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PM is right today when says there is no appetite in EU to drag the #Brexit process out any further BUT if UK request came for another extension to hold general election, 2nd referendum or referendum on this Brexit deal, I cannot imagine EU saying no /1
For so many reasons: a) Blame game. EU has never wanted to be seen as the ones to throw UK out of door. And b) partly to blame for a no deal Brexit which wld hit their citizens. This is why PM was right - sticking to a no deal threat made the EU engage again in negotiations BUT/3
EU concessions in Brexit renegotiations are seen as in EU to be to their advantage. Eg NIreland is potentially 'forever' following EU customs code and regulations on goods now /4
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
I asked @JunckerEU if he’d rather have Parliament ratify new Brexit deal or approve holding another referendum. He gave the stock EU response that the choice was a domestic one for the UK. But he said he didn’t think there would be a second referendum /1
Mr Juncker appeared to contradict Boris Johnson’s claim that he’d managed what his predecessor failed to do: get EU to blink and “bin the backstop”. Instead, Juncker said they’d found a new way in #Brexit renegotiations to come up with the same result as the original backstop /2
In practical terms, if not legally-speaking, in Boris Johnson’s Brexit deal Northern Ireland will remain part of EU’s customs union after Brexit. This is the border in Irish Sea between Northern Ireland and rest of the UK that the PM initially said he would never, ever allow /3
Read 9 tweets
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
Jean Claude Juncker told me today he thinks #Brexit will happen by 31 January - the process has already gone on so long “it has to be brought to an end” he says /1
On Boris Johnson’s pledge to negotiate a brand new comprehensive EU-UK trade deal by December next year Mr Juncker told me some MPs and gov ministers seemed to think making trade deals was easy but they take time. The free trade agreement EU negotiated with Canada took 7 years /2
Mr Juncker said it would not be easy to disentangle UK from decades of common laws and regulations with the EU and to forge a new bilateral relationship /3
Read 5 tweets
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
Boris Johnson has written to EU accepting the new #Brexit extension which, he writes, was “imposed” on his government (by Parliament) /1
The PM urges EU to make clear that a further extension after 31 January is not possible. EU highly unlikely to do this. Its main goal is to avoid a no deal #Brexit (whilst safeguarding its red lines in negotiations) /2
In back of EU minds is the possibility (after 3 years of false dawns during the Brexit process) that Brussels may be asked for yet another extension come January .. if a general election proves inconclusive regarding #Brexit etc. It would then grant one to avoid no deal /3
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Pieter Cleppe
@pietercleppe
My latest @telegraph comment: This may well be the EU’s last chance to avoid a no-deal Brexit. But will they take it?telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/…
Thread ->
Boris Johnson's future as PM may hinge on whether he can avoid having to request a three-month extension on 18 October.
Brussels may now be strategising on the basis that, if they grant an extension, a @UKLabour government, intent on stopping a no deal #Brexit, could well come to power - and such a situation may work to Brussels' advantage.
Read 8 tweets
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⚢🌸Sakura No Seirei🌸🏳️‍⚧️
@SakuraNoSeirei
Good morning and welcome to yet another #Brexit thread

Have just woken up this morning to see that the Government in the Lords backed down at 01:30 and agreed to give the #BennBill time to go through all stages in the Lords

So I'm going to grab a coffee and try to find...

1/n
the business for today for both Houses

2/n
And indeed, today's the day that the Lords starts on the #BennBill

No firm commitment on timing just yet but I will hopefully be here to cover it live

3/n
lordsbusiness.parliament.uk
Read 125 tweets
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Peter Foster
@pmdfoster
.@MichelBarnier crystal clear in piece for @Telegraph - EU will look at alternative arrangements “that achieve the same objectives of the backstop” - to wit - protecting EU single market while keeping border “fully open”. 1/

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/…
Perhaps unsurprising therefore - given @BorisJohnson red lines on removing backstop, while dismissing time-limits, exit mechanisms or the “dedramatised” NI-only backstop the EU suggested, that Barnier is “not optimistic” about avoiding ‘no deal’. /2
There are a couple of pieces of mild mischief.

First his noting democratic support for NI for the supposedly “un democratic” backstop. /3
Read 8 tweets
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Mark Stone
@Stone_SkyNews
Ahead of @theresa_may’s latest visit to Brussels, where are we with #Brexit?!

A not-so-short thread which I hope simplifies a seemingly never-ending process but one which could have an abrupt end in less than 40 days. /1
Some context first: The key problem is the backstop - the Irish Protocol to us its proper name

It’s a section of the Withdrawal Agreement (WA) - a 585-page legal text which, together with a shorter Political Declaration (PD), forms the divorce treaty between UK & the EU. /2
The two texts - the WA & the PD - were the consequence of nearly two years of negotiations.

They were finalised + agreed by both the UK government (@10DowningStreet) and the EU (@EU_Commission) late last year. /3

(Skip to tweet 10 in the thread if you know this background!)
Read 25 tweets
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The BMA
@TheBMA
Today’s chaos will do little to reassure patients and staff about the enormous risks posed to the NHS by #Brexit. We believe leaving the EU will have a hugely damaging impact on our health service.
This uncertainty has not been addressed by Parliament and risks being pushed further down the agenda by today’s events.
As we move into the most demanding time of year for the NHS, our analysis shows that this winter is set to be the worst on record for A&E attendances, waiting times and admissions bma.org.uk/collective-voi…
Read 5 tweets
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Lesley Miller
@LesleyMillercyp
#Brexit 1
Cadbury moved factory 2 Poland 2011 with EU grant.
Ford Transit moved 2Turkey 2013 with EU grant.
Jaguar Land Rover recently agreed 2 build a new plant in Slovakia with EU grant, owned by Tata, same company who trashed our steel industry & emptied workers pension funds.
#Brexit 2
Peugeot closed its Ryton (was Rootes Group) plant and moved production to Slovakia with EU grant.
British Army's new Ajax fighting vehicles to be built in SPAIN using SWEDISH steel at the request of the EU to support jobs in Spain with EU grant, rather than Wales.
#Brexit 3
Dyson gone 2 Malaysia, with EU loan. Crown Closures, Bournemouth (Was METAL BOX), gone 2Poland with EU grant,employed 1,200.
M&S manufacturing gone 2far east with EU loan.
Hornby models gone. In fact all toys & models gone from UK along with patents all with EU grants
Read 28 tweets

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