"Today we are strengthening U.S. policy in a vital, contentious part of that region — the #SouthChinaSea. We are making clear: #Beijing’s claims to offshore resources across most of the South China Sea are completely unlawful, as is its campaign of bullying to control them."
"In the #SouthChinaSea, we seek to preserve peace and stability, uphold #freedom of the #seas in a manner consistent with international #law, maintain the unimpeded flow of #commerce, and oppose any attempt to use coercion or force to settle disputes."
"Prelim. reports..indicated..the [#Indian] soldiers had not been shot, but had been killed in a brawl involving rocks & wooden clubs that was similar to fights that broke out last month along the border & seriously injured several soldiers on both sides."
"20 Indian soldiers dead after clash w Chinese troops high in the Himalayas, Indian army says washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pac…
The conflict is the 1st deadly encounter between Indian & Chinese forces in 45 years & marks a severe escalation in tensions betw/ the 2 nuclear-armed neighbors."
"The deaths occurred in the mountainous region of #Ladakh where #India & #China share a disputed...#border. No Indian soldiers have been killed in clashes on the frontier between the 2 countries since 1975, experts say, & no casualties of this magnitude have occurred since 1967."
Given @USNavy’s dispersed global responsibilities vs. #China’s concentrated focus on being able to fight/win regional war over a sovereignty dispute, potentially vs. US & 1+ allies/partners, a sufficiently-sized #USNavy is required to preserve American security & vital interests.
See great chapters by Profs. Elizabeth Perry, Joe Fewsmith, Rod MacFarquhar, Mark Elliott, Ya-Wen Lei, Arunabh Ghosh, Yuhua Wang, Arne Westad, Robert Ross, Ian Johnston, Steve Goldstein, Ezra Vogel, Richard Cooper, Dwight Perkins, Meg Rithmire, Mark Wu, Tony Saich, Nara Dillon...
..Michael McElroy, Karen Thornber, Susan Greenhalgh, James Robson, Leonard W. J. van der Kuijp, Bill Alford, Bill Kirby, Michael Puett, Rowan Flad, Peter Bol, Wai-Yee Li, David Der-wei Wang, Jie Li, Stephen Owen & Paul Cohen!
"UK, France & Germany on same virus trajectory as Italy...@FT data analysis shows that many countries grappling with rising #coronavirus cases are on a similar trajectory—& potentially facing the same challenge—as Italy." ft.com/content/986b53… See the careful work @jburnmurdoch
"In most western countries case #s have been increasing by around 33% a day. This is as true of the UK, France & Germany as it is of #Italy. The latter is simply further down the path. In the city-states of #HongKong & #Singapore the rates of increase appear to have been been..."
"relatively well contained through the quick introduction of strict control measures. #Japan has also reported a flatter case trajectory than western countries, though views differ over whether this is the result of measures such as school closures or simply due to the low #s..."
"It is increasingly clear that much of the blame for the seriousness of the #coronavirus’s spread can be placed on the culture of lying & covering up bred by #China’s deeply flawed & highly corrupted Marxist-Leninist system 'with Chinese characteristics.'" ucanews.com/news/chinas-wa…
"Yet it’s also worth reflecting on the limited tools that the #Chinese government has to deal with the situation due to its parallel wars on both #religion & #civil society. The two are closely related as across the world the Catholic Church, Protestant denominations, Islam..."
"Buddhism, Hinduism, Judaism & most other organized religions play an outsized role in civil society through religion-backed organizations & charities devoted to humanitarian services. The Catholic Church has traditionally been very active in providing such services..."
"Commenters have especially condemned the perceived absence of the local, provincial &even nat'l authorities in the heart of the outbreak..Xi had made few public remarks about the disease bf Sat, when he called for officials to “stand @ the front line to safeguard social stablty”
"'Where is that person? He is not on the front line,' 1 user wrote on #Weibo, a Twitterlike platform, an apparent reference to Mr Xi. The posts were quickly deleted." nytimes.com/2020/01/25/wor…
"Beijing’s response highlights longstanding tensions between national & local officials"
"A professor of infectious diseases in #HongKong who helped identify #SARS, Guan Yi, has accused #Chinese authorities of delaying action & of obstructing his efforts to investigate the #outbreak."
