
gov.uk/settled-status…
Link to the Written Answer...
theyworkforyou.com/wrans/?id=2019…
Read 3 tweets
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Peter J. Nicholls 🏳️‍🌈
@Peter_Nicholls
The amount of people who are totally at ease with a #NoDealBrexit is worrying. We should all be very concerned about no-deal. It’s the one outcome that really has guarantees, and they’re not positives at all.

I’ll try my best to be as clear as I can. /1
2/ Firstly, There’s a misunderstanding that we can carry trade as usual under WTO for next few years under no-deal. This is wrong as the Article 24 that does this does not apply to a nation coming OUT of a free trade agreement.
3/ “Trade experts say this covers the circumstances of two countries forming a new trade agreement, not of them leaving one.
WTO #Article24 DOES NOT oblige the EU to continue providing the full benefits of the single market for the next ten years...
Read 15 tweets
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David Hills
@WanderinTeacake
1/ Backstop explainer because it's not at all weird that the reasons why the backstop is important are still widely misunderstood less than two months before we exit the EU.
2/ Okay. The EU have - rightly in my opinion - made the preservation of peace in Ireland a vital part of their negotiating position. Back in 2017, the UK agreed with this aim, and agreed the border between NI and RoI must be kept open.
3/ The Good Friday Agreement enshrines the open border, and the UK, RoI & EU all have a part in preserving it. For one party to walk away from that treaty, rather than seek to replace it with something better, would be quite the move.
Read 39 tweets
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Dmitry Grozoubinski
@DmitryOpines
1/ "Britain should not fear crashing out of the EU on WTO terms" tweets the @FT, as if this were established truth and not a 337 word letter to the editor from the desk of 'Brains of Brexit' Shankar Singham.
2/ Article starts by conceding a deal would better than No-Deal, which is nice.

Then it links to an editorial (ft.com/content/bb7302…) called "London’s financial sector will take a knock in 2019" to say, "No need to worry about that!"

Financial services never comes up again.
3/ Then there's this.

"If the UK leaves the EU without a deal, the WTO will still exist and it will be a Member."

True.

Also if the UK pulls out of NATO, the UN Security Council will still be there.

This is the last time the EU is mentioned in this article.
Read 11 tweets
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Dmitry Grozoubinski
@DmitryOpines
1/ No-Deal Brexit, Baa-d News for British Sheep Farmers, Tariff Thread

While the EU isn't hugely protectionist when it comes to tariffs, there are individual product types where the bloc is a bit of a fortress. Unfortunately for British sheep farmers, sheepmeat is one of them.
2/ The EU uses a system of tariff quotas for sheep meat.

As a reminder, quotas consist of two different rates, an 'in-quota' and an 'out of quota' rate.

Only a fixed volume (tonnes for sheep) of imports a year are eligible to receive the lower, in-quota rate. The rest are not.
3/ For sheep the in-quota rate is 0%, so tariff free, while the out of quota rate is 12.80% EUR + 171.30 EUR/100kg.

World prices are at around 500 EUR/100kg, so that out of quota rate is equivalent to about a 45% tariff. That's a pretty solid lockout from the market.
Read 16 tweets
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J.N. PAQUET ✒
@jnpaquet
How @DailyMailUK twisted the results of @Survation poll and created a nice little frontpage to support Theresa May with some beautiful YESes in red and some lovely supporting words, even though the front page does not actually reflects the results of the poll...
So, let's have a closer look at some of the questions asked and the ACTUAL answers of voters...
Q1. When UK Govt's negotiations over the terms of Britain's exit from #EU are complete, would you support or oppose holding a People's Vote - a referendum - asking the public their view?

- Support 48% 👈
- Oppose 34%
- Don't know 18%

Large margin 14% to support a #PeoplesVote!
Read 18 tweets

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