Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #Risk

Most recents (24)

Lot of people want to invest in #mutualfunds but there is always a question?
How to select the MF?

So, aa MF to invest in by reading Below🧵🧵..

#Thread

Like & Retweet if you found Value in Thread..🙌🙌
Factors for Selecting a Mutual Fund Category-

1. INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE

Refers to an investor’s #Financial goal which aims to accomplish with the MF Inv.
It can be any short or long-term financial aspiration of the #investors

#mutualfunds
2. TIME HORIZON

Refers to period which an investor wishes to keep #MONEY invested in a MF
It can be either short as 1 day or as long as more than 5 yrs
Different fund work best for different time horizons

#Investment #invest #mutualfunds
Read 18 tweets
سلام خدمت دوستان گرامی
در این رشتو قراره در رابطه با عدم قطعیت در بازار ها صحبت کنیم. شاید در نگاه اول موضوع جذابی نیاد ولی شکل گرفتن این ذهنیت برای تریدر واقعی الزامیه.
#uncertianty #risk #trade #market #عدم_قطعیت
1)اتفاق از آنجا شروع میشه که ما در دنیایی زندگی میکنیم که از عدم قطعیت فراریه . یعنی ذهن ما به صورت ناخودآگاه عاشق قطعیته و از فکر کردن به موضوعاتی که ابهام دارن سریع خسته میشه.
2)ما دوست داریم آینده پیش بینی پذیر باشه اما در بعد زمان محدودیم پس از علم برای حل این مشکل کمک گرفتیم. امروزه علم آمار و احتمال بهترین دوست قطعیت شده. یعنی با استفاده از داده های آماری سعی بر پیش بینی آینده داریم.
Read 24 tweets
سلام به همه دوستان .
در این رشتو قصد دارم یکبار برای همیشه مبحث مدیریت سرمایه و ریسک در معاملات و تعیین حجم پوزیشن در مارکت های مختلف رو بررسی کنیم و دیگه ابهامی برای کسی باقی نمونه .
#CRYPTO #FOREX #بورس #MONEYMANAGEMENT #FUTURES #RISK
1)اول از همه در رابطه با استاپ لاس یا حد ضرر صحبت کنیم . حدضرر جایی قرار میگیره که اگر قیمت بعد باز کردن معامله به اون قیمت رسید یعنی تحلیل فیل شده و با قبول ضرر باید معامله خارج بشیم. نحوه تعیین حد ضرر هم بسته به روش تحلیلی هست که استفاده میکنید.
#حدضرر
2)خوب اما مفهوم ریسک در معامله چیه ؟ یعنی وقتی قیمت به حد ضرر رسید چقدر از حساب رو ضرر میکنیم. برای مثال منی که ریسک معاملاتم 1 درصده اگر استاپ بخورم یک درصد از کل حسابمو از دست میدم. حالا سوال اینه که چجوری بفهمیم جند درصد باید هر معامله ریسک کنیم؟
Read 24 tweets
#Read this new #Report while there’s still time to act!

bakerinstitute.org/research/us-ch…

“US-#China Competition Enters the Decade of Max Danger: #Policy Ideas to Avoid Losing the 2020s”

My latest with Gabe Collins @BakerInstitute!

@RiceUniversity
@RiceUNews
@CES_Baker_Inst
#Xi
#Taiwan
As #PRC/#CCP power peaks over this decade, #Xi may seek #Taiwan as historic prize.

To protect their security & rules-based order, US/Allies must mobilize immediately to deter aggression.

The mission is vital, the stakes are high, & the clock is ticking.

bit.ly/PLA2027 Image
US/Allies/#Taiwan now face “#DecadeOfDanger” w/ peaking #Xi/#CCP/#PRC as #China has extreme version of “S-Curved #slowdown.”

