JBEs will lose the run off unless he turns out a massive amount of Dem voters to override the natural SW advantage Rs hold. In 2015 he was lucky running against scandal-ridden Vitter, who Ds hated passionately. According to @MelindaDeslatte the state hit the projected turnout of
45%. As an anti-abortion Dem, if crossover voting helped JBEs in 2015, it wasn't there this time and unless he switches his strategy to focus heavily on black turnout, he's gonna get tossed. BTW: the GOP strategy of bringing Trump in, that's mobilization strategy, and it works Ds 
Y'all should try it. JBE's only chance of winning now is massive turnout of black voters, and to do that, the party would need to saturate the state with big name Ds most especially the Obamas. However, they will do the opposite: they'll run the standard apologetic Dem routine
that they ran up in NC-9 and it won't work. Meanwhile, the GOP will bring in Trump the night before the election and close the deal.
