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UK moves to "delay" phase - if you develop a new, continuous cough and a temperature stay at home for seven days. The most dangerous period for all is still some weeks away #coronavirus
Government advice is NOT to call 111 if you develop mild symptoms. Look on the Web.
Overall UK mortality rate is "1% or lower" overall but a bit higher among older and vulnerable groups
The UK peak is estimated to be 10-14 weeks from now approx. Which takes us to May-18-June 10-ish
I don't like commenting on stuff that I know little about but passing on this info seems pretty important. I'm offering zero hot takes on this in the coming weeks. Just core info.
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Matthew Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
Further to my earlier tweet on the good news that so many EU nationals are (a) applying to remain in UK and that (b) vast majority are doing so here is the official government release (bit.ly/39g2OkH) and here is the link to the official data (bit.ly/2Ssqn2V)
What I'm (clearly) increasingly struggling with on Twitter is a specific strand of thought, often found on the left, that ignores anything positive in favour of catastrophising

For 4 years we've been told the UK is racist & can't wait to kick everybody out. Just. Not. True.
In any society there will be administrative blunders & ugly extremism. But I've been struck by total refusal of many to highlight positive shifts

Prejudice? Down
Immigration concern? Down
Attitudes? More positive
& given scale of task gvt doing ok job processing apps to remain
Read 13 tweets
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Matthew Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
Many Labour members, MPs & some would-be Labour leaders would like the Labour Party to double down on liberalism -to be pro-EU, maybe Re-join, keep freedom of movement, frame any immigration reform as 'racist', seek no compromise with the Red Wall

Here's why that is problematic
You are preaching to the choir. Many voters who would find this strategy appealing tend to live in the same types of areas: London, big cities, university towns. Areas that Labour *already hold*
Take support for Remain as a proxy for that more liberal outlook. What few in Twitter Land bothered to tell Labour ahead of the last election, and while urging them to swing to a strongly pro-Remain position, is that the geography left after 2017 didnt stack up for this strategy
Read 8 tweets
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Matthew Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
Here's an unpopular view
Whatever happens tomorrow Boris Johnson has had a good campaign. He's led his party back to 43% by cannibalising the Brexit Party & consolidating the Leave vote, which he & Cummings set out to do. He also held 18% of Remainers along the way #ge2019
Under Johnson, the Conservatives have led in every single poll since MPs voted to hold the election back in October. Theresa May did not do this in 2017. Nor Cameron in 2015. Nor Cameron in 2010. The last person who managed this was Blair in 2005.
The polls might all be wrong but given the context of this election the Conservative Party's dominance is still striking. Of the 65 polls during the campaign they have held double digit leads in 43 of them.
Read 6 tweets

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Dr Nafeez Ahmed
@NafeezAhmed
THREAD: I believe Boris Johnson's strategy on #COVID_19uk is fundamentally flawed & at odds with available scientific data. I'm NOT an epidemiologist, but I am a complex systems analyst specialising in societal collapse risks. This is why I'm concerned /1 medium.com/insurge-intell…
People should NOT panic, but they should take as much precautionary mutual-collective action as possible to avert a potential worst-case scenario. The govt's failure to facilitate this will be disastrous - in my opinion. This is why I hold that opinion /2 medium.com/insurge-intell…
The govt claims that early large-scale action is unnecessary and could be counterproductive. Yet numerous epidemiological studies show that early social distancing intervention is the best way to reduce and limit deaths and the epidemic size /3 medium.com/insurge-intell…
Read 17 tweets
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Dominic Casciani
@BBCDomC
Boris Johnson Coronavirus update: "This is the worst public health crisis in a generation... I must level with you - many more families are going to lose loved ones before their time... But we have a clear plan."
Seeking to stretch the peak of the disease over longer period to minimise strain on health services. "The most dangerous period is not now, but some weeks today."
From tomorrow if you have even the mildest of symptoms, you must stay at home for seven days. In coming weeks, if someone in household has symptoms, we will ask everyone in that household to stay at home.
Read 9 tweets
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New Scot for Indyref2
@daTARTANSPARTAN
@Dr_PhilippaW about to speak on @LBC
We are now moving on from containment phase into the delay phase. From Friday anyone with any coronavirus symptoms will be asked to self isolate for 7 days. Schools will not take trips abroad but will remain open
Scottish government confirms mass gatherings of 500 or more will be cancelled from Monday. Scottish government decision not UK decision this has been emphasised by First Minister
Read 54 tweets
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Matthew Bennett
@matthewbennett
1. Let's go. This is getting worse. The other day Vox, then the PP, now Podemos. Spanish Prime Minister's office announces Irene Montero, Minister of Equality, has tested positive for Coronavirus. Pablo Iglesias, in self-isolation. The rest of the Spanish government to be tested.
2. The rest of the Spanish government will be tested for Coronavirus today. Results this evening.
3. Have the members of the Spanish government met the Coronavirus testing requirements in Spain, while so many Spaniards report the restrictive natures of guidelines in their towns and cities and the Medical Colleges ask for more supplies to carry out the tests?
Read 99 tweets
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The Independent
@Independent
#Coronavirus latest:

- UK reveals plan to tackle outbreak
- Expert says 10,000s could die
- WHO warns ‘we are in uncharted territory’

Follow our live updates:

independent.co.uk/news/health/co…
#Coronavirus latest:

- Pope tests negative for virus
- People should 'go about normal lives', says UK Health Sec

independent.co.uk/news/health/co…
#Coronavirus latest:

- Germany reports 31 new cases of virus
- The number of has risen to 188, up from 157 yesterday afternoon

independent.co.uk/news/health/co…
Read 31 tweets
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Memelord
@dailydigger19
New #Coronavirus thread starts now. Click this tweet and scroll up and you'll eventually get back to January 23rd. Have fun with that.
Starting soon.
#Coronavirus situation in Iran among the grimest
Read 445 tweets

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