Xi’s risk acceptance will likely be amplified by his track record of largely-uncountered revisionist actions vs. neighbors & RBO.

bakerinstitute.org/research/us-ch…
Read 42 tweets
1/ Here's my 2022 and beyond #investing outlook (mostly covering #stocks) and general thoughts on the #macro backdrop, #markets, #valuations and #risk. Lot's of good analysis is publicly available, so will try to keep this brief and different.

"Navigating the Low Tide" Image
2/ Investing 101 Image
3/ Investing 201? Image
Read 47 tweets
The IPO Hype!

A Thread.

#IPO #StockMarket #investing #strategy

1/11
IPOs have been all the rage this year. We’ve seen 98 IPOs from January 2021 till date. Are they worth this hype? Let’s take a closer look.

#IPO #IPOUpdate

2/11
Also known as ‘Going Public’. An IPO is when a company invites the public to invest in its shares. This is usually followed by a lot of fanfare.

#stocks #ipoallotment #markets

3/11
Read 11 tweets
1/ With #Vaccines approved for 👧🏽👦🏾 5-11 yo parents have a decision to make. #Omicron reminds us we aren’t through this yet.

As a #Pediatrician I have spent my career helping parents make health care decisions about their kids. This🧵is about #risk and the decision to #Vaccinate
2/ The decision to #Vaccinate means you believe the benefit outweighs the risk - so let’s break it down starting with- what #risk does #Covid19 pose to our #kids?
3/ Acute risk in 5-11 yo from 🇨🇦 data:

Hospitalizations 🏥 in 0.2%
Death in 0.002%
#LongCovid in 2-5% (still learning)
#MIS-C 1/3500 cases (most common in 5-11 age group)

Let’s remember kids rarely die so this is on par with other diseases we prevent with #vaccination
Read 8 tweets
You are an entry-level risk analyst at a financial institution working in investments/portfolio management?
What you need to do to make yourself relevant.
This thread is about that....
Dos and Don'ts of a #Risk Profession =>

Do not =>
1. Don't brag about your degree/uni
2. Don't brag about your mathematical skills
3. Don't brag about your academic knowledge
4. Don't brag about your being proactive compared to Audit or Compliance or any other back-office unit
Dos =>
1. Do bring yourself down to the level of those engaged in the front offices/sales, etc.
2. Do try to understand the Enterprise IT Systems, Enterprise and Business Architecture
3. Do integrate your silo with the ERM Program
4. Do always compare theory with reality.
Read 15 tweets
Re: ideas on #risk, #prediction, #data, and #life, which were inspired by a #random phone call during a break from classes @NYUStern:

Short thread below 👇🏻

@nntaleb
1 The information you have is not the information you want.
2 The information you want is not the information you need.
Read 6 tweets
Daily Bookmarks to GAVNet 11/12/2021 greeneracresvaluenetwork.wordpress.com/2021/11/12/dai…
The Real Tantrum Should Be Over The Disturbing Lack of Celebration (higher yields)

alhambrapartners.com/2021/11/02/the…

#yield #BondMarket #CentralBank #normalization #InterestRates
Identification of LZTFL1 as a candidate effector gene at a COVID-19 risk locus

nature.com/articles/s4158…

#SARSCoV2 #genetics #risk #RespiratoryFailure #GainOfFunction #variants #TherapeuticTargets
Read 8 tweets
Draft text frm #COP26 president on #Science:
1. 𝑅𝑒𝑐𝑜𝑔𝑛𝑖𝑧𝑒𝑠 the importance of best available science for effective #climateaction
& #policymaking;
2. 𝑊𝑒𝑙𝑐𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑠 contribution of WG1 to #IPCC #AR6 & looks forward to related
@IPCC_CH reports;
@teriin @COP26
1/n
3. 𝐸𝑥𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑠 𝑎𝑙𝑎𝑟𝑚 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑐𝑒𝑟𝑛 that human activities have caused around 1.1°C of
#globalwarming to date & that impacts are already being felt in every region;
#COP26 @COP26 #TogetherForOurPlanet
2/n
4. 𝑆𝑡𝑟𝑒𝑠𝑠𝑒𝑠 the urgency of increased ambition & action in relation to #mitigation,
#adaptation & #finance in this critical decade to address gaps betwn current efforts &
#pathways in pursuit of ultimate objective of the Convention & its long-term global goal;
3/n
Read 10 tweets
❓ Elon Musk, neden #Tesla hisselerini satmaya yol yapıyor?

