UK in a Changing Europe Profile picture
Jun 4, 2020 12 tweets 10 min read Read on X
It's #Thursdaythread time! ⏰

Today we released a NEW report by @drsarah_hall, @DrScottJames, Lucia Quaglia, @MartinHeneghan, @jillongovt. Image
The #UK is predominately a #services economy, contributing 81% to the economy in 2019 & around 30m jobs.

Internationally, services are a UK success story they account for a higher proportion of our total exports than in countries like the #US & #Germany. Image
#London accounts for 42% of the UK’s service exports & the South East is the next largest contributor (17%)

The remaining 41% is divided between the other 10 #UK regions. In #NorthernIreland, #services account for 22% of its exports, with sales focused in #GB & #Ireland. Image
In regions, #towns and #cities whose economies have not done well in recent years, a large share of individuals work in #services in the public sector

But the UK’s lucrative business services sector is concentrated mainly in the UK’s cities and southern towns. Image
#Services are broad and diverse: they include IT and hairdressing, architecture and the arts, health services, education and financial services

The EU’s single market is the primary destination for #UK services exports. (The UK runs a trade surplus with the #EU in services.) Image
The sectors set to be hardest hit at the end of #transition are those that have used the single market to develop their export markets most intensively.

The largest category of #services exports is ‘other business services’, accounting for around 1/3 of all UK service exports. Image
The #EU single market enables greater cross border services trade than is typical of free trade agreements.

When the UK leaves the single market, services will be traded either on the basis of a new free trade agreement between the UK and the EU or without one.
There is no guarantee that a trade deal will be secured on #services given the distance between the sides

The #UK emphasises the need for its regulatory autonomy

The #EU insists on conditions to remove the risk it perceives of regulatory competition from the UK
Without a trade deal, #UK companies would face significant new barriers to doing business in the #EU.

But access to EU markets for UK services will be reduced and more precarious with or without a deal.
In financial services, for example, access will depend on an equivalence decision that could be withdrawn with 30 days’ notice.

The govt’s migration proposals may also lead to staff shortages in service sectors, many of which rely on workers who do not meet salary thresholds.
The #Covid19 crisis is likely to impact the services sector in ways that are not yet clear.

Some businesses have managed to operate through the restrictions, others have shut down.

Brexit will shape the post-Covid economy & will have significant regional and national impacts.
This is just a snapshot of the report and it is well worth your while reading the whole thing, which is here 🔻

ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/upl…

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More from @UKandEU

Jun 18
📢 PANEL 1: Northern Ireland

👥 Our first panel has begun, with @DPhinnemore, @hayward_katy, Martin Fraser @IrelandEmbGB, & @jillongovt.

📊 David & Katy will present their latest polling then the panel will consider what’s next for politics in NI


Image
🗣️ "There is support for these arrangements...even if they are just getting over a majority".

📈@DPhinnemore unpacks the data from the latest report "testing the temperature", and the Protocol/Windsor Framework.
@DPhinnemore 📊 "The level of trust in the UK government is very low"

@DPhinnemore unpacks the data on levels of trust in managing Northern Ireland's interests in relation to the post-Brexit arrangements.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 15, 2021
🔊The Prime Minister has delivered his big speech on the 'levelling up' agenda ⬇

But what do we already know about 'levelling up'?

And what does the research show about how regional equality can be achieved?

Read this #ThursdayThread to find out more!🤳
Reflecting on lessons from elsewhere in Europe on how to achieve regional economic convergence, @thomasforth @ODILeeds @TheDataCity argues for a commitment to invest more in skills, transport, research and development & culture in cities across the UK👇👇

ukandeu.ac.uk/regional-inequ…
@michaelkenny_ & @TKelsey915 lay out the evidence that 'a top-down plan for place-based intervention, based upon bilateral negotiations with local areas, runs the risk of enforcing the priorities & orthodoxies of the centre'📝

ukandeu.ac.uk/long-read/leve…

@Dept_of_POLIS
Read 5 tweets
Jul 14, 2021
Our #AcademicintheSpotlight series promotes academics producing thought-provoking work on the UK’s changing relationship with the EU. This week, we feature @fiona_costello – who works on the @EUmigrantworker project at @cambridgelaw.

Find out more 👇👇

ukandeu.ac.uk/eu-migrant-wor…
@fiona_costello's research looks at the impact of Brexit on EU nationals in the UK, and how these problems are being resolved by community advice organisations.

Watch this to find out more ⬇⬇

As well as working as an academic, Fiona works with @GyrosOrg to help EU nationals access legal advice and support – allowing her to understand everyday problems facing EU nationals on the frontline.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 3, 2021
Our next #IsolationInsight event on 'The Future of the EU' is about to start

Speakers:

@HelenHet20
@simonjhix
@lisaocarroll
Loukas Tsoukalis
@anandMenon1 (chair)

Watch LIVE here:

We'll be live-tweeting from this thread...
.@simonjhix: "In the medium term, Brexit is a challenge to the EU. There will be a UK model of exit."

"At some point, the UK model will seem quite attractive, which could be politically very difficult for the EU."
.@HelenHet20: "The EU's reaction to #Brexit was primarily defensive, but there was an opportunity to face the euro-ins and euro-outs question head on."

"Instead, it was seen as a potential long-term threat to the EU's credibility."
Read 33 tweets
Sep 24, 2020
Yesterday we released a NEW report #WhatWouldNoDealMean.

And, you've guessed it, this report is the subject of today's #ThursdayThread. 🧵

ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/upl…
.@BorisJohnson has said that no deal with the EU would be a “good outcome” for the UK.

This report highlights what it would mean in terms of trade, fisheries, connectivity, the impact on citizens, Northern Ireland, economics, security, foreign policy, politics and more.
On #trade, the two sides would revert to #WTO rules.

We’re talking tariffs, customs checks, and regulatory checks. In other words, increased hassle, increased time and increased costs for businesses trading with the EU.

@CSBarnard24 explains.
Read 14 tweets
Sep 23, 2020
Our BRAND NEW report on what no deal would mean is out today

Our experts are giving a briefing on the report this morning...

(Thread)

ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/upl…
. @jillongovt: "No deal now is not the same as last year because the financial settlement, citizens' rights and Northern Ireland were dealt with in the Withdrawal Agreement."

#NoDealBrexit
. @jillongovt: "There could be extensive disruption at the UK-EU border."

"Lots of #Brexit officials were redeployed to #Covid_19 and some things are running late."

#NoDealBrexit
Read 14 tweets

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