, 5 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
Been dancing around this take because I *do* think Sanders can win (one of the more likely nominees IMO). But was time to write it because I think people are wimps and overcompensating for 2016:

#Actually, Bernie's polling isn't that good. 🔥🔥🔥

Sanders is polling at ~20% nationally with ~100% name recognition. Slightly higher in NH but slightly worse in Iowa. Historically, candidates in a similar position don't have a great track record. (3 for 15 in winning nominations, or 20%).
Sanders's favorability/unfavorability ratings have varied a lot from poll to poll. But on average, they're in the upper-middle part of the pack, not at the top. Biden's negatives are lower and candidates like Buttigieg and Harris have better ratings adjusted for name recognition.
I also think the Sanders campaign's strategy is a bit dubious. If they're really hoping to win at the convention with a ~30% plurality of delegates, their rivalry with the Democratic establishment is going to be a big problem for them.
Again, y'all are welcome to your opinions over who the frontrunner(s) are, I think it's probably pretty close between the top 4-5 (including Bernie). But don't go around thinking/writing that Sanders's polling is great. It's decent, it's tenable, but it's sort of a mixed bag.
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