Çılgın vizyoner; aynı anda hem dünyanın en zengin adamı, hem de $200+ milyarlık servetinin yüzde biri bile nakit olarak cebinde yok da ondan...

Detayına bakalım.
Kurduğu şirketlerden maaş/nakit almayan Musk'ın 2012 ve 2018'de aldığı 2 ayrı "opsiyon pakedi" var. Bunlar, şirketin operasyonel ve #borsa başarısına göre devreye girdi ve girmeye de devam edecek. Büyük serveti; kurucu paylarından ve buradan alacağı taze hisselerden oluşuyor.
Paylarını satarsa, yarısını devlete vergi vereceği için satmıyor. Yıllardır tüm girişimlerini, her tür şahsi alım & harcamalarını tek yolla karşılıyor: Banka kredileri

$500+ milyonluk şahsi kredisi yıllardır sürüyor. Teminat olarak bankalarda 92 milyon hissesini ipotek tutuyor.
Read 11 tweets
Sharpe Ratio Nedir?

Öncelikle bu hesaplama, Nobel ödüllü William F. Sharpe tarafından geliştirilmiş.

#Bitcoin
#Yatırım
#Risk
#Volatilite
Şimdi çeşitli tanımlara bakalım 👇

#SharpeRatio
Formül

(Beklenen Getiri - Risksiz getiri oranı) / Standart Sapma (Volatilite)
Read 48 tweets
Let's discuss a very high #risk, High #return #portfolio.
The companies I have chosen R of Very high #ROE AND very high #ROCE.(1/n)
#ROCE of these #Companies R above 110.
That means these may have efficient #management.
Please study yourself in detail about management before #investing decision.
(2/n)
#roe of these #Companies R above 120.
From both roe and roce,these companies look brilliant.
Study yourself well before INVESTING.(3/n)
Read 6 tweets
With respect to today’s #inflation data, core #CPI (excluding volatile food and energy components) came in at 0.24% month-over-month and 4.04% year-over-year and was driven higher by strong increases in the #rent components, which have a tendency to be persistent.
Further, headline #CPI data printed at a solid 0.41% month-over-month and came in at 5.38% year-over-year.
Today’s data witnessed declines in used vehicles, #airfares and lodging, which should temper #market concerns somewhat, but we anticipate that these components are likely to see #prices bounce back in the months to come.
Read 10 tweets
1) An uninformed, pharisaical condemnation of an industry providing, w/regularity, life-saving, less invasive medical options at huge R&D cost:
2) The tweeter has a campaign against #Pharma, an imperfect industry, as all human endeavors are. She blames Pharma for poor nations, though it has provided millions of free doses. It escapes her that graft often frustrates the administration of those helps. We are blessed...
3) ...in our nation to enjoy market freedoms in which to exercise and profit from our industry and invention. We elect Gov't to hold business accountable and citizens who can organize and sue both. I won't broadbrush a grim picture of an industry that, though imperfectly,...
Read 15 tweets
1. Is financial market pricing in some heightened Taiwan Strait war risk this week? Yes, a little. No perfect measure. With China on holiday last wk, can attribute some pop of 5-yr CDS price as caused by heighted attention, which happens around Oct with back to back national days
2. To put in context, China 5 Yr CDS value is 48.87, reveals a 0.81% implied probability of default, on a 40% recovery rate supposed. US 5 Yr CDS is 17.4, reveals a 0.29% implied probability of default. Recent increase in US mostly by the debt ceiling fight. #MintTheCoin hahaha
3. @PredictIt betting market doesn't have a Taiwan specific market, but has 3 China related contracts. Betting on who would be confirmed for next US Ambassador to China, and Pres. Xi's chance of staying as party General Secretary for next 10 years.
Read 11 tweets
‘The Trojan Horse Scandal and the Problem of Equalities in Britain Today’.

