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Adam Payne
@adampayne26
, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Senior MPs I've spoken to this morning expect Letwin to pass this evening. What HMG is reportedly offering on indicative votes isn't going far enough.
Or not offering at all?
There’s chatter among ministers that May is going to pull her version of indicative votes out of acceptance that Letwin is going to pass
For clarity, unlike Cooper-Benn last week, Letwin envisages a business of the House debate *and* indicative votes taking place on the same day (Wed 27th)
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More from @adampayne26 see all

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Adam Payne
@adampayne26
A minister texts to predict that May has lost by around 50
MPs reject the Withdrawal Agreement by votes 344 to 286

Majority: 58
Theresa May: "I fear we are reaching the limits of the process in this House..."

Hello
Read 5 tweets
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Adam Payne
@adampayne26
DUP isn’t budging. Some ERG MPs are but not enough. Nor are Labour MPs. MV2.5 will fall tomorrow and so will a May 22 Brexit. The UK will leave the EU on April 12 without a deal unless the Commons swallows a long extension and a big political event - soft Brexit, GE, referendum.
This could be much closer than a lot of us (including me) thought
It's a fast-moving situation but the current consensus among MPs on both sides is that May is heading for a narrow defeat. Labour is nervous but one MP says: "There will be movement on numbers but I don’t see big numbers of Labour MPs." A former Cabinet minister agrees.
Read 4 tweets
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Adam Payne
@adampayne26
Big news on Labour whipping for indicative votes:

• Labour MPs *whipped* to vote FOR: Corbyn’s alt plan, Beckett’s public vote, and the 2 customs union amendments (Snell, Clarke)

• Corbyn will be voting FOR Common Market 2.0 and is “encouraging” Labour MPs to do the same
There's some annoyance among Common Market 2.0 backers that Corbyn isn't whipping for it (yet)

"Labour whip and Tory free votes and we would’ve done some serious damage today," one MP supporting it says
Starmer says Common Market 2.0 is not Labour's "preferred" Brexit *but*...

"We do recognise that it would deliver a close economic relationship with European Union.. It'd protect jobs... It is credible and deliverable. It should remain an option."
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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Steve Bullock
@GuitarMoog
This un-cheery thread hits the nail on the head - UK must agree to EP elections and a way forward or it’s No Deal, and this Govt can’t be relied on to do either, particularly the latter.

Parliament must take control and force its hand. 1/
This mean Parliament coalescing around a proposal. This week no individual one got a majority, though some came closer than expected.
2/
But they were not all mutually exclusive. You can break them down into a) models for the future relationship (CU, Common Market 2.0 etc) and b) questions of process (People’s Vote, No Deal Backstop). 3/
Read 11 tweets
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Tom Kibasi
@TomKibasi
THREAD

If parliament backs a customs union in the indicative votes, why shouldn’t it back May’s Withdrawal Agreement?

First, let’s be clear: the backstop is a misleading name. In the absence of any known alternative, it isn’t a fall-back but rather the default.

(1/11)
Given the absence of alternatives for the Irish border, and the fact that the withdrawal agreement has no mechanism for exit and allows only for a one-time extension of the standstill transition, the backstop must be assessed as the future destination (see Robbins, O.)

(2/11)
But for advocates of a soft Brexit—including the Labour party—why should this matter?

The problem is the lack of control—too little attention has been paid to the risks of being within a customs union without a say.

(3/11)
Read 12 tweets
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Ali Adair #WaveCast #WaveCastFL
@AliAdair22
🌎Donald Trump—🌪️Roger Stone—🔥Paul Manafort—🌬️Roy Cohn

📃Part Two

🕵️‍♂️2008: Eliot Spitzer🕵️‍♂️

villagevoice.com/2010/10/05/eli…
🔍Months before the scandal became public, Roger Stone tipped the FBI in a letter (written by Stone’s attorney Paul Rolf Jensen) that then New York Governor and former Attorney General of New York Eliot Spitzer had a “thing” for prostitutes.
🔍In March of 2008, details of the scandal came out—complete with Stone’s intimate details that Spitzer wore black dress socks while having sex.

🧚‍♂️The myth of the black sox appeared to be invented by Roger Stone.

😬Meanwhile, Spitzer was forced to resign in disgrace.
Read 56 tweets
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Str8 Don Lemon🍋👫🍺🌈❤
@Str8DonLemon
#Editorial: Don’t underestimate @Ocasio2018

I know many like to meme her, but right should FOCUS

Mass campaigns 2 lobby congressman/senators on issues like immigration and gun confiscation nonsense by calling them will accomplish more than memes

Memes great
Action better
Making a funny meme?

Why not consider calling your congressman?

202-224-3121

Etch that number into your memory. It’s the DC switchboard, and they will connect you to anybody.

The left has organizations that are paid to organize and lobby citizen action
What does the right have? We have ourselves basically.

I know it’s easy to get frustrated by inaction on many things, but THIS HAS ALWAYS BEEN HOW IT IS.

The regressive left got pissed at Obama for not going far enough on health care. And they’ve been pushing harder ever since
Read 29 tweets
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Paula Chertok🗽
@PaulaChertok
OMFG AT LEAST 7 DEAD IN PITTSBURGH SYNAGOGUE. This is happening!! My parents survived the Holocaust, and Americans are willfully repeating the hate and demagoguery that led to the worst atrocities in modern history. WAKE TF UP. Trump's far-right extremists are killing our country
Now a Synagogue. What did ppl expect? Demagogue POTUS goes around the country spewing hate every day. Says neo-Nazis are fine people. Attacks Soros, "globalists". Anti-Semitism is NOT BOTH SIDES. Jews must dump Trump & enabling Republican cowards. They are the danger. #Pittsburgh
>>REPUBLICAN leader @kevinomccarthy, California-23, stoking anti-Semitism with a propaganda tweet about Soros, Steyer & Bloomberg? He deleted it after today's horrific shooting at Pittsburgh Synagogue. Guess he knows inciting hate crimes for votes is a bad look. #ENOUGH #VOTEBLUE
Read 8 tweets
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John Kaminar
@jidk1187
THREAD: 1/ “A well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear Arms,
2/ shall not be infringed.” Thus says the 2nd Amendment to the Constitution. But it’s time we think clearly about this amendment.
3/ I’m not lawyer, nor am I an expert on the Constitution. But I can read and think (to a degree), and here’s what I’m thinking.
Read 46 tweets

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