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Long Reads Sunday #61 - How Everything Changes ed.

Underneath what appeared a relatively calm, end-of-summer week was the specter of seismic change of the global money order.

Don’t believe me? Well, cop a ☕️ & let’s dive in. It’s Long Reads time!
2/ The two poles of the week were Binance announcing Venus - a regionalized, government collaborative version of Facebook’s Libra - and Bank Of England Mark Carney’s stunning proposal for a "Synthetic Hegemonic Currency” to replace USD as the global reserve currency.
3/ Binance’s announcement of Venus was almost subdued. Blog posts went live Sunday, and interestingly, the blog post in Chinese was a much fuller statement, more defiant and directed in its invocation of transforming a new financial era.
4/ Binance invoked China’s belt-and-road initiative to describe how, if Libra is a top down, external force, Venus would be a bottoms up collaboration that allowed governments to issue digitized versions of their currencies. @DoveyWan explained on 3@3:
5/ Not content to let Binance have all the fun, Tether dove into the fray w/ reports that they will issue ‘CNHT,’ a new stablecoin pegged to the Chinese yuan. @DoveyWan with why some weren’t pleased and get the full backstory here
6/ In this video, @SimonDixonTwitt also gives more background on the entire space of digital versions of offline fiat currencies while honing in on the competition between a People’s Bank of China digital currency and Tether’s pegged version.
7/ The question is why is all this happening now?

One part of it, undeniably, is Libra. The entrance of Facebook into the global Game of Currencies has significantly increased the urgency for central banks to find their place in a digital world.
8/ That said, if Libra has set off the starting gun for others, it has not yet cemented its role in the new world order whose coming it has accelerated. @JoeSquawk & @SquawkCNBC discussed reports that 3 Libra Assoc. members are getting cold feet
9/ In many ways, however, all of this was simply prelude to the most seismic moment of the week, which were Bank of England governor Mark Carney’s remarks at the annual central banker gathering at Jackson Hole.
10/ @TuurDemeester highlighted the key points from Carney’s speech on a “Synthetic Hegemonic Currency” and summed it up here: technology has the potential to destroy the dollar’s network effect.
11/ This idea *has* been floating around outside of Carney’s speech. Example: @ErikTownsend from @MacroVoices discusses it in his preview of a video series on the digital currency revolution, and discussed something like this in a book last year as well.
12/ Another recent example came from @RaoulPal on the @hiddenforcespod, who discussed the inherent disruptive potential of the basket of currencies approach. Hidden Forces host @CoveringDelta explores the manifestation of that in Carney’s SHC further here
13/ As if that weren’t enough to come out of Jackson Hole, after Fed chair Jerome Powell spoke, D. Trump asked (via Twitter, duh), whether Powell or Chinese Chairman Xi were a bigger enemy. @nic__carter captured what many were feeling after all of that.
14/ So what does this all mean? Well, for one, it means we’ve entered a new phase in the battle for digital currency. Expect stories like this on Rwanda’s central bank CBDC research coming from everywhere coindesk.com/rwandas-centra…
15/ Govt CBDCs aren’t the only contenders. One major question will be to what extent bitcoin will continue to fly under the radar as things like Libra smash up against central bank efforts. Lest you think this is new, check out Hal Finney from Jan 2009
16/ One of the worries that some have with CBDCs is their potential for increasing financial surveillance. The battle against surveillance was again on display in Hong Kong, in what @NeerajKA called “the first extremely surveillance conscious protest”
17/ Speaking of Hong Kong, @Zooko flagged the news that Twitter had accused China of running disinformation campaigns to try to disrupt the work of Hong Kong protestors.
18/ If you’re interested in how the dots connect between global socio-political unrest like what’s happening in Hong Kong with Bitcoin, let @gladstein be your guide via his recent podcast with @nickgillespie @reason
19/ The fight against surveillance was also front-and-center at Berlin Blockchain Week, exemplified by @snowden’s keynote at @Web3Summit. @avsa captured one of the great moments here.
20/ For more on Berlin Blockchain Week, check out a couple other threads:

