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Ahead of #2020Elections, here’s a thread of the 2016 election poll evaluation conducted by #AAPOR members

aapor.org/Education-Reso… (1/7)
National polls were generally correct and accurate by historical standards.

They indicated Clinton had a 3 percentage point lead, and she won the popular vote by 2 points. (2/7)
State-level polls showed a competitive, uncertain contest, but clearly under-estimated Trump’s support in the Upper Midwest (3/7)
Why did they under-estimate support for Trump? There are a number of reasons.

First, there were many voters who made their vote choices in the final week or so of the campaign. (4/7)
Also, many state-level polls did not adjust for over-representation of college graduates. (5/7)
Finally, some Trump voters who participated in pre-election polling did not reveal themselves as Trump voters until after the election (6/7)
Read the full evaluation of 2016 election polls in the U.S. (or even just the executive summary!) here:

aapor.org/Education-Reso… (7/7)
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Marc Owen Jones
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[#Thread] Welcome to night of the long threads part two, this one's on #Algeria. A few of you got in touch (@fatenaggad & @OpenAlgeriaOrg) to ask about the trend #كلنا_زغماتي , which translates as "we are all Zeghmati". Belkacem Zeghmati was appointed Attorney general earlier
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šßé
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Here's a #thread on the Nigeria Fraud system, it's structure and the link between Invictus Obi, Mompha, and many still at large.

Good evening!
Let me start the thread by describing something you all know about the University.

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Walter D. Greason
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#racialjusticesyllabus These courses relied on the work that became known as the 'long civil rights movement' or the 'black freedom struggle.' The first book I used was Birnbaum & Taylor. #thread /1
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I focused on the neglected stories of African Americans who built the organizations and movements that made social change possible, but today I wanted to take a few minutes to emphasize other people's contributions. #racialjusticesyllabus /2
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GreatGameIndia
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#Thread

It has been suggested that Private Equity firm KKR is responsible for #CafeCoffeDay founder #VGSiddhartha's suicide.

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Patrick Ruffini
@PatrickRuffini
Missing phone numbers lead to an electorate that is more engaged than overall RV benchmarks when survey is conducted with the voter file (probably good for capturing LVs though 😀) #AAPOR
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davealvord164
@davealvord164
1/
 Newsday --- August 6th, 2018 --- Monday

How did we get Trump?
Sarah Jeong.
New York Times.
Example #117

Democrats 100% believe best hill to die on right before the midterms is
"All White People Must Die."

Run with that kiddos.

@KurtSchlichter 👇
townhall.com/columnists/kur…
1/
 Newsday --- August 6th, 2018 --- Monday

How did we get Trump?
Sarah Jeong.
New York Times.
Example #117

Democrats 100% believe best hill to die on right before the midterms is
"All White People Must Die."

Run with that kiddos.

@KurtSchlichter 👇
townhall.com/columnists/kur…
1/
 Some of you need to cease the denial and accept
the harsh reality that the left hates you.

You can tell that leftists hate you
.
.
by the way that leftists openly and publicly tell you that they hate you.

@KurtSchlichter 👇
townhall.com/columnists/kur…
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