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Very interesting analysis by @CER_Grant: "Much of the Kremlin’s self-confidence stems from the belief that the Western world is changing in ways that suit Russia." newstatesman.com/world/2019/05/…
"Russian analysts reckon that the US will be less focused on intervening around the world to uphold a liberal, rules-based, US-led order, and that it will be more nationalist, mercantilist and interest-focused."
"Several well-placed Russians believe that Europe’s increasingly “realist” world-view, combined with its deteriorating relationship with the US, will spur it to seek friendship with Russia. Europe will need Russia in order to avoid being squeezed between America and China."
"Russians believe that the Chinese share their world-view and that the two countries strengthen each other vis-à-vis the US. They note that the US’s confrontational attitude to both is driving them together."
"But Russians also describe the relationship with China as a marriage of convenience and are wary of becoming dependent on an economic giant. (Russians) want to be able to play the Europeans and Chinese against each other to increase their freedom of manoeuvre."