"Today, #China faces the spread of another mysterious disease, a #coronavirus, which so far has killed 17 [+] people & infected > 540 [++]. And while Beijing’s response has improved in some ways, it has #regressed in others. It is #censoring criticism."
"It is detaining people for spreading what it calls 'rumors.' It is suppressing info it deems alarming. Though China’s censors are busily scrubbing the Chinese internet, the... online community is registering its disappointment & alarm over Beijing’s handling of the new virus..."
CCP "has tightened its grip on the internet..media & civil society. It has deeper pockets & a greater ability to control the flow of info.[Thus], many of the media outlets, advocacy groups, activists &others who held the gov't accountable in 2003 have been silenced or sidelined."
PRC strategy has broadly-defined arc that US should address w/ strategy of “#CompetitiveCoexistence” to safeguard interests sustainably amid increasing assertiveness.
@WarOnTheRocks With the grandest & most strategic vision of any great power, Xi & his Party have staked their persistence in power on the proposition that they alone can make China great again, in part by achieving hierarchically prioritized national security interests.
@WarOnTheRocks Realizing this “#ChinaDream,” as #Xi defines it, by 2049 or even earlier requires subordinating #HongKong to Beijing’s unchallenged control, incorporating #Taiwan formally into the PRC, and realizing a variety of disputed #NearSeas sovereignty claims.
"Under a secretive deal signed last month with a provincial government in the [#SolomonIslands], a Beijing-based company with close ties to the CCP has secured exclusive development rights for the entire island [of #Tulagi] & its surroundings."
"The island of #Tulagi served as a South Pacific headquarters for Britain then Japan, and during #WorldWarII, its natural deepwater harbor made it a military gem. Now, #China is moving in with plans to effectively take control."
"Even compared to previous #Chinese development deals in nearby countries — including a wharf in #Vanuatu, whose terms were not publicly released for years — the #Tulagi agreement is remarkable for both its scope and lack of public input."
My take: #Russia wouldn’t fully honor #INF. #China wouldn’t join INF. Unilateral constraint was a losing proposition: China developed the world’s foremost force of #missiles precisely within the ranges that INF would prohibit. So this increasingly antiquated treaty had no future.
1 post-INF option for US—reach agreements w allies/partners to allow rapid introduction of missiles in various contingencies to support their defense. Even if peacetime politics precluded permanent deployment, more concerning scenarios could tip balance in favor of local support.
“He added that the US had to ‘accept some friction and force Beijing to choose between de-escalating — the preferred US outcome — or to move up against a US red line that China would prefer to avoid’.” amp.ft.com/content/ab4b16…
"The US navy has been conducting FONOPS..sends warships through disputed waters to prevent a claimant from denying others access in violation of int'l law. Analysts have long pushed for a more effective US response to counter China’s mix of mil, paramil & econ coercive measures."
"Xi is trying to consolidate all the available info about a person into a centralized database to create a 'social credit system'..people will be evaluated by algorithms that will determine whether they pose a threat to the 1-party state. People will then be treated accordingly."
People the state considers troublemakers may be sent to jail—or sent on vacation.
bei lüyou—“to be touristed”—joins passive voice phrases describing things PRC gov’t does to people
Chinese #netizen slang: "whenever law enforcement frames people, or otherwise conscripts them into an activity, the prefix bei is used to indicate the passive tense. Hence: bei loushui (to be tax-evaded), bei zisha (to be suicided), bei piaochang (to be johned), and so on."
"In a joke [Chinese liberals—educated urbanites] liked about the 2016 U.S. election, a bunch of eunuchs are so appalled by the bawdy quarrels among the married folk that they congratulate themselves: 'How fortunate we are to be castrated!'"