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Mr. Sune H. Sorensen AKA The Librarian Profile picture
@LibrariumViews
Jul 10, 2020 • 4 tweets • 8 min read • Read on X
S&P Global Ratings provides an odyssey length bullet point journey through the global credit landscape here: spglobal.com/ratings/en/res… #CorporateCredit #Macro #Risks A few takeaways...1/4
2/4 Economic/Financial conditions & #credit outlooks...#US outlook, #Europe outlook...#Macro #Risks ImageImageImageImage
3/4 #EMs outlook...#Auto industry outlook...#Germany corporates outlook...2020 global corporate #defaults jump above total 2019 levels in 5 months led by the #US...#Macro #Risks ImageImageImageImage
4/4 #CorporateCredit - Fallen Angels & Zombies roam the earth...Corporate credit started 2020 in poor condition & overweight & then it got punched in the face...#US speculative corp #credit #default expected to rise to 12.5% by March 2021 from 3.5% in March 2020...#Macro #Risks ImageImageImage

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More from @LibrariumViews

Mr. Sune H. Sorensen AKA The Librarian Profile picture
Dec 18, 2021
The slides from a presentation I did recently on seeking to understanding and #insight in today's world...(1/30) #Thread Image
2/30 Image
3/30 Image
Read 30 tweets
Mr. Sune H. Sorensen AKA The Librarian Profile picture
Sep 22, 2020
The CBO has dropped the '2020 long-term budget outlook' - It's not pretty...cbo.gov/system/files/2… #US #USeconomy #Debt #FiscalMonetaryMelt #Macro #Risk Some take aways...(1/5)
2/5 #US federal #deficits, #debt, spending & revenues...#Macro #Risk ImageImageImageImage
3/5 #US looking for some revenues...#tax bracket creep...An attempt at some humour; modelling potential cuts to deficit to keep debt equal to 100% of GDP...Consequences of rising #debt & some historic context...#Deficits 2020-2030...#Macro #Risk ImageImageImageImage
Read 5 tweets
Mr. Sune H. Sorensen AKA The Librarian Profile picture
Sep 14, 2020
The Tower of Basel dropped the 'Quarterly Review: International banking & financial market developments' so I loaded up on espresso & blueberries & dove in2 this trove of soothing CB lingo mixed with some Sufi wisdom & colourful illlus: bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_… Some takeaways 1/5
2/5 Riddle me this; "Stock markets rebound unevenly amid downgraded earnings expectations." & "Corp #credit spreads tighten despite indications of persistently high credit #risk" & "funding costs for #EM sovs drop despite weak pf inflows." ImageImageImageImage
3/5 Heads up: "Firms desired leverage can be excessive if companies do not account for all financial distress costs..." "Share buybacks rose just as valuations began to rise..." & "#Credit #risk rose with leverage but it only revealed itself during market stress..." ImageImageImageImage
Read 6 tweets
Mr. Sune H. Sorensen AKA The Librarian Profile picture
Sep 6, 2020
WIPO has published their +400 page 'Global #Innovation Index 2020: Who will finance innovation report out...full of insights...here are a few key takeaways...(1/3) Bracing for a downturn & impact from the economic slowdown... ImageImage
2/3 #VC penetration in select economies...The global leaders in #innovation by nations...The top #Science & #Technology clusters globally...Rising innovation achievers...#InvestingInInnovation ImageImageImageImage
3/3 Top R&D spending by sector as share of global top R&D spenders...Top R&D spending firm by sector...Share of global #VC inv by sector...The positive relationship between #innovation & development... ImageImageImage
Read 4 tweets
Mr. Sune H. Sorensen AKA The Librarian Profile picture
Aug 28, 2020
Get the weekend started right...

Shot... Image
Chaser... Image
Another shot... Image
Read 4 tweets
Mr. Sune H. Sorensen AKA The Librarian Profile picture
Aug 9, 2020
@McKinsey_MGI has a report out titled; '#Risk, resilience & rebalancing in global value chains' it holds some good insights into trends in #GlobalTrade...Here are some takeaways...1/4 Large companies has global #SupplyChains w. 1000s of suppliers, disruption risks varies...
2/4 #Globalisation has been changing in the last decade, sector concentration varies between industries, poten. losses from #SupplyChain disruptions can be as high as 42% of 1 years EBITDA..Supply chain #shocks are becoming more frequent & severe...
3/4 Overviews of global production distribution of select industries - #Automotive, #Semiconductor & #Pharma...Concentration can be a key source of vulnerability...#SupplyChains #Risk #Macro #GlobalTrade
Read 4 tweets

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