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Simon Hix
@simonjhix
, 4 tweets, 3 min read Read on Twitter
Ready for the #EP2019 results tonight, here's a summary of our forecast (w/ @kevcunningham & Michael Marsh) compared to the @EuropeElects and @POLITICOEurope forecasts (@sarahobolt @AgataGostynska @LuukvMiddelaar)
Just noticed a slight error. Sorry! Here are the correct figures
And here's where you can find more details: ecfr.eu/page/-/EUROPEA…
And here's a table of seats by member state:
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Simon Hix
@simonjhix
This is like a Brexit comedy sketch ... (ht @DavidHenigUK) gov.uk/government/new…
No disrespect to the Faroe Islands, though. They make fabulous jumpers, btw!
And here's the famous jumper :-)
Read 3 tweets
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Simon Hix
@simonjhix
Quick take after tonight's votes:

After the rejection of the Cooper and Reeves amendments, and the acceptance of the Brady amendment, it looks like we're down to 2 options: May's Deal vs. No Deal, as delay of Brexit has been taken off the table.
1/
But, I think it is unlikely the EU27 will budge on the backstop, as Tusk and others have stated, which will mean the ERG and other Tory Brexiteers will prefer No Deal to May's Deal
2/
In which case, we will be heading for a No Deal Brexit unless Labour are willing to support May's Deal
3/
Read 5 tweets
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Simon Hix
@simonjhix
THREAD: If (when?) Brexit has had a devastating effect on the UK’s economy and society, this act of self-harm can be blamed on a litany of failures by our political class and institutions. In reverse order: 1/
Failures by May, Davis and Johnson and co. to recognise their relative bargaining weakness, the incompatibility of their ‘red lines’, or to make any attempt to build a broad consensus in the House of Commons 2/
Failures by Cameron to negotiate a good deal in 2016, to understand Merkel, to try to use the Euro crisis for venal ends (the pretend “veto”), to engage with the Spitzenkandidat process, and the decision to pull the Tories out of the EPP 3/
Read 10 tweets

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Edwin Hayward🦄🏹🗡️
@uk_domain_names
Here's Boris Johnson in more unguarded times, saying he would vote to stay in the single market. This deserves a lot of love, so you know what to do!
Here's a great summary of some of the most two-faced positions taken by Boris Johnson on the subject of the EU, the referendum and the importance of the single market. It won't surprise you to learn he can hardly stay consistent from one week to the next.
eu-rope.ideasoneurope.eu/2018/02/14/bor…
And here's another wrap-up (with some inevitable overlap) of times Boris Johnson called for us to stay in the single market...
businessinsider.com/boris-johnson-…
Read 17 tweets
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molly 🐶
@socialistdogmom
tonight’s charlottesville city council agenda is here

charlottesville.org/home/showdocum…
tonight’s the first council meeting with the new clerk of council, kyna thomas. we’re underway now, with councilor signer not present (but en route, according to heather)
hey @CvilleCityHall, where’s the livestream?
Read 148 tweets
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Ryan Struyk
@ryanstruyk
If you're watching election results tonight, here's a breakdown of what I'm going to be watching for in the race for Congress as the numbers come in -->
Here are the magic numbers to keep in mind tonight:

Democrats need to flip 23 SEATS in order to win back the House.

Democrats need to flip 2 SEATS in order to win back the Senate.
The first exit polls will land at 5:00pm so we'll have some ideas about makeup of the electorate compared to previous years, etc. The first actual races close at 6:00pm: KY-6 will be the one to watch, with an eye on IN-9, but we won't read *too* much into these.
Read 8 tweets
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Josh Meyer
@JoshMeyerDC
Sometimes one interesting story leads to another. Last year I wrote about how some U.S. govt probes into global drug trafficking by Hezbollah’s terrorist wing were derailed by the Obama admin's zeal for the Iran nuclear deal. politi.co/2jbt6fW
After we published that story, a message popped up in my encrypted email inbox. A former DEA and Justice Dept official told me the same thing happened to his team, but worse... and in Afghanistan.
This one involved standing down a long-running DEA investigation in Afghanistan into the kingpins atop the global narcotics trade, who supply more than 90% of the world’s heroin and help fuel the #opioid crisis in the U.S.
Read 16 tweets
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Alexandra Bell
@atomicbell
Tonight's @MadamSecretary finale takes on a nuclear nightmare. I will be live tweeting this intense episode, adding context, historical notes, & links to info about how we can reduce nuclear threats together. #MadamSecretary
Breathtaking monuments in DC riddled with bored teenagers looking at their phones. While not nuclear policy-related, I can confirm this is accurate. #MadamSecretary
Japan gave us 3000 cherry trees in 1912. In 2012, we sent 3000 dogwood trees to Japan as a symbol of our friendship. I saw some of them when I visited Hiroshima and Nagasaki. bridgingfoundation.org/friendship-blo… #MadamSecretary
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amber sumter
@ambersumter
So I’ve been wanting to be play this game..Finally going to do it...
1. (#Damon & #Elena) #Delena |You want a love that consumes you. You want passion and adventure, and even a little danger..#TVD
2. (#Liam & #Steffy) #STEAM | No one can stop us. You know why? Because we are written in the damn stars.
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