2020 may end the 20th century, the century of mass society.
Concerts, events, rallies, marches, K12, higher ed, restaurants, bars, airplanes, mass transit.
Anything with tightly packed crowds of people is now a health hazard. Permanently reduced demand.
Concerts, events, rallies, marches, K12, higher ed, restaurants, bars, airplanes, mass transit.
Anything with tightly packed crowds of people is now a health hazard. Permanently reduced demand.
Concerts, events → streaming
Rallies, marches → slacktivism is the new activism
K12, higher ed → online
Restaurants, bars → cloud kitchens, delivery
Airplanes → infrequent except for permanent relocation, replace with VR tours
Mass transit → individual autonomous cars
Rallies, marches → slacktivism is the new activism
K12, higher ed → online
Restaurants, bars → cloud kitchens, delivery
Airplanes → infrequent except for permanent relocation, replace with VR tours
Mass transit → individual autonomous cars
Best counterargument: after Spanish Flu we had Roaring 20s
Best counter-counterargument: seems crucial to dig into, but circumstances appear different.
Economy feels less resilient, more leveraged. Spanish Flu lockdowns didn’t mean soaring unemployment. Worth diligencing...
Best counter-counterargument: seems crucial to dig into, but circumstances appear different.
Economy feels less resilient, more leveraged. Spanish Flu lockdowns didn’t mean soaring unemployment. Worth diligencing...
They also closed public life during Spanish Flu.
Why didn’t that kill the economy? Some hypotheses.
1) Lockdown was shorter
2) Much less of economy was in service roles, it was more resilient and less leveraged
3) People didn’t talk about Spanish Flu, wasn’t a “social pandemic”
Why didn’t that kill the economy? Some hypotheses.
1) Lockdown was shorter
2) Much less of economy was in service roles, it was more resilient and less leveraged
3) People didn’t talk about Spanish Flu, wasn’t a “social pandemic”
Need to come up with the right data to test this, but my hunch is that much less of economy was crushed by Spanish Flu.
Commercial air travel wasn’t a thing, for example. People ate at home & weren’t as many restaurants. More agrarian & autarkic, less consumerist & cosmopolitan?
Commercial air travel wasn’t a thing, for example. People ate at home & weren’t as many restaurants. More agrarian & autarkic, less consumerist & cosmopolitan?
