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More information about the Post EU19 Voting Analysis from Lord Ashcroft polls.
1/. Most Tories who voted for another party say they will stick with that party.
2/ Only 2/3rds of those who voted BXP want no deal.
3/ 23% of BXP voters want a negotiated deal lordashcroftpolls.com/2019/05/my-eur…
1/. Most Tories who voted for another party say they will stick with that party.
2/ Only 2/3rds of those who voted BXP want no deal.
3/ 23% of BXP voters want a negotiated deal lordashcroftpolls.com/2019/05/my-eur…
4/. Among those who stayed with the Tories, 36% backed Theresa May’s deal,
5/ 17% of those who voted Tory wanted a different deal and
6/ 14% of those who voted Tory wanted no deal;
7/ 28% of those who voted Tory said they wanted the UK to remain in the EU.
Interesting.
5/ 17% of those who voted Tory wanted a different deal and
6/ 14% of those who voted Tory wanted no deal;
7/ 28% of those who voted Tory said they wanted the UK to remain in the EU.
Interesting.
8/ 90% of those who voted Lib Dem wanted to remain, (silent as to the desires of the 10%. ? EEA? Don’t know?
9/ Only 30% of those who voted Labour voters want to leave – most of those (18%) with a deal different from Mrs. May’s.
9/ Only 30% of those who voted Labour voters want to leave – most of those (18%) with a deal different from Mrs. May’s.
10/. Of the Tories that voted for the Brexit Party
Only 32% of 2017 Tories who switched to the Brexit Party said they would come home at the next general election;
52% currently say they will stay with the Brexit Party.
Only 32% of 2017 Tories who switched to the Brexit Party said they would come home at the next general election;
52% currently say they will stay with the Brexit Party.
11/.
Tories that switched to the Lib Dems say they are even more likely to stay put:
61% now say they will vote Lib Dem again at the general election, with only 22% saying they expect to return to the Tories.
(Reminder-53% of 2017 Tories switched to BXP, whilst 12% to LDs)
Tories that switched to the Lib Dems say they are even more likely to stay put:
61% now say they will vote Lib Dem again at the general election, with only 22% saying they expect to return to the Tories.
(Reminder-53% of 2017 Tories switched to BXP, whilst 12% to LDs)
12/. So. Of those who voted Labour in EU19 70% want to remain.
Of those who voted Tory 28% want to remain
And 33% of those who voted for the BXP do NOT want No Deal.
And a large chunk of Tories and LP voters who switched party in EU19 do not see themselves returning.
Of those who voted Tory 28% want to remain
And 33% of those who voted for the BXP do NOT want No Deal.
And a large chunk of Tories and LP voters who switched party in EU19 do not see themselves returning.
13/. Just think about those Tory figures.
OF THOSE who voted Tory, 28% in the EU19 want to remain. PLUS the 12% of GE17 Tories that shifted to the LDs
That is quite a thought.
OF THOSE who voted Tory, 28% in the EU19 want to remain. PLUS the 12% of GE17 Tories that shifted to the LDs
That is quite a thought.
14/. Of the Labour 2017 voters.
I think we can conclude that the 22% that went to the Lib Dems, and the 17% switched to the Greens want to remain. 39%
ON TOP OF THAT 70% of those who stuck with LP in EU19 want to remain.
Just 13% of LP 2017 vote went to the Brexit Party.
I think we can conclude that the 22% that went to the Lib Dems, and the 17% switched to the Greens want to remain. 39%
ON TOP OF THAT 70% of those who stuck with LP in EU19 want to remain.
Just 13% of LP 2017 vote went to the Brexit Party.
