Thread by @WandrMe

Been thinking a lot about the #CRJ550 these days as it entered service with @united over the weekend (paxex.aero/2019/10/united…). A couple weeks ago Nocella said CASM would increase high single digits. Can RASM catch up?? 1/ #UnitedFlightPlan #PaxEx #AvGeek

Looking at the average stage length (~600miles) an 8 cent CASM increase translates to a ~$2,400 higher trip cost (50 available seats * 600 miles * 8 cents). Selling 10 F seats on every flight isn't going to happen, but some are selling. (ORDMDT 12 days out). 2/ #PaxEx #AvGeek

And beyond the F seats, the E+ upsell opportunity further increases the revenue potential for the company. Again, United won't sell all of them, but figure a few are likely to be purchased. But neither of those are the biggest factor in play. 3/ #PaxEx #AvGeek

Most significant for United is the ability to sell a premium ticket through its international route network, including feed to a hub. Pick up one of those from a competitor and RASM easily beats CASM. That's the real goal for United. /fin #PaxEx #AvGeek paxex.aero/2019/10/united…