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Ok, as requested by @terrellwrites here is "one of my famous threads explaining my rebuttal to the comment below: 1st off, if you haven't actually read my forecasting work, this thread won't make any sense to you & you're wasting your time & other people's commenting so read the 
forecasting work first. And I want to start off this thread by pointing out what @davidaxelrod is doing here, bc he is BEING STRATEGIC w this tweet. He's shrewd- he can see which way the wind is blowing, and even b4 Trump destroyed him, Biden was falling cnu.edu/wasoncenter/20…
behind Warren. And now that the Biden brand has been irreparbaly damaged, AND @davidaxelrod has learned what happens when a party refuses to budge from a candidate who has a damaged brand + does so pushing back against the preferences of a rising movement in the party's base,
not so keen to repeat the past. And he can see where this is going. And if Warren is raising 24 million this Q, she's gonna outperform that next quarter. The Bernie heart issue won't be the cause of why she passes him (although the media will likely cite it as the cause- long
term followers will know my Warren-Sanders inversion prediction has been in progress since the Spring), the issue is that he's so-last cycle and she's this cycle. And like me, @davidaxelrod recognizes this is headed to 1 of 2 places- Warren or Buttigieg. And it behooves the Ds
to start normalizing the idea of a Warren nomination RIGHT NOW, bc there is this perception that she is too far out of the mainstream, although close observers will note that the Far Left think she's a centrist. And helping her normalize a bit is their constant effort to frame
her as a closet Republican. And Warren herself has been exceedingly shrewd, despite some very far left issue positions she has taken great pains to remain digestible to the main stream of the party- hence all the surrogate work w HRC and the endorsement of HRC over Sanders in '16
And frankly, the American public likes a lot these liberal policy positions. And my guess is that Warren can be molded into a fairly digestable general election candidate- more liberal than Obama certainly, less leftist than Sanders would run as. And if you've read my research
you'll know that the idea of centrists saving America is utter bullshit. What 2020 will be decided by is Dem and Dem friendly Independent turnout- and Indies are not only not reliably centrist, many are quite left leaning. What will matter in the end is whether the demographic
composition of the electorate looks like the 2008 composition or if it looks like the 2016 composition and contains a bunch of people who felt their votes were so unimportant, they might as well cast them to make statements, as 6.32% of voters in WI did (a state that broke for
Trump by less than 1%. The 2017 and 2018 elections certainly suggest we will see demographics that are favorable to Ds, and now that the GOP looks hellbent on letting Trump spin off into blatant lawlessness, I am ever more bearish on an electoral environment that favors Rs. In
fact, in terms of risk mitigation, the strongest ticket Ds can present is one that will produce high turnout among millennials, Gen Z voters, and non-white voters. Back to @davidaxelrod: I expect we'll see more efforts of D elites to signal acceptance of Warren in the coming days
And my expectation is that if she became the nominee, she would run on some type of universal health care package that adapts (steals?) Buttigieg's Medicare for all that want it (via expansion of a public option into Obamacare) bc M4A does poll great. And would progressives
swallow something like that? Wouldn't that make them susceptible to defection like in 2016? In short, no. I expect progressive defection to roll back to its "normal" levels in 2020 bc Trump is not a hypothetical, he's a reality. And any Indie that says, I woulda voted for the D
if it was someone like Biden? Well, that person is full of shit. That person is trying to have their cake and eat it too. They want to appear above the mess, morally more reasonable than others, that they would at least not vote for Trump if a good alternative was presented.
In short, these people are lying. Probably to themselves too. By Election Day they would find some excuse as to why they just can't go through w voting for _____, no matter who that blank is. Any person watching this daily shit show who hasn't already committed to doing whatever
is necessary to rid the nation of this clear and present national security threat is the same type of person who will walk into a secret ballot & pull the lever for Trump while pretending they voted for the D. Structuring your electoral strategy around these people is moronic.
