Thread by @SherOnHealth

1/4 #SuperTuesday -
(1) @JoeBiden is frontrunner, having swept the South, even edging @BernieSanders in Latino-heavy Texas, beating @BernieSanders twice in his New England backyard, winning in the prairies in Oklahoma and GOP-dominant Alaska and keeping close behind in California

(2) If this dynamic continues, Biden will win the nomination by a comfortable margin; the only places I seeing him getting beat by Sanders is the Sunbelt, where Bernie has won Nevada, Colorado and Utah, and perhaps the Pacific Northwest. Everyplace else is Biden land.

(3) That's a BIG "if" as dynamic can and do change. Now that Biden is frontrunner, he becomes the focus. He has a lengthy political history to attack and has shown himself vulnerable on the hustings by his struggles to speak clearly. The next debate, he will be under full assault

(4) @ewarren was toast b4 SuperTuesday but now she is bread crumbs.
Warren finishing 3rd in her home state of Massachusetts, lost all 14 states badly and only squeaked past the delegate-qualifying 15% in 5 states.
Expect her to drop out. The Fundraising bucket will be dry ...

(5) The wildcard beyond how Biden will do under spotlight is what @MikeBloomberg will do. As a self-financed billionaire, he does not face the financial squeeze that grips Warren, and w/her out, he stands a better chance of reaching 15% in states; he could tally 200+ delegates

(6) Two forces propelled Biden.
- Desire to beat Trump: mainstream Democrats are frightened by Sanders and how his stances could get ripped apart in a general election.
- Too many Bernie fans burnt bridges by demonizing other candidates, their supporters and the media.

@threadreaderapp unroll please