The only counterargument I'm aware of, though there may be others, is that people won't accept lockdown if it doesn't seem warranted by the number of cases. 3/
Usual disclaimer: I may have missed an important aspect of the situation.
Note that the conclusion I am reaching is that IF a lockdown is going to be necessary then we should do it now. 5/
!!DO IT NOW!!
(but would be ready to change my mind if someone pointed out a consideration I've overlooked). 6/6
bbc.co.uk/news/uk-518958…