Posted for "amusement", not as an endorsement: the prediction market PredictIt now says that Hillary Clinton, not Bernie Sanders, is the 2nd-most-likely Democratic nominee. predictit.org 
Given the age of Biden and Sanders, I think it's reasonable for prediction markets to consider the small but nonzero possibility that a health problem could force the nominee to leave the race. That's something our model does *not* account for, BTW.
There's also still an outside chance (which our model *does* consider) of a no-majority scenario.
But there's no particular reason to think that HILLARY CLINTON would be nominated in either of those cases.
But there's no particular reason to think that HILLARY CLINTON would be nominated in either of those cases.
