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Staedtler
@Staedtler
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
But the BBC doesn't matter very much. Especially with Brexit.

It's fact that will determine the course of Brexit, not bluff and bluster. The BBC can't bring itself to report fact any more, so they're redundant.
I keep reporting fact. Three facts.

1. Parliament won't vote for the withdrawal agreement.

2. Europe won't provide another

3. We can't leave Europe without one
The BBC is obsolete. In three years, with all their journalists and all their money, they couldn't figure out what I've been able to put in a single tweet.
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
The date of the election depends on whether the government initiates the vote, or if it comes from a no confidence vote.
But according to the Parliament website, the earliest possible date for a general election is now October 24th.
And the Tories will have to ask for an extension to cover that. They wouldn't dare fight an election on an imminent no deal Brexit.
We talked about knowing things without official announcement, and what we know since yesterday is this:

This government can no longer survive. The election will force them to ask for an extension. And at least one party we know of will offer a second referendum.
Read 4 tweets
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
It's because the deputy speakers don't vote, but because they retain their original party membership (unlike The Speaker) they don't show up separately in the party lists.
And when you want to work out how many voting MPs each side has got, you have to know how many deputy speakers came from which particular party.
And the clarity on these details is non-existent on the parliament website.
Anyway, all; sorted now, thankyou.

Tory + DUP: 320

Opposition: 319

Government working majority: 1.
Read 4 tweets
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
Should we explain or is it too much?
Of 650 MPs, Sinn Fein have 7 who never take their seats.
So parliament has 643 sitting MPs

Of those 643, the Speaker sits as an independent, and he never votes except to break a tie, when he votes for the status quo.
It's already too much. I can tell.

Of 642 voting MPs, the Tories and DUP have 322, and the Opposition have 319.

But there are three deputy speakers who don't vote as well. One is Tory, and two are opposition. Which leaves 321 - 317.
So the Tories+DUP have an effective majority of 4. With one seat vacant.
If the Lib Dems win Brecon and Radnor today that will add one MP to the opposition, making the tally 321 - 318.

A Tory-DUP operating majority of 3.
Read 6 tweets

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Peter Foster
@pmdfoster
Some facts and figures on this - the value of UK lamb exports to the EU, the value of the 'new opportunities' in Japan, and the gap between the two 1/thread. #Brexit #NoDealBrexit
First UK lamb exports to the EU....and specifically Welsh lamb...this from BBC /2

bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-…
And this from FarmingUK, which puts UK 2017 exports at £384m and rising consistently...from £302 million in 2015 and £327 million in 2016. /3
Read 9 tweets
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
In the often divisive Brexit world of ‘them and us’ it’s easy to forget that, beyond Brexit, EU leaders still see the UK as a close partner and ally. Today’s messages of congratulation to Boris Johnson from across Europe were a timely reminder.. /1
Whatever happens with Brexit, France, Germany, Poland et al still very much hope to work closely with the UK on international issues like Russia sanctions, Iran and human rights protection BUT /2
EU leaders’ welcoming tone does not signal a willingness to accept whatever Prime Minister Johnson might demand in terms of changes to the Brexit deal. He’s right when he says a no deal Brexit is bad for Brussels but he overestimates EU wiggle room /3
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Peter Foster
@pmdfoster
I have to say, even I didn't appreciate quite how grim the reception would be for May's new 'greatest hits' #Brexit comipilation...but the savagery is a reminder of a persistent truth about this negotiation. /1 Thread

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/…
Right from the get-go, going back to David Cameron's Bloomberg speech when he was full of optimism about reforming the EU in the UK's image, getting a derogation on free movement, there has been a mismatch between expectations and reality. Consequently.../2
Every single product of these negotiations over a three-year period is delivered in London & Westminster stillborn.

However artfully constructed, the product of compromise always pales against the unalloyed visions set out by the Rees Moggs and the Farages of this world. /3
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Elizabeth Lea Vos
@ElizabethleaVos
Every journalist - indie or not - with integrity and who values truth-telling should be screaming their lungs bloody about what has happened to #Assange and what is happening to him, as a baseline minimum.
Other subjects - an infinitude of unrelated stories - matter very much, but what happens to Assange & WL will determine the ability of media to cover them, and the future of journalism as a whole.
As discussed recently by @caitoz.

medium.com/@caityjohnston…
Read 3 tweets
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Pete North
@PeteNorth303
1. Nobody ought to be surprised by the ineptitude unfolding in British politics in respect of #Brexit. Brexit really just brings it centre stage - but it has been there all along for those who care to look...
2. Take the Iraq invasion. Our generals assured us that it was just a matter of keeping the peace and ti was our recent experience in Northern Ireland than made us the operational experts. That assessment proved to be... less than accurate. Some might say breathtakingly arrogant
3. We assumed that we could keep the peace by running a hearts and minds operation going out in soft skinned landrovers. It didn't take long for that idea to disintegrate and soon we were taking avoidable casualties and losing control of the situation.
Read 21 tweets
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Alex Usher #FBPE
@Alex250175
More #Brexit misinformation, with added Russian connection, the spin is just brilliant, here's the jump:



So Bernie has a mate, Lance "humble fishmonger" Forman telling us how "real family businesses" are pro brexit.....

Good yeah?
...but Lance Anisfeld (his real name) is a dapper, silver salmon-shaped cufflink wearing, multiple business owner working from a fish shaped building:

Forman & Field online, Forman's (Pricey) Restaurant, Forman’s Fish Island (Events Venue) and Forman’s Smokehouse (Art) Gallery.
...not quite comparable to the average family business is it?

...and that's not all, further investigation reveals that far from a dedicated family businessman, he was a special adviser in the early 1990s to Peter Lilley, when he was a minister at the DTI.

...but wait...
Read 5 tweets

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