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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Late for breakfast, so my brain may be fuzzy. But do you concur with my logic here? Looking at "revoke A50" petition signing patterns, it becomes interesting when the number of signatures exceeds the number of votes for the 2nd place candidate at GE2017.
livefrombrexit.com/petitions/2415…
That would appear to mean that, assuming those signing the petition also vote the same way, the votes garnered by the second place candidate can only increase (assuming they're the soft/no Brexit candidate)
So for example (fictional numbers)

Candidate A: 17,472
Candidate B: 12,624
Petition signatures: 14,232

That would suggest that Candidate B should get at least 14,232 votes at the next GE if they're the obvious "stop the disaster of a hard Brexit" candidate.

What do you think?
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More from @uk_domain_names see all

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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
I believe the chance of a no-deal Brexit went up enormously yesterday. Several factors:
- Theresa May's announcement she would quit means there's less *personal* consequence if she allows it to happen. ("What's the worst they can do? Fire me?")
- Renewed focus on Brexiters
as a result of her announcement. Many would relish a no-deal scenario.
- Failure of PV or revoke-as-last-resort to secure majorities in 1st round of indicative votes. It was always very likely nothing would get a majority, but there's immense hostility in the HOC against round 2.
Taken together, the factors above have really shifted the needle towards no-deal.
Read 5 tweets
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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
Margaret Beckett's motion M (Confirmatory public vote) could have been won last night, were it not for 27 Labour MPs voting against and 18 abstaining. Just 14 of the 27 voting the other way would have done it. We always knew it would be Labour dependent. commonsvotes.digiminster.com/Divisions/Deta…
Here's the breakdown of the 27 and 18 MPs in question...
It's a classic "you had *one* job" situation. And they fluffed it on the night. Can you even begin to imagine the conversations (and headlines) if it had attained a majority?!
Read 8 tweets
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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
INDICATIVE VOTES
(Baron) No Deal 160 y n 400
(Boles) CM 2.0 188 y n 283
(Eustice) Efta & EEA 65 y n 377
(Clarke) CU 264 y n 272
(Corbyn) Labour 237 y n 307
(Cherry) Revoke to avoid No Deal 184 y n 293
(Beckett) Confirmatory vote 268 y n 295
(Fysh) Managed No Deal 139 y n 422
No majority for anything but there is clear blue water between the nutty unicorn/suicidal stuff and everything else.
Just a reminder that nobody really expected majorities to emerge during stage 1 of this 2-stage process.
Read 3 tweets

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Here's another anti-Hillary petition on @MoveOn.
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@Dedalvs
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