@JurchisRazvan @paulportesi Stable regularities in those activities? Not at all, on the contrary a lot of heterogeneity.
Feedback, well you have different time scales feedback. Yes you have an immediate feedback but then you have longer...i.e. do you take a single rope or twin ropes for a climb?
Feedback, well you have different time scales feedback. Yes you have an immediate feedback but then you have longer...i.e. do you take a single rope or twin ropes for a climb?
@JurchisRazvan @paulportesi You may find what the repercussions of your choice will imply in hours or days after making it. But if you climb a lot you do develop the intuition if when one option is better that the other. I think the real important think for develop intuition in that the activity force or
@JurchisRazvan @paulportesi Implies having #skininthegame.
In my perspective this activities tend to require that because you have: incomplete information in the input parameters, uncertainty about payoffs, limited time, limited resources ... And ofcourse feedback.. real consecuences.
In my perspective this activities tend to require that because you have: incomplete information in the input parameters, uncertainty about payoffs, limited time, limited resources ... And ofcourse feedback.. real consecuences.
@JurchisRazvan @paulportesi But to be clear..The single determinating condition to develop intuition is Skin in the game. It automatically turn a second "intelligence" I can't explain what it is. One of my best climbs was in Peña Bernal when bc the conditions going back would be very difficult, so basically
@JurchisRazvan @paulportesi The only choose was going up. I was also the only one climbing first on rope and my partner was not 100% so falling was not an option neither, but the route was harder than any I climbed before. SITG... I climbed better than ever, just had to.
@JurchisRazvan @paulportesi With a lot of respect to kahneman, I don't think non-practitioners would ever get what intuition is.
@JurchisRazvan @paulportesi Now there is also intuition in engineering, math, experimenting, or programing.... In there you do have something more of the kind of khaneman conditions... And it may develop what I would call "weak" intuition. Only if you put STIG you get real intuition... For example
@JurchisRazvan @paulportesi Being a tank mechanic in WWII developed real engineering intuition in Ken Miles (loved Ford Vs Ferrari movie), in the same context consider Turing work during for braking Enigma. Sometimes it might be not physical SITG but emotional or financial risk.. think in Ramanujan or Taleb
