Early prediction for #WestBengalElections2021: Unless @BJP4India makes any major mistakes in cadidate selection & election is fair; #BJP hs distinct edge. Poor ground level organisation in South Bengal & complacency among boothlevel leaders are only weaknesses. @SandipGhose 1/n
Near zero resentment in BJP over 1st list of candidates. Very few late inductees found place. Only 4 candidates of Shuvendu. Almost all r free from major charges of extortion, corruption. Only 1 filmstar. #BJP shud follow example in future lists. #WestBengalElections2021 2/n
#TrinamoolCongress standing on weak wicket hit by a cocktail of anti-incumbency, subaltern Hindutva, eroding trust on #Mamata. Failure in law & order, dadagiri, extortion & throttling of residual democratic space aftr #Left rul killd TMC's perspects #WestBengalElections2021 3/n
Huge consolidation of SC/ST/OBC votes in BJP's favour neutralised Muslim vote factor. Also, Bengali Muslim r looking 4 options beyond #MamataBanerjee. ISF will dent in select dists. #BJP may also get Muslim votes in pockets. #Amphan had hit TMC. #WestBengalElections2021 4/n
Except in pockets, #Left votes will not increase as momentum against #Trinamool gaining traction & BJP seen as viable alternative. BJP ws gaining on negative sentiment against TMC. #Modi's huge pull can convert it into a positive momenum for BJP. #WestBengalElections2021 5n/n
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