Tories sack Theresa May after the euro elections. Leadership contest from the beginning of June.
How long will that take? MPs plus national ballot. Three weeks?
The first problem is the confidence and supply with the DUP. The Tories can't afford an election before the summer holidays, so they'll have to keep the DUP sweet.
Which means ditching May's withdrawal agreement
And now they know that they're facing a general election in the Autumn. They probably won't even do a Queen's speech in September, we'll just go straight into the election. Pencil in October 10th
There is only one policy they can have. Offer the country another referendum to abandon Brexit. Tories win a majority, five more years.
Thankyou Seumas Milne, Owen Jones and the Guardian