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Richard Baris
@Peoples_Pundit
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Where to start, right?

How about Geriatric Joe Biden? Does anyone seriously think that's still too harsh?

Moving on...

Big takeaway, this is why we say early polls mean nothing. Because they do mean nothing.

D-Nom will move, and they've all hurt themselves w/ a GE electorate.
Why is taxpayer-funded healthcare for illegal immigrants such a bad political position for Dems in a GE?

Not only is it a deeply unpopular proposal, it hurts Dems among persuadable voters who cite healthcare as a top concern.

"Illegals? What about my healthcare?!?! 😡"

Get it?
In a truly competitive election, those healthcare voters are prime targets for Democratic candidates.

But again, they'll be asking...

"Illegals? What about my healthcare?!?! 😡"

These are truly swing voters, and they won't be shamed w/ accusations of racism, other social bias.
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More from @Peoples_Pundit see all

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Richard Baris
@Peoples_Pundit
Some big disparities between Quinnipiac Poll and others post-debate. Not sure @JoeBiden slipped THAT much. But if so, here's why.

White Ds: Biden 21% vs. Harris 20% vs. Warren 20%
Black Ds: Biden 31% vs. Harris 27%

Harris also leads 24/22 w/ women.

Best Policies: Warren at 31%
The biggest takeaway from the Quinnipiac Poll is this...

Ignore media hype RE: candidates THEY like, i.e. @PeteButtigieg, @BetoORourke, etc., It is wishful-thinking nonsense.

Over-educated white liberal elites don't pick Democratic nominees. No black coalition, no nomination.
Take 2008.

Yes, Barack Obama captured the attention and saliva of those over-educated white liberal political elites BEFORE he snagged the black coalition from Hillary Clinton.

They gave him Iowa.

But he essentially snagged enough of Clinton's black support by South Carolina.
Read 6 tweets
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Richard Baris
@Peoples_Pundit
Tomorrow is a pretty important day. I will have an article out explaining it more. It's the first day of July.

So what?

So, it marks the first day of the 121st month of the expansion, surpassing the 10-year record. It'll be longest period of expansion since the mid-1850s.
FTR, the DataTable will go back to the business cycle starting with the expansion in December 1854 (Q4). What a pain, but it was worth it. You'll see.
Happy U.S. Expansion Month.

Barring unforeseen calamity, the month of July marks the longest period of U.S. expansion since the mid-1850s. (Chart+DataTable+Table).
Read 3 tweets
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Richard Baris
@Peoples_Pundit
They cry when Trump calls them the "Enemy of the American People" and "Very Fake News"?

Acosta lies about his comments re: Charlottesville & CNN runs a puff piece covering for Antifa violence. Now a physical attack on a journalist, Stelter calls a "messenger."

Who could argue?
Would a "Friend of the American People" lie to them like that?

If they seriously can't see that point, then I feel badly for their "friends". Good people don't treat their friends like a means to an end, insult their intelligence or think they're too stupid to see it.
This is why we call them the #BigMediaHateMachine.

That lie CNN pushed re: Charlottesville is dangerous. You'll hear it in standup comedy routines on Netflix and while covering Antifa.

Remember that the next time Stelter & Acosta cry about feeling threatened by Donald Trump.
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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Matt Delmont
@mattdelmont
"Biden takes flak on race and busing. But his views may still mirror America’s" by @isaacstanbecker. This is a good piece that quotes historian Brett Gadsden, whose book "Between North and South" is the best place to start to understand Biden and "busing" washingtonpost.com/nation/2019/06…
To understand the #DemDebate2 exchange between #KamalaHarris & Joe #Biden, you have to understand that "busing" has been used since the 50s as a code word to oppose school integration. I cover this history in "Why Busing Failed" & the book's website whybusingfailed.com/anvc/why-busin…
White parents in the North organized after Brown v Board to maintain segregated schools, using euphemisms like "busing" & "neighborhood schools" to maintain segregated schools without explicitly saying they didn't like black or Latinx students #DemDebate2 whybusingfailed.com/anvc/why-busin…
Read 10 tweets
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Victoria Brownworth #PrideMonth
@VABVOX
Stunningly damning piece with some data about #Biden even I was unaware of. Marcotte makes some critical points here about Biden and his birth control history.
1/
 It's not just one gaffe: Joe Biden can't be counted on to fight for reproductive rights salon.com/2019/06/14/its…
The most crucial point in Marcotte's exegesis is that #Biden has always stood up for right wing Catholics and evangelicals over women on repro rights and she outlines specific instances including as VP that are quite disturbing.
2/
And it IS telling that the small percentage of pro-#Biden poll numbers among women are all post-menopausal age. Which is cringeworthy when you think about it. Choice has to be protected for all women and girls. So as Marcotte notes, the nominee must be all in for women.
3/
Read 4 tweets
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Linda KWS
@LindaKWS1
@samstein VP Joe Biden's ability to negotiate with congressional Republicans helped the Obama administration pass legislation like 👇

#Biden #JoeBiden #TeamJoe
@samstein “Their willingness to say no to everything — the fact that since 2007, they have filibustered about 500 pieces of legislation that would help the middle class just gives you a sense of how opposed they are to any progress-" President Barack Obama, in 2014
msnbc.com/morning-joe/ob…
@samstein “History will look back and note that Republicans in Congress treated President Obama with unprecedented disrespect,” Reid said, arguing that soon after Obama was elected, the GOP set out to make him a one-term president and obstruct anything he did.
huffpost.com/entry/harry-re…
Read 7 tweets
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Victoria Brownworth #PrideMonth
@VABVOX
As @rtraister wrote in detail for @TheCut in March.

Is #Biden even still running? Didn't show in California. Where is he?

Biden's past abortion record holds surprises: report msnbc.com/morning-joe/wa…
Here's the @rtraister piece on #Biden. It's long but tremendously informative.

Joe Biden Isn’t the Answer
thecut.com/2019/03/joe-bi…
This is another good piece on #Biden by @joanwalsh

Good Luck, Joe Biden! You’ll Need It. via @thenation thenation.com/article/good-l…
Read 4 tweets
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Amanda Marcotte
@AmandaMarcotte
Biden's old man rant about the horrors of dance parties is why he's not really as "electable" as people think, especially since Democrats really need to turn out the youth vote. theslot.jezebel.com/joe-biden-kill…
Per @marcfaletti's comment, I think I can see John Lithgow doing a good Joe Biden impression.
Anyone out there feel up to doing Kevin Bacon's barn dance? We can set it to the Chemical Brothers and mock Biden with it.
Read 7 tweets
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cinyc
@cinyc9
Tutorial on how to make a map using QGIS. I'll turn @SenhorRaposa's 2000 Vermont town data into a map showing by how much Gore outran Senator Jeffords (or vice versa) in every town.
Step 1: Download QGIS for your computer, which is available here:
qgis.org/en/site/foruse…
You'll also need some of Census' Tiger/Line County and County Sub shapefiles. The main download page for those is here:
census.gov/cgi-bin/geo/sh…

A direct link to the 2017 VT county sub shapefile is here: ftp://ftp2.census.gov/geo/tiger/TIGER2017/COUSUB/tl_2017_50_cousub.zip
I can't find a 2017 County file by state, so we'll use the 2009 verison here:
ftp://ftp2.census.gov/geo/tiger/TIGER2009/50_VERMONT/tl_2009_50_county.zip
(We could always edit the 17 national county file in QGIS & create a 2017 VT-only county shapefile, but let's keep it simple.)
Read 176 tweets

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