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Summary of different polls on voting intention. Excluding the one that’s over a month old (in italics) most put the Tories and Labour neck and neck, maybe 1 % between them.
Kantar puts LP 3% ahead, but Opinium and YouGov put Conservatives ahead by 7% and 5% respectively.
Kantar puts LP 3% ahead, but Opinium and YouGov put Conservatives ahead by 7% and 5% respectively.
However we should keep an eye on Pantheon Economics and the Consumer Confidence Index as that has been a reliable indicator of Government change. (Toombs called it right for both the GE 2015 and 2017).
Whennth CCI is -10 expect a change of Gov.
Can’t see anything but a hung Parl
Whennth CCI is -10 expect a change of Gov.
Can’t see anything but a hung Parl
A GE seems a grossly irresponsible thing to hold and completely highlights the gross hypocrisy of both Cons and Labour FB who say people cannot change their minds on a ref that would, by then, be 3 years old, yet can have 3 general election in a 4 year period, that settle nothing