The event examined the scandal from a broad range of perspectives, engaging with debates on #equalities, #liberalism, and #Britishness.

northernnotes.leeds.ac.uk/the-trojan-hor…
It also provided an opportunity to discuss and generate a dialogue about the significance of the 'Trojan Horse’ scandal and the duty placed on schools after the scandal to promote Fundamental British Values (FBV) in the promotion of #democracy.
Speakers analysed how both are reproducing narratives of racial discrimination & inequalities in a context that is informed by minoritising communities, #problematising specific religious #values, & essentialising the signification of social, religious, & cultural identities.
Read 47 tweets
🧵 Global catastrophic and existential risks: the weightiest complex phenomena?

"Our job is to think about how humanity can have a happy ending...about how GOOD it can be."

- @anderssandberg of @FHIOxford speaking at SFI today:


#AIEthics #Biosecurity
"The idea that humanity actually *could* go extinct required a lot of ideas to come together. First you needed to know that species go extinct. This wasn't clear until [the discovery of fossil Mastodons]."
- @anderssandberg of @FHIOxford at SFI today:

"It's not just that the end of the world could be caused by a bad political decision. In principle, the *right* political decision or technology could *avert* these risks. In the 19th C, it was a considered merely a matter of natural causes."
- @anderssandberg (@FHIOxford) at SFI
Read 14 tweets
Did the #Irish Central Bank provide sovereign guarantees to buyers of Irish Bank Bonds and other contractual debt liabilities classified as fixed income securities, before the #GFC struck?
I asked this question after watching Professor Kelly on YouTube.
He was describing how the #Irish Central Bank allowed banks to import capital in large sums, and later lend it out to housing finance borrowers.
That created a severe #ALM Mismatch, as homes are not liquid assets.
Only after the #GFC, did the Irish and other banks realize that a run on the #deposits could lead to financial #insolvency.
#Ruin #Risk by definition is the gap between Unexpected #Loss and Expected Loss.
As the gap increases, the chances of financial ruin and #default rises too!
Read 7 tweets
What should I know about risk management for a job interview with an asset management and securities brokerage firm?
@IOSCOWIW @efc_global @MarketIntegrity @GARP_Risk
You need to know everything about Capital Markets at least.

Investment Banking and Asset Management Sector /brokerage require an exceptional understanding of debt and equity market instruments and asset classes.
Sound knowledge of derivative markets will add to your CV.
Read 15 tweets
What are recent topics for PhD in management or other affiliated subjects?
@LSEPhD
Many!

The latest topics of interest are =>
1.#Behavioural models of #Marketing using experimental economics

2.Role of #Data #Sciences in modelling time-motion studies to measure human efficiency and output on the shop floor.
3.#Reliability Management Process Improvement Controls used in the Value-Added Industries
(Industrial/#engineering management).
Read 7 tweets
Why do strong Earthquakes take place in Haiti? Does it have something to do with Plate Tectonics?
What are the factors that put Haiti at risk?
Learn more in this thread on today’s #GeoAgenda with our collab w/@Daniela_A_Gallo ! 1/n
A magnitude 7.2 (M 7.2) #earthquake struck #Haiti on August 14- west of the capital city, #PortAuPrince, and 50km west of the magnitude 7.0 devastating EQ that took place in 2010 which killed ~100,000 people and devastated the Island. 2/n
Both EQ;s were produced in the #EnriquilloPlantain fault zone, a complex boundary between two #tectonicplates. To the north there is another tectonic boundary, and this makes the Hispaniola island to be sandwiched in between a complex geological terrain 3/n
Read 10 tweets

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