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Ryan Struyk
@ryanstruyk
, 2 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Here's the "very favorable" number among in-person Iowa caucusgoers via new CNN/DMR poll just out:

Warren 38%
Biden 34%
Buttigieg 32%
Sanders 32%
Harris 31%
Booker 20%
O'Rourke 15%
Klobuchar 12%
Playing with these stats a little: Here's the favorable-to-unfavorable ratio among in-person Iowa caucusgoers in CNN/DMR poll:

Buttigieg: 5.1 to 1
Harris: 4.8 to 1
Warren: 4.2 to 1
Biden: 3.0 to 1
Booker: 2.9 to 1
Sanders: 2.8 to 1
O'Rourke: 2.6 to 1
Klobuchar: 2.4 to 1
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More from @ryanstruyk see all

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Ryan Struyk
@ryanstruyk
New CNN/DMR poll in Iowa:

Biden 24%
Sanders 16%
Warren 15%
Buttigieg 14%
Harris 7%
Klobuchar 2%
O’Rourke 2%
Bennet 1%
Booker 1%
Castro 1%
Delaney 1%
Gabbard 1%
Inslee 1%
Yang 1%
Bullock <1%
Gillibrand <1%
Moulton <1%
Ryan <1%
Swalwell <1%
Williamson <1%
de Blasio 0%
Messam 0%
Aaaaaaand Hickenlooper <1%. Can't fit the full Dem 2020 field in one tweet.😭
New CNN/DMR poll by ideology among likely in-person caucusgoers:

Among liberals:
Warren 22%
Buttigieg 18%
Biden 17%
Sanders 16%
Harris 9%

Among moderates/conservatives:
Biden 31%
Sanders 18%
Buttigieg 10%
Warren 7%
Harris 2%
Read 4 tweets
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Ryan Struyk
@ryanstruyk
New @CNN poll:

Biden 32%
Sanders 18%
Harris 8%
Warren 7%
Buttigieg 5%
O’Rourke 5%
Booker 3%
Castro 2%
Klobuchar 2%
Bennet 1%
Gabbard 1%
Gillibrand 1%
Inslee 1%
Ryan 1%
Yang 1%
de Blasio <1%
Delaney <1%
Hickenlooper <1%
Williamson <1%
Bullock 0%
Messam 0%
Moulton 0%
Swalwell 0%
Biden's support stands at 32%, down slightly from 39% in April in new @CNN poll. No other statistically significant movement.
2020 Democratic primary by age via new @CNN poll:

Voters under 45 years old:
Sanders 26%
Biden 19%
Harris 9%
Warren 7%
Buttigieg 6%
O'Rourke 6%

Voters over 45 years old:
Biden 45%
Sanders 10%
Warren 8%
Harris 7%
Buttigieg 4%
O'Rourke 4%
Read 5 tweets
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Ryan Struyk
@ryanstruyk
Just landed in Omaha and I have 22 hours to kill. Who knows cool things to do in Omaha?!
guys it’s nice here
also i forgot normal people say hi when they walk past you on the sidewalk
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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Victoria Brownworth #PrideMonth
@VABVOX
#Biden slumps, #Buttigieg soars, tied with #Sanders and #Warren, #Harris next in benchmark #Iowa poll thehill.com/homenews/campa…
Critical point here is that the MSM is claiming that #Sanders "came within a handful of votes" of #HillaryClinton, when he lost in a landslide of 4M votes, 1k pledged delegates (not SDs) and a dozen states.
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This false narrative harms #Sanders--it's meant to highlight how badly he's doing in 2020 and prop up #Biden. But Sanders is actually doing better than in 2016. There are just more players. And Biden is being replaced by a younger centrist, #Buttigieg.
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Yashar Ali 🐘
@yashar
New CNN/Des Moines Register Iowa poll

Biden: 24%
Sanders: 16%
Warren: 15%
Buttigieg: 14%
Harris: 7%
Klobuchar: 2%
O’Rourke: 2%

All candidates below are at 1%

Bennet
Booker
Castro
Delaney
Gabbard
Inslee
Yang

Candidates not listed above are in image below and fell below 1%
2. Since the last poll both @PeteButtigieg and @ewarren have soared. Biden and Sanders have dipped.
3. Easier read chart of the polling results.

Via @DMRegister
Read 4 tweets
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Angus Johnston
@studentactivism
This is a fascinating chart.
One thing I noticed poking around the data: They also asked the standard first-choice question, and on that question it's a pretty pro-Warren poll. So take her second-place showing in the chart above with a small grain of salt.
Here are the first-choice numbers:

Biden 33
Sanders 17
Warren 16
Buttigieg 9
Harris 7
O'Rourke 4
Read 7 tweets
Profile picture
Victoria Brownworth
@VABVOX
So per @NBCNews, these are the latest fundraising rankings.
These are significant because #Warren is after #Sanders and #Harris in the polls where they rank 1st and 2nd (not counting Biden since he's not in) but her fundraising is below #Booker.
As these money rankings stay, Warren is in trouble for the debates like Castro and Gillibrand are because of the rules on how fundraising numbers = viability. Not making the debates would be terrible since #Warren & #Gillibrand are the most progressive & #Castro the only Latinx.
Also, these daily totals are averaged, but they aren't representative as a metric because all these candidates entered at different times & Sanders never stopped fundraising from 2016.
The question is, how much is no big donors hurting #Harris & #Warren?
Read 3 tweets
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Jake Tapper
@jaketapper
CNN/DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL
Dec. 10-13
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC CAUCUSGOERS
Top Choices for Nominee

Biden 32%
Sanders 19%
O’Rourke 11%
Warren 8%
Harris 5%
Booker 4%

Sampling error: +/-4.6% pts
CNN/DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL
Dec. 10-13
Top Choices for
Democratic Nominee

Men Women

Biden 33% 31%
Sanders 22% 17%
O’Rourke 13% 10%
Warren 8% 9%
Harris 2% 7%
Booker 3% 4%

Sampling error: +/-6.8% pts
CNN/DES MOINES REGISTER IOWA POLL
Dec. 10-13
LIKELY DEMOCRATIC CAUCUSGOERS
Top Choices for Nominee

Under 45 Age 45+
Biden 30% 35%
Sanders 27% 10%
O’Rourke12% 10%
Warren 9% 8%
Harris 5% 4%
Booker 3% 5%
+/-6.6% pts
Read 3 tweets
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davealvord164
@davealvord164
1/
 Reuters "Trump approval direction by states". Look at all the red arrows showing his falling approval in so many states
2/
 "80%+ of every single demographic says the economy will be extremely or very important to their midterm vote in November via new @CNN poll:"
👇👇👇
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townhall.com/columnists/kur…
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