@coindesk @christine_dkim live tweeted a number of different sessions

While @sassal0x summed up the main themes as usability, governance, DAOs & funding
21/ And of course, don’t forget this uber triggering meme-driven development panel at @ETHBerlin, which was pretty much a Rorschach test for everyone in the industry
22/ So, what else happened this week? There was a big return of the crime narrative, with OFAC listing crypto addresses of global opioid ring leaders, the White House saying crypto was used to buy Fentanyl, and @nytimes report on terrorists using Bitcoin. periscope.tv/NathanielWhitt…
23/ Still, @La__Cuen’s follow up about legitimate crypto use in Gaza showed that the “crime is the only use” narrative is a lot harder when freelancers locked out of PayPal et al are being paid for making websites with the same currency.
24/ This sort of usage narrative is something different than just the straight store of value. The notion that BTC will act as a safe haven got a bit more data reporting this week as well, from @_RJTodd at @TheBlock__

And here:
25/ Speaking of narratives, @AriannaSimpson waded into the fray with her thread arguing that, as good as bitcoin’s long term prospect looks, the idea that all other cryptos are irrelevant is a response to current market conditions, and unlikely to hold
@AriannaSimpson 26/ In some ways related, @cburniske looks over at the Ethereum community and argues that it is “enduring its 1st bear market,” comparing it to BTC in 2014/2015 and reflecting on what it means for price and market development.
27/ It’s not the only place I’ve seen the idea that there are certain maturity phases that all protocols go through. Reflecting on Blockchain Week, @udiWertheimer likened the BTC hard fork wars to coming battles b/m different groups connected to Ethereum
28/ One narrative that just keeps trying to resurface is that of the fabled alt-season. In this thread @anambroid argues that value capture has simply moved elsewhere.
29/ One of those areas of value capture that has emerged are in the form of exchange tokens, which offer holders benefits vis a vis the business of the exchange. A big new entrant to the exchange market came with @INXLimited’s $130m regulated IPO
30/ @Katherineykwu argues that INX’s regulated token initial public offering, especially when combined with a number of other recent projects positive interactions with regulators undermine certain arguments that have kept the Wild West wild.
31/ Then again, there is still a bit of wild out there. Check out this analysis from @elementus_io on how PlusToken, a Chinese Ponzi scheme, was able to accumulate $2b worth of ETH.
32/ Speaking of data analysis, check out these two new metrics from @hansthered over at @Ikigai_fund:

1. HODLer Index - ratio of Tx to Bitcoin Days Destroyed

2. HODLer Network - # unique addresses.
33/ In the “WTF” story of the week, read about the fall of Patrick Byrne, one of the public market’s largest crypto advocates, who resigned from Overstock in the wake of his involvement in a Russian Spy Scandal
34/ Finally, since we started with central bank currencies and corporate coins like Libra, let’s wrap with a few more pieces on the great X factor in the future of money. @MartyBent flagged a great piece from @parkeralewis on Bitcoin’s speed.
35/ @dergigi keeps up his great run of content with this mini thread on power re-alignment in an internet-native world
36/ @CitizenBitcoin does a great job overviewing the state of bitcoin podcasts. I continue to believe that this space is the vanguard of a larger shift to the importance of independent media across industries.
37/ @100trillionUSD’s writing about stock to flow ratio and what it means for bitcoin have increasingly filtered into the larger global macro conversation about BTC. This week, he shared a short curation of must read articles on the topic
38/ And finally, maybe the most viral thread of the week came from @allenf32 on the cocaine binge nature of the modern economy. Agree or disagree, this thread struck a serious and un-ignorable nerve.
39/ And there we have it! Another LRS in the books. As always, thanks for reading and you can sign up to get these direct via email getrevue.co/profile/nlw
40/ And for your daily dose of LRS style content, check out the Crypto Daily 3@3. Listen as a podcast wherever you listen; get it via email at nlw.substack.com or subscribe on YouTube for the vids. youtube.com/nathanielwhitt…
APPENDIX: This post from @ljxie on the evolution and future of stablecoins is timely given the above discussion on the emergence of CBDCs + Tether CNHT + Binance Venus, etc.
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