Thread by @Jhdharrison1

#Henderson’s cross claiming has been exceptional in his first 5 #PremierLeague appearances

#Henderson boasts a 100% claim success rate while being twice as active the average #PL GK!

His claiming is preventing #ManchesterUnited conceding chances worth ~0.4 ExG per game!

#MUFC

For comparison, #DeGea cross claiming numbers this year are:

Chances Prevented = 0.81
(Only 41% of DH)

ExG Prevented = 0.15
(Only 35% of DH)

Average Claim Distance = 4.5yrd (Only 78% of DH)

Claim Success = 95%
(95% of DH)

Catch Fraction = 58%
(104% of DH)

#ManchesterUnited

For more information on the metrics I quote in the graphics above please see this thread, it explains how I calculate which cross claims prevent chances & which don’t & how I assign ExG values to each claim & why it’s important to look deeper than “total high balls claimed”!

https://twitter.com/jhdharrison1/status/1307341104522702848

When looking at tweets that quote the “cross stopped %” metric from fbref I would be wary.

I looked up #Henderson’s & #DeGea’s numbers & they said DH stopped 3 crosses in total while DDG stopped 8 when in reality I watched every clip & found DH stopped 9 & DDG stopped 30!

I have no idea how they define crosses stopped to assign #Henderson with 3 so far.

You can clearly see from the graphic below all 9 of them have cross like trajectories & they all prevented chances (ie an attacker was in a position to make contact if the GK didn’t claim it)

I’m sure there must be a reason their definition misses so many cross claims but it’s something I thought I should highlight to everyone who uses fbref’s crosses stopped numbers because their definition clearly underestimates the number of crosses a GK actually